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18.10.2026 12:00
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Sirius vs IF Elfsborg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 92.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
92.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sirius Win 47.1%
Draw 7.8%
IF Elfsborg Win 45.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sirius1.71
IF Elfsborg1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sirius Sirius
WWDLW
64 GF / 38 GA
IF Elfsborg IF Elfsborg
WLDWL
46 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
2.13
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
19
BTTS Yes
19
20
Over 2.5
16
5.65
Shots on Goal
4.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sirius Sirius 30 matches
IF Elfsborg IF Elfsborg 33 matches
Sirius Statistic IF Elfsborg
20 Wins 15
5 Draws 8
5 Losses 10
64 Goals For 46
38 Goals Against 36
2.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
19 BTTS Yes 19
26 Over 1.5 26
20 Over 2.5 16
12 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 10
3 Failed To Score 5
5.65 Shots On Goal 4.17
14.43 Total Shots 12.52
5.65 Corners 4.39
47.3% Ball Possession 48.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Sirius arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 54 points compared to IF Elfsborg in 4 on 37, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Sirius come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sirius expected to line up in 4-3-3 and IF Elfsborg in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward IF Elfsborg having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors IF Elfsborg.

Sirius Analysis

Sirius approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 54 points after 23 outings. They have recorded 17 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a 53:28 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Robbie Ure (15 goals), I. Bjerkebo (14 goals), Mohamed Soumah (4 goals), with creative support from I. Bjerkebo (6 assists), M. Lindberg (4 assists), V. Svensson (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, their record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

IF Elfsborg Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 37 points from 22 games, IF Elfsborg bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 10 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 31:22, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Kamara (5 goals), L. Östman (5 goals), A. Zeneli (4 goals), with creative support from M. Kamara (3 assists), J. Magnússon (3 assists), A. Zeneli (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sirius won 5 times, IF Elfsborg won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:27 from Sirius's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.2%)
Predicted formations: Sirius 4-3-3 / IF Elfsborg 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sirius wins 5, draws 3, IF Elfsborg wins 7

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 3 3 53:28 25 54
W W W W L
2 23 14 2 7 48:21 27 44
W L W W W
3 23 13 4 6 49:21 28 43
L W W D L
4 23 11 7 5 35:22 13 40
W W W L W
5 23 10 9 4 42:30 12 39
W W D D L
6 23 11 3 9 38:33 5 36
W L W D W
7 23 10 5 8 34:36 -2 35
L W W L W
8 23 10 5 8 32:41 -9 35
W W W W W
9 23 9 6 8 36:40 -4 33
L L D L D
10 23 8 6 9 28:21 7 30
L W L D W
11 23 8 6 9 36:41 -5 30
W L L W L
12 23 5 8 10 28:39 -11 23
D L D D L
13 23 5 5 13 20:35 -15 20
D L L W L
14 23 5 4 14 21:37 -16 19
L L L L L
15 23 3 6 14 25:52 -27 15
L L L D L
16 23 3 5 15 16:44 -28 14
L W L L W
Qualifying
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation