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ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
10.10.2026 14:00
New Meadow
Shrewsbury
Match Timeline
Exeter City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
Tom Sang
Shrewsbury
🟨
43'
Jake Doyle Hayes
Exeter City
🟨
65'
Luca Hoole
Shrewsbury
🔄
67'
Luca Hoole ↔ Arkelle Jude-Boyd
Shrewsbury
🔄
69'
Anthony Scully ↔ Ethan Sutherland
Exeter City
🔄
73'
Isaac Fletcher ↔ Josh Davison
Shrewsbury
🔄
74'
Tom Sang ↔ will gray
Shrewsbury
🟨
76'
will gray
Shrewsbury
🟨
77'
Taylor Perry
Exeter City
🔄
78'
Taylor Perry ↔ Sonny Cox
Exeter City
⚽
86'
Sonny Cox · Assist: George Birch
Exeter City
🔄
89'
Kevin Berkoe ↔ Joseph Gbode
Shrewsbury
🟨
90'
J. Turner-Cook
Shrewsbury
🔄
90+5'
George Birch ↔ Vincent Harper
Exeter City
🔄
90+6'
Josh Gordon ↔ Edward James
Exeter City

Shrewsbury vs Exeter City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.2%
Odds 2.12
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.66
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.2%
2.12 ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.66 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.33 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40 ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Shrewsbury Win 82.2%
Draw 8.9%
Exeter City Win 8.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shrewsbury0.95
Exeter City0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shrewsbury Shrewsbury
WWDLW
16 GF / 19 GA
Exeter City Exeter City
WLDWL
9 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
0.69
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
0.77
6
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
2
3.78
Shots on Goal
3.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 15 matches
Exeter City Exeter City 13 matches
Shrewsbury Statistic Exeter City
5 Wins 3
5 Draws 4
5 Losses 6
16 Goals For 9
19 Goals Against 10
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 0.69
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 0.77
6 BTTS Yes 4
11 Over 1.5 6
6 Over 2.5 2
4 Over 3.5 0
6 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 6
3.78 Shots On Goal 3.56
13.22 Total Shots 11.11
5.33 Corners 4.78
42.2% Ball Possession 44.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shrewsbury expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Exeter City in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Exeter City having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Exeter City. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Shrewsbury Analysis

Shrewsbury sit 14 with 11 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 9:14 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on G. Lloyd (2 goals), K. M. Brown (2 goals), W. Boyle (1 goals), with creative support from W. Boyle (2 assists), T. Sang (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Exeter City Analysis

Exeter City approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 9 points from 9 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats with a 5:6 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Fitzwater (2 goals), A. Scully (1 goals), with creative support from L. Woodhouse (1 assists), George Birch (1 assists), A. Oluwabori (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Shrewsbury won 3 times, Exeter City won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:12 from Shrewsbury's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.56 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.1%)
Predicted formations: Shrewsbury 3-4-1-2 / Exeter City 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Shrewsbury wins 3, draws 2, Exeter City wins 4

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 15:10 5 19
W W W W D
2 8 5 3 0 20:11 9 18
W W W D D
3 10 4 6 0 12:7 5 18
W W D D D
4 10 4 4 2 15:10 5 16
W D L W W
5 9 4 3 2 17:11 6 15
D W L W D
6 9 3 6 0 12:6 6 15
D D W D D
7 10 4 3 3 17:14 3 15
D W L W W
8 10 4 3 3 16:16 0 15
L L W D W
9 10 5 0 5 15:17 -2 15
L L W L L
10 10 4 2 4 11:12 -1 14
D W W W D
11 10 3 4 3 13:11 2 13
L L L W W
12 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
W D W D D
13 10 2 6 2 13:13 0 12
D L D D L
14 10 3 3 4 6:6 0 12
W W L D L
15 10 2 5 3 13:14 -1 11
D W D D L
16 10 2 5 3 10:11 -1 11
D L L L D
17 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L L D L L
18 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
L W D D W
19 9 2 4 3 10:13 -3 10
L D D D L
20 10 2 4 4 12:16 -4 10
L L D W D
21 9 2 2 5 9:13 -4 8
D L L L L
22 8 2 2 4 4:9 -5 8
W L W L L
23 8 1 4 3 4:7 -3 7
D L L W D
24 8 1 2 5 8:15 -7 5
D L L L D
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League