CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Shenzhen Stadium
Referee: Y. Ma
Sichuan Jiuniu
Match Timeline
Qingdao Youth Island
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
19'
Rezende ↔ Wang Peng
Qingdao Youth Island
30'
Yao Junsheng · Assist: Wesley Moraes
Sichuan Jiuniu
43'
Yang Yiming
Sichuan Jiuniu
🟨
45+6'
Eden Karzev
Sichuan Jiuniu
🟨
45+7'
Xiuwei Zhang
Qingdao Youth Island
🔄
46'
X. Zhang ↔ Yang Zhanpeng
Qingdao Youth Island
54'
Gabriel Xavier
Sichuan Jiuniu
🔄
67'
Wang Gengrui ↔ He Longhai
Qingdao Youth Island
🔄
71'
H. Shen ↔ Zhao Jianfei
Sichuan Jiuniu
🟨
72'
Wesley Moraes
Sichuan Jiuniu
🟨
72'
Peng Wang
Qingdao Youth Island
🔄
76'
A. Ademi ↔ Li Ning
Sichuan Jiuniu
🔄
76'
Yao Junsheng ↔ Zhang Yufeng
Sichuan Jiuniu
🟨
79'
Longhai He
Qingdao Youth Island
🔄
88'
Zhang Chengdong ↔ Jia Weiwei
Qingdao Youth Island
🔄
89'
Davidson ↔ Meng Jingchao
Qingdao Youth Island
🔄
90+2'
D. Owusu-Sekyere ↔ Xia Dalong
Sichuan Jiuniu

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.8%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sichuan Jiuniu Win 34.1%
Draw 18.2%
Qingdao Youth Island Win 47.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sichuan Jiuniu1.36
Qingdao Youth Island1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sichuan Jiuniu Sichuan Jiuniu
WWDLW
22 GF / 31 GA
Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth Island
WLDWL
23 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
10
BTTS Yes
14
9
Over 2.5
7
3.82
Shots on Goal
3.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sichuan Jiuniu Sichuan Jiuniu 17 matches
Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth Island 19 matches
Sichuan Jiuniu Statistic Qingdao Youth Island
5 Wins 5
2 Draws 10
10 Losses 4
22 Goals For 23
31 Goals Against 28
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
10 BTTS Yes 14
12 Over 1.5 16
9 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 4
3.82 Shots On Goal 3.65
11.94 Total Shots 10.59
5.24 Corners 4.41
45.3% Ball Possession 42.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Qingdao Youth Island. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sichuan Jiuniu expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Qingdao Youth Island in 4-4-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Qingdao Youth Island having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Sichuan Jiuniu Analysis

So far, Sichuan Jiuniu have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 17 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, while the 22:28 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Qingdao Youth Island Analysis

So far, Qingdao Youth Island have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 21 points from 16 matches. The record of 4 wins, 9 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 20:24 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Sichuan Jiuniu won 1 times, Qingdao Youth Island won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:17 from Sichuan Jiuniu's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.7 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.8%)
Predicted formations: Sichuan Jiuniu 4-2-3-1 / Qingdao Youth Island 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Sichuan Jiuniu wins 1, draws 1, Qingdao Youth Island wins 8
Stats
Sichuan Jiuniu Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth Island
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
10
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
3
5 Corner Kicks 3
20 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 0
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Goal 3
10 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 3
12 Shots insidebox 5
7 Shots outsidebox 6
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
307 Total passes 381
249 Passes accurate 315
3.18 expected_goals 0.93
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Sichuan Jiuniu
Formation
Qingdao Youth Island
Peng Peng
Peng Peng
Yang Yiming
Yang Yiming
Gabriel Xavier
Gabriel Xavier
H. Shen
H. Shen
Jiang Zhipeng
Jiang Zhipeng
E. Kartsev
E. Kartsev
D. Owusu-Sekyere
D. Owusu-Sekyere
T. Chow
T. Chow
Yao Junsheng
Yao Junsheng
A. Ademi
A. Ademi
Wesley Moraes
🎯
Wesley Moraes
H. Li
H. Li
Dong Yu
Dong Yu
S. Memisevic
S. Memisevic
Rezende
Rezende
Wang Gengrui
Wang Gengrui
Zhang Chengdong
Zhang Chengdong
N. Da Luz
N. Da Luz
X. Zhang
X. Zhang
Peng Xinli
Peng Xinli
Davidson
Davidson
A. Yakubu
A. Yakubu
Sichuan Jiuniu 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
13
Peng Peng
G
23
Yang Yiming
⚽ 43'
D
3
Gabriel Xavier
⚽ 54'
D
46
H. Shen
↓ 71'
D
4
Jiang Zhipeng
D
36
E. Kartsev
🟨 45+6'
M
31
D. Owusu-Sekyere
↓ 90+2'
M
8
T. Chow
M
6
Yao Junsheng
⚽ 30' ↓ 76'
M
11
A. Ademi
↓ 76'
M
7
Wesley Moraes
🎯 30' 🟨 72'
F
Substitutes
35
Wei Minzhe
G
1
J. Ji
G
14
Li Long
22
Zhang Yujie
D
17
Li Ning
↑ 76'
M
2
Tian Yifan
D
19
Zhang Yufeng
↑ 76'
M
25
Zhao Jianfei
↑ 71'
D
29
Xia Dalong
↑ 90+2'
F
20
Z. Xuan
D
56
Wang Yuheng
M
54
J. Yao
F
Qingdao Youth Island 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
16
H. Li
G
19
Dong Yu
D
5
S. Memisevic
D
23
Rezende
↓ 19'
D
22
Wang Gengrui
↓ 67'
D
28
Zhang Chengdong
↓ 88'
M
10
N. Da Luz
M
8
X. Zhang
↓ 46' 🟨 45+7'
M
25
Peng Xinli
M
11
Davidson
↓ 89'
M
9
A. Yakubu
F
Substitutes
37
Dong Hang
G
26
Liu Shibo
G
36
Sun Jie
D
35
Nan Song
M
6
S. Jin
M
32
Ding Haifeng
D
15
Wang Peng
↑ 19' 🟨 72'
D
27
A. Asqer
20
He Longhai
↑ 67' 🟨 79'
M
21
Meng Jingchao
↑ 89'
M
29
Jia Weiwei
↑ 88'
F
30
Yang Zhanpeng
↑ 46'
M
Last matches: Sichuan Jiuniu
07.08.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Beijing Guoan
0
4
L
02.08.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Chongqing Tongliang Long
2
0
W
26.07.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Yunnan Yukun
3
4
L
18.07.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Wuhan Three Towns
0
2
L
04.07.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Tianjin Teda
0
3
L
27.06.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Chengdu Better City
2
3
L
30.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Jonoon
3
2
W
24.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Shanghai Shenhua
2
1
W
19.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Dalian Zhixing
1
1
D
15.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Henan Jianye
0
1
L
10.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Shandong Luneng
1
2
L
06.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Hangzhou Greentown
1
2
L
26.04.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Shenyang Urban
1
0
W
21.04.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Beijing Guoan
0
1
L
17.04.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Chongqing Tongliang Long
0
2
L
12.04.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Yunnan Yukun
3
4
L
05.04.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Wuhan Three Towns
5
2
W
21.03.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Youth Island
0
1
L
14.03.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Tianjin Teda
1
0
W
Last matches: Qingdao Youth Island
02.08.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Qingdao Jonoon
2
0
W
25.07.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Shenyang Urban
1
0
W
17.07.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Chengdu Better City
1
1
D
04.07.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
SHANGHAI SIPG
2
1
W
28.06.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Hangzhou Greentown
3
1
W
30.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Shanghai Shenhua
2
2
D
24.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Yunnan Yukun
3
2
W
19.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Beijing Guoan
1
1
D
15.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Dalian Zhixing
3
2
W
10.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Wuhan Three Towns
1
1
D
05.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Tianjin Teda
1
1
D
01.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Shandong Luneng
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1
1
D
22.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Henan Jianye
0
0
D
17.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Qingdao Jonoon
0
0
D
11.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Shenyang Urban
1
1
D
03.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Chengdu Better City
1
5
L
21.03.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Sichuan Jiuniu
1
0
W
15.03.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
4
L
08.03.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Hangzhou Greentown
0
2
L
H2H: Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Youth Island
11.07.26
H2H
Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Youth Island
3
0
W
21.03.26
H2H
Qingdao Youth Island
Sichuan Jiuniu
1
0
L
28.09.25
H2H
Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Youth Island
1
2
L
06.05.25
H2H
Qingdao Youth Island
Sichuan Jiuniu
0
0
D
22.09.24
H2H
Qingdao Youth Island
Sichuan Jiuniu
3
2
L
12.05.24
H2H
Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Youth Island
1
2
L
02.09.23
H2H
Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Youth Island
2
3
L
21.05.23
H2H
Qingdao Youth Island
Sichuan Jiuniu
1
0
L
04.08.22
H2H
Qingdao Youth Island
Sichuan Jiuniu
1
0
L
20.07.22
H2H
Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Youth Island
1
4
L
Last matches: Sichuan Jiuniu
02.08.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Chongqing Tongliang Long
2
0
W
27.06.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Chengdu Better City
2
3
L
30.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Jonoon
3
2
W
19.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Dalian Zhixing
1
1
D
10.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Shandong Luneng
1
2
L
26.04.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Shenyang Urban
1
0
W
21.04.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Beijing Guoan
0
1
L
12.04.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Yunnan Yukun
3
4
L
05.04.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Wuhan Three Towns
5
2
W
14.03.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Tianjin Teda
1
0
W
H2H at home: Sichuan Jiuniu
11.07.26
H2H
Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Youth Island
3
0
W
28.09.25
H2H
Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Youth Island
1
2
L
12.05.24
H2H
Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Youth Island
1
2
L
02.09.23
H2H
Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Youth Island
2
3
L
20.07.22
H2H
Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Youth Island
1
4
L
Last matches: Qingdao Youth Island
25.07.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Shenyang Urban
1
0
W
24.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Yunnan Yukun
3
2
W
15.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Dalian Zhixing
3
2
W
01.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Shandong Luneng
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1
1
D
17.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Qingdao Jonoon
0
0
D
03.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Chengdu Better City
1
5
L
15.03.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
4
L
08.03.26
Sup
Qingdao Youth Island
Hangzhou Greentown
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Qingdao Youth Island
Pyunik Yerevan
1
1
D
07.02.26
Fri
Qingdao Youth Island
FC Rostov
0
2
L
H2H away: Qingdao Youth Island
11.07.26
H2H
Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Youth Island
3
0
L
28.09.25
H2H
Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Youth Island
1
2
W
12.05.24
H2H
Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Youth Island
1
2
W
02.09.23
H2H
Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Youth Island
2
3
W
20.07.22
H2H
Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Youth Island
1
4
W