ARMENIA PREMIER LEAGUE
20.04.2026 15:00
Gyumri City Stadium
Shirak
Match Timeline
Ararat-Armenia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
A. Eloyan
Ararat-Armenia
45'
A. Eloyan · Assist: A. Ambartsumyan
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
46'
H. Mnatsakanyan ↔ T. Sumbulyan
Shirak
🔄
46'
V. Sargsyan ↔ N. Janoyan
Shirak
🟨
51'
A. Vidic
Shirak
🟨
52'
A. Ambartsumyan
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
60'
H. Pahlevanyan ↔ M. Tarloyan
Shirak
🔄
60'
L. Darbinyan ↔ J. Akila
Shirak
🔄
65'
A. Ambartsumyan ↔ Welton
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
65'
Z. Banjaqui ↔ P. Ayongo
Ararat-Armenia
70'
J. A. Balanta
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
76'
D. Kodia ↔ S. Manukyan
Shirak
🔄
78'
J. Queiros ↔ A. Malis
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
78'
J. A. Balanta ↔ H. Hakobyan
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
78'
A. Tera ↔ K. Hovhannisyan
Ararat-Armenia
83'
Z. Shaghoyan · Assist: P. Ayongo
Ararat-Armenia

Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 79.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
79.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Shirak Win 20.7%
Draw 0%
Ararat-Armenia Win 79.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shirak0.86
Ararat-Armenia1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shirak Shirak
WWDLW
15 GF / 39 GA
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia
WLDWL
39 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.71
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
9
BTTS Yes
15
10
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shirak Shirak 21 matches
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 24 matches
Shirak Statistic Ararat-Armenia
2 Wins 13
6 Draws 7
13 Losses 4
15 Goals For 39
39 Goals Against 26
0.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
9 BTTS Yes 15
14 Over 1.5 17
10 Over 2.5 14
6 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 7
11 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Ararat-Armenia's more proactive style and Shirak's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ararat-Armenia. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ararat-Armenia having the stronger overall control. Shirak have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Ararat-Armenia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 42 points while Shirak sit 9 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Shirak Analysis

Shirak approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 12 points from 21 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 13 defeats with a 14:38 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on R. Misakyan (5 goals), L. Mryan (3 goals), G. Akulyan (1 goals), with creative support from S. Manukyan (2 assists), M. Tarloyan (1 assists), G. Ghumashyan (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ararat-Armenia Analysis

Ararat-Armenia come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 42 points from 20 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, while the 35:19 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on H. Oliveira (5 goals), A. Eloyan (4 goals), A. Serobyan (4 goals), with creative support from Z. Shaghoyan (6 assists), K. Hovhannisyan (3 assists), A. Eloyan (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Shirak won 0 times, Ararat-Armenia won 14 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:39 from Shirak's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Shirak - / Ararat-Armenia 4-3-3
H2H summary: Shirak wins 0, draws 1, Ararat-Armenia wins 14

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 18 6 4 50:26 24 60
W W L W W
2 27 16 8 3 61:19 42 56
W D W W W
3 27 17 4 6 37:18 19 55
W D W W L
4 27 16 5 6 42:23 19 53
W W W D D
5 27 14 7 6 43:26 17 49
L D W L W
6 27 9 4 14 27:40 -13 31
L L W W L
7 27 4 11 12 30:42 -12 23
D L L D W
8 27 5 6 16 20:41 -21 21
L L L L L
9 27 2 7 18 17:51 -34 13
L D L L L
10 27 3 4 20 21:63 -42 13
D L L W L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation