LITHUANIA A LYGA
30.08.2026 14:00
Siauliai central stadium
Referee: D. Simenas
Šiauliai
Match Timeline
Suduva Marijampole
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
38'
S. Lawson · Assist: I. Seck
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
56'
K. Zebrauskas ↔ A. Baftalovskyi
Šiauliai
57'
L. Vukovic
Šiauliai
🔄
64'
F. Steponavicius ↔ T. Lucky
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
64'
F. Tangiri ↔ M. Chajia
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
73'
S. M. Sanokho ↔ M. Mikulenas
Suduva Marijampole
🔄
73'
I. Seck ↔ T. Milasius
Suduva Marijampole
73'
M. Chajia
Suduva Marijampole
🟨
76'
D. Hasanovic
Šiauliai
🔄
81'
K. Kersys ↔ E. Bierontas
Šiauliai
🔄
81'
D. Hasanovic ↔ A. Valuckas
Šiauliai
🔄
81'
L. Vukovic ↔ D. Dovydaitis
Šiauliai
🔄
90+3'
E. Stockunas ↔ Y. Tsykalo
Suduva Marijampole

Šiauliai vs Suduva Marijampole Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 84.5%
Odds 1.45
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.75
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
84.5%
1.45
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.75
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.17
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.33
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Šiauliai Win 11.7%
Draw 3.8%
Suduva Marijampole Win 84.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Šiauliai0.96
Suduva Marijampole1.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Šiauliai Šiauliai
WWDLW
33 GF / 65 GA
Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole
WLDWL
51 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.7
1.97
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
18
BTTS Yes
15
18
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Šiauliai Šiauliai 33 matches
Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole 30 matches
Šiauliai Statistic Suduva Marijampole
6 Wins 16
9 Draws 10
18 Losses 4
33 Goals For 51
65 Goals Against 27
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
1.97 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
18 BTTS Yes 15
26 Over 1.5 22
18 Over 2.5 15
13 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 13
11 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Suduva Marijampole's more proactive style and Šiauliai's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Suduva Marijampole carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 39 points while Šiauliai sit 9 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Suduva Marijampole look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Suduva Marijampole. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Suduva Marijampole having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Šiauliai Analysis

With 16 points from 24 games and a place of 9, Šiauliai still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 23:50 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Suduva Marijampole Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 39 points from 22 games, Suduva Marijampole bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 10 wins, 9 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 31:17, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Šiauliai won 4 times, Suduva Marijampole won 3 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:16 from Šiauliai's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
H2H summary: Šiauliai wins 4, draws 8, Suduva Marijampole wins 3

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 13 9 3 37:19 18 48
W W W W W
2 24 11 9 4 46:16 30 42
W D D W W
3 25 12 4 9 38:29 9 40
W L W L W
4 26 11 6 9 37:34 3 39
L W D L W
5 26 10 8 8 29:25 4 38
L D D W L
6 27 10 8 9 36:38 -2 38
L D L L W
7 26 8 5 13 26:41 -15 29
W W L L W
8 26 4 12 10 29:44 -15 24
D D L L L
9 27 3 7 17 24:56 -32 16
L L L W L
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L L L L L