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CHINA › SUPER LEAGUE
24.10.2026 07:30
Shenzhen Stadium

Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 49%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
49%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sichuan Jiuniu Win 37.3%
Draw 13.6%
Shanghai Shenhua Win 49%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sichuan Jiuniu1.44
Shanghai Shenhua1.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sichuan Jiuniu Sichuan Jiuniu
WWDLW
37 GF / 50 GA
Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua
WLDWL
66 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
2
1.79
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
16
BTTS Yes
23
15
Over 2.5
22
4.07
Shots on Goal
6.18

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sichuan Jiuniu Sichuan Jiuniu 28 matches
Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 33 matches
Sichuan Jiuniu Statistic Shanghai Shenhua
8 Wins 14
5 Draws 9
15 Losses 10
37 Goals For 66
50 Goals Against 53
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
16 BTTS Yes 23
22 Over 1.5 28
15 Over 2.5 22
9 Over 3.5 18
4 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 6
4.07 Shots On Goal 6.18
12.18 Total Shots 16.21
4.93 Corners 5.86
45.6% Ball Possession 49.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Shanghai Shenhua's more proactive style and Sichuan Jiuniu's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Shanghai Shenhua. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sichuan Jiuniu expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Shanghai Shenhua in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shanghai Shenhua having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Sichuan Jiuniu Analysis

Sichuan Jiuniu are currently 12 in the standings with 29 points from 27 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 14 losses, while the 36:47 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Wesley Moraes (12 goals), Eden Karzev (4 goals), Albion Ademi (3 goals), with creative support from Wesley Moraes (5 assists), Deabeas Owusu-Sekyere (3 assists), Dai Wai Tsun (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Shanghai Shenhua Analysis

So far, Shanghai Shenhua have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 34 points from 27 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, while the 59:47 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Rafael Ratão (16 goals), Luís Asué (6 goals), Makhtar Gueye (5 goals), with creative support from Tianyi Gao (9 assists), João Carlos Teixeira (6 assists), Xie Pengfei (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Sichuan Jiuniu won 2 times, Shanghai Shenhua won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:6 from Sichuan Jiuniu's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.4%)
Predicted formations: Sichuan Jiuniu 4-1-4-1 / Shanghai Shenhua 4-4-2
H2H summary: Sichuan Jiuniu wins 2, draws 2, Shanghai Shenhua wins 2

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 15 7 6 51:34 17 52
L L D W L
2 28 14 4 10 45:43 2 46
W W W D W
3 28 13 10 5 53:33 20 44
W W D D D
4 28 14 5 9 52:44 8 41
W D D W L
5 28 12 8 8 47:35 12 39
W W D W W
6 28 11 6 11 56:59 -3 39
D L W L D
7 28 8 14 6 31:37 -6 38
L L D D W
8 28 14 5 9 62:48 14 37
W W W L W
9 28 7 12 9 29:34 -5 33
D D L D L
10 28 11 8 9 38:32 6 31
W W W W D
11 28 10 6 12 47:52 -5 31
L L W L W
12 28 8 5 15 37:50 -13 29
L D D L D
13 28 8 5 15 39:48 -9 29
W D L L L
14 28 8 10 10 35:38 -3 28
L D D D D
15 28 5 12 11 41:50 -9 22
L D L D D
16 28 6 3 19 34:60 -26 14
L L L L L
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