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14.11.2026 15:00
New Meadow

Shrewsbury vs Oldham Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 65.2%
Odds 1.53
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.95
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
65.2%
1.53 ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
1.73 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.95 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Shrewsbury Win 34.9%
Draw 29.9%
Oldham Win 35.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shrewsbury1.32
Oldham1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shrewsbury Shrewsbury
W L W D W
11 GF / 9 GA
Oldham Oldham
L W W L D
6 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
11
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
12
4.22
Shots on Goal
3.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 24 matches
Oldham Oldham 22 matches
Shrewsbury Statistic Oldham
9 Wins 8
6 Draws 3
9 Losses 11
28 Goals For 30
32 Goals Against 34
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
11 BTTS Yes 11
17 Over 1.5 17
11 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 6
4.22 Shots On Goal 3.83
12.72 Total Shots 13.67
5.22 Corners 4.5
45.2% Ball Possession 44.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shrewsbury expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Oldham in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Oldham having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Oldham. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Shrewsbury Analysis

Shrewsbury sit 15 with 18 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 17:22, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through G. Lloyd (5 goals), J. Davison (4 goals), W. Boyle (2 goals), with creative support from W. Boyle (2 assists), G. Lloyd (1 assists), J. Davison (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Oldham Analysis

Oldham approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 15 points from 14 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 15:19 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on C. Kavanagh (3 goals), J. Robson (2 goals), F. Fawunmi (2 goals), with creative support from C. Kavanagh (3 assists), J. Robson (2 assists), F. Fawunmi (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Shrewsbury won 9 times, Oldham won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:16 from Shrewsbury's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (70.1%)
Predicted formations: Shrewsbury 3-4-1-2 / Oldham 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Shrewsbury wins 9, draws 2, Oldham wins 4

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 1 3 25:15 10 31
W W W W W
2 13 7 5 1 28:18 10 26
D W D L W
3 13 5 7 1 21:12 9 22
W L W D D
4 14 5 7 2 17:17 0 22
D L L W W
5 14 6 3 5 23:25 -2 21
L W W L L
6 14 5 5 4 24:18 6 20
W W D L L
7 14 5 5 4 24:21 3 20
L L W D D
8 14 5 5 4 20:19 1 20
W L D L W
9 14 4 7 3 23:17 6 19
D W D W D
10 14 5 4 5 24:21 3 19
L W D L D
11 14 4 7 3 19:17 2 19
W D W L D
12 14 5 4 5 11:9 2 19
L W W D W
13 14 5 4 5 15:17 -2 19
W D W D L
14 14 4 6 4 20:17 3 18
W L D D W
15 14 5 3 6 17:22 -5 18
L D W W L
16 14 4 5 5 18:18 0 17
W L L W D
17 14 5 1 8 17:23 -6 16
L D L L L
18 14 4 3 7 15:19 -4 15
W L D L W
19 12 4 3 5 10:14 -4 15
W L D W W
20 14 4 3 7 17:26 -9 15
L L D L D
21 13 3 5 5 9:10 -1 14
L D W L W
22 14 2 6 6 18:25 -7 12
L D D L L
23 13 2 6 5 12:19 -7 12
L L D D L
24 12 2 3 7 13:21 -8 9
W D L L D
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League