NIGERIA NPFL
10.05.2026 15:00
Lekan Salami Stadium
Shooting Stars
Match Timeline
Barau FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
I. Ayodele
Shooting Stars
39'
L. Emmanuel
Shooting Stars
🟨
48'
Shooting Stars
Shooting Stars
🟨
51'
L. Emmanuel
Shooting Stars
🟨
54'
H. Ekawu
Barau FC
🔄
59'
K. Tijjani ↔ T. Azeez
Shooting Stars
🔄
59'
I. Ayodele ↔ Q. Adegoke
Shooting Stars
🔄
68'
H. Ezeonye ↔ S. Chukwudi Oganbor
Barau FC
🔄
68'
M. Umar ↔ J. Kemin
Barau FC
🟨
73'
S. Chukwudi Oganbor
Barau FC
🟨
76'
Barau FC
Barau FC
🔄
80'
H. Ekawu ↔ S. Tijjani
Barau FC
🔄
83'
S. Ibrahim ↔ A. Balogun
Shooting Stars
🟨
87'
Barau FC
Barau FC
🔄
88'
E. Nwokorie ↔ C. Nkwocha Flavian
Barau FC
🔄
90+1'
A. Ayobami ↔ G. Adelowo
Shooting Stars
🔄
90+2'
L. Emmanuel ↔ A. Abayomi
Shooting Stars
🔄
90+1'
U. Maidubuji ↔ E. Okoko
Barau FC

Shooting Stars vs Barau FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 91.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 28.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
91.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
28.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Shooting Stars Win 91.8%
Draw 0%
Barau FC Win 8.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shooting Stars0.99
Barau FC0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shooting Stars Shooting Stars
WWDLW
40 GF / 39 GA
Barau FC Barau FC
WLDWL
31 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
0.86
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
0.81
15
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 36 matches
Barau FC Barau FC 36 matches
Shooting Stars Statistic Barau FC
17 Wins 12
6 Draws 13
13 Losses 11
40 Goals For 31
39 Goals Against 29
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 0.81
15 BTTS Yes 11
22 Over 1.5 20
13 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 3
9 Clean Sheets 15
14 Failed To Score 20
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Barau FC having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Barau FC.

Shooting Stars Analysis

Shooting Stars come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 57 points after 36 matches. With 17 wins, 6 draws, and 13 defeats plus a goal balance of 40:39, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Q. Adegoke (9 goals), S. Ibrahim (9 goals), L. Emmanuel (5 goals), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the split of 14 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Barau FC Analysis

Barau FC are currently 8 in the standings with 49 points from 36 matches. The record of 12 wins, 13 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 31:29 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Umar (5 goals), J. Atule (4 goals), Y. Ibrahim (4 goals), with creative support from I. Nura (2 assists), M. Umar (1 assists), Y. Ibrahim (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Shooting Stars won 2 times, Barau FC won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:0 from Shooting Stars's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Shooting Stars wins 2, draws 0, Barau FC wins 0

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 19 11 8 47:27 20 68
W W W W D
2 38 19 10 9 44:31 13 67
W W W L W
3 38 18 6 14 41:40 1 60
L W W W D
4 38 16 10 12 43:39 4 58
L L W L W
5 38 16 8 14 37:34 3 56
L W L W L
6 38 16 7 15 31:34 -3 55
L L L W L
7 37 13 14 10 43:38 5 53
D L W W W
8 38 13 13 12 34:30 4 52
W L W L W
9 37 14 10 13 36:38 -2 52
L W L W L
10 38 15 6 17 37:39 -2 51
L W L W L
11 38 15 5 18 39:40 -1 50
W L L D L
12 38 13 11 14 35:36 -1 50
L W D W D
13 38 13 10 15 44:42 2 49
W L W L W
14 38 13 10 15 42:43 -1 49
W W W D W
15 38 13 10 15 36:41 -5 49
W L W L L
16 38 13 9 16 37:36 1 48
W D D L D
17 38 14 5 19 42:47 -5 47
D W L W L
18 38 13 8 17 30:46 -16 47
L D L L W
19 38 11 10 17 37:42 -5 43
W L L L L
20 38 9 13 16 36:48 -12 40
L L L L W
Champions League
CAF Confederation Cup
Relegation