ARMENIA PREMIER LEAGUE
20.09.2026 14:00
Gyumri City Stadium
Shirak
Match Timeline
Ararat-Armenia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
2'
H. Mnatsakanyan
Shirak
18'
S. Tsarukyan
Ararat-Armenia
23'
Junior Julio
Ararat-Armenia
33'
Franca Carlos
Ararat-Armenia
🟨
40'
E. Grigoryan
Ararat-Armenia
🟨
51'
A. Serobyan
Ararat-Armenia
🟨
52'
V. Sargsyan
Shirak
74'
R. Mkrtchyan
Shirak

Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 42.1%
Odds 6.47
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.75
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
42.1%
6.47
BTTS Yes
58.2%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.75
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
69%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
10.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
21.00
Probability Distribution
Shirak Win 42.1%
Draw 15.9%
Ararat-Armenia Win 42%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shirak1.54
Ararat-Armenia1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shirak Shirak
WWDLW
18 GF / 10 GA
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia
WLDWL
40 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.16
2
BTTS Yes
14
4
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
1.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shirak Shirak 10 matches
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 25 matches
Shirak Statistic Ararat-Armenia
5 Wins 13
1 Draws 5
4 Losses 7
18 Goals For 40
10 Goals Against 29
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.16
2 BTTS Yes 14
6 Over 1.5 20
4 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 1.33
0 Total Shots 2.11
0 Corners 2.22
0% Ball Possession 25.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ararat-Armenia. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Ararat-Armenia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 16 points while Shirak sit 5 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ararat-Armenia having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Shirak Analysis

Shirak come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 10 points after 6 matches. With 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 10:5, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Ararat-Armenia Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 16 points from 7 games, Ararat-Armenia bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 14:7 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Shirak won 0 times, Ararat-Armenia won 14 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:39 from Shirak's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.1%)
Predicted formations: Shirak - / Ararat-Armenia 4-3-3
H2H summary: Shirak wins 0, draws 1, Ararat-Armenia wins 14

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 21:5 16 24
W W W W W
2 8 6 1 1 17:8 9 19
W W W L D
3 8 5 3 0 18:8 10 18
D W W D W
4 8 4 3 1 18:6 12 15
D D W D W
5 8 3 3 2 14:12 2 12
D D L L W
6 8 3 2 3 12:10 2 11
W L L D W
7 8 3 1 4 11:10 1 10
L L W W L
8 8 3 0 5 6:13 -7 9
W W L L L
9 8 2 2 4 8:10 -2 8
D L W W L
10 8 1 1 6 4:21 -17 4
L W L L D
11 8 1 0 7 8:20 -12 3
L L L L L
12 8 0 2 6 3:17 -14 2
L L D L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - First League