ARMENIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Gyumri City Stadium
Shirak
Match Timeline
Ararat-Armenia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
A. Eloyan
Ararat-Armenia
45'
A. Eloyan · Assist: A. Ambartsumyan
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
46'
H. Mnatsakanyan ↔ T. Sumbulyan
Shirak
🔄
46'
V. Sargsyan ↔ N. Janoyan
Shirak
🟨
51'
A. Vidic
Shirak
🟨
52'
A. Ambartsumyan
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
60'
H. Pahlevanyan ↔ M. Tarloyan
Shirak
🔄
60'
L. Darbinyan ↔ J. Akila
Shirak
🔄
65'
A. Ambartsumyan ↔ Welton
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
65'
Z. Banjaqui ↔ P. Ayongo
Ararat-Armenia
70'
J. A. Balanta
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
76'
D. Kodia ↔ S. Manukyan
Shirak
🔄
78'
J. Queiros ↔ A. Malis
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
78'
J. A. Balanta ↔ H. Hakobyan
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
78'
A. Tera ↔ K. Hovhannisyan
Ararat-Armenia
83'
Z. Shaghoyan · Assist: P. Ayongo
Ararat-Armenia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 79.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
79.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Shirak Win 20.7%
Draw 0%
Ararat-Armenia Win 79.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shirak0.86
Ararat-Armenia1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shirak Shirak
WWDLW
15 GF / 39 GA
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia
WLDWL
39 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.71
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
9
BTTS Yes
15
10
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shirak Shirak 21 matches
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 24 matches
Shirak Statistic Ararat-Armenia
2 Wins 13
6 Draws 7
13 Losses 4
15 Goals For 39
39 Goals Against 26
0.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
9 BTTS Yes 15
14 Over 1.5 17
10 Over 2.5 14
6 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 7
11 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Ararat-Armenia's more proactive style and Shirak's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ararat-Armenia. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ararat-Armenia having the stronger overall control. Shirak have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Ararat-Armenia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 42 points while Shirak sit 9 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Shirak Analysis

Shirak approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 12 points from 21 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 13 defeats with a 14:38 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on R. Misakyan (5 goals), L. Mryan (3 goals), G. Akulyan (1 goals), with creative support from S. Manukyan (2 assists), M. Tarloyan (1 assists), G. Ghumashyan (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ararat-Armenia Analysis

Ararat-Armenia come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 42 points from 20 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, while the 35:19 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on H. Oliveira (5 goals), A. Eloyan (4 goals), A. Serobyan (4 goals), with creative support from Z. Shaghoyan (6 assists), K. Hovhannisyan (3 assists), A. Eloyan (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Shirak won 0 times, Ararat-Armenia won 14 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:39 from Shirak's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Shirak wins 0, draws 1, Ararat-Armenia wins 14

Lineups

Shirak
Formation
Ararat-Armenia
S. Hovhannisyan
S. Hovhannisyan
H. Pahlevanyan
H. Pahlevanyan
H. Mnatsakanyan
H. Mnatsakanyan
A. Vidic
A. Vidic
R. Karagulyan
R. Karagulyan
S. Tsarukyan
S. Tsarukyan
L. Darbinyan
L. Darbinyan
R. Misakyan
R. Misakyan
R. Mkrtchyan
R. Mkrtchyan
V. Sargsyan
V. Sargsyan
D. Kodia
D. Kodia
B. Pinto
B. Pinto
H. Oliveira
H. Oliveira
Junior Julio
Junior Julio
J. Queiros
J. Queiros
E. Grigoryan
E. Grigoryan
Z. Banjaqui
Z. Banjaqui
J. A. Balanta
J. A. Balanta
A. Ambartsumyan
🎯
A. Ambartsumyan
A. Tera
A. Tera
Z. Shaghoyan
Z. Shaghoyan
A. Eloyan
⚽ 2
A. Eloyan
Shirak 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
96
S. Hovhannisyan
2
H. Pahlevanyan
↓ 60'
4
H. Mnatsakanyan
↓ 46'
26
A. Vidic
🟨 51'
3
R. Karagulyan
23
S. Tsarukyan
8
L. Darbinyan
↓ 60'
6
R. Misakyan
20
R. Mkrtchyan
66
V. Sargsyan
↓ 46'
21
D. Kodia
↓ 76'
Substitutes
55
L. Karapetyan
1
H. Hovhannisyan
5
T. Sumbulyan
↑ 46'
18
S. Ghukasyan
11
S. Manukyan
↑ 76'
22
M. Tarloyan
↑ 60'
77
G. Ghumashyan
15
N. Janoyan
↑ 46'
88
Y. Vardanyan
25
G. Akulyan
28
J. Akila
↑ 60'
9
L. Mryan
Ararat-Armenia 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
24
B. Pinto
2
H. Oliveira
3
Junior Julio
4
J. Queiros
↓ 78'
16
E. Grigoryan
11
Z. Banjaqui
↓ 65'
8
J. A. Balanta
⚽ 70' ↓ 78'
10
A. Ambartsumyan
🎯 45' ↓ 65' 🟨 52'
20
A. Tera
↓ 78'
7
Z. Shaghoyan
⚽ 83'
9
A. Eloyan
⚽ 4' ⚽ 45'
Substitutes
12
S. Badalyan
1
A. Nersesyan
47
A. Malis
↑ 78'
5
H. Hakobyan
↑ 78'
13
K. Hovhannisyan
↑ 78'
36
V. Makhsudyan
88
Welton
↑ 65'
77
A. Serobyan
25
A. Ndour
90
P. Ayongo
🎯 83' ↑ 65'
44
V. Petrosyan
26
M. Hovhannisyan
Last matches: Shirak
26.05.26
Pre
Shirak
Alashkert
0
2
L
18.05.26
Pre
Shirak
FC Urartu
0
0
D
08.05.26
Pre
Shirak
Van
0
1
L
01.05.26
Pre
Shirak
Ararat
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pre
Shirak
Gandzasar
2
3
L
16.04.26
Pre
Shirak
BKMA
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pre
Shirak
BKMA
0
0
D
06.04.26
Pre
Shirak
Pyunik Yerevan
0
1
L
22.03.26
Pre
Shirak
FC Noah
0
3
L
16.03.26
Pre
Shirak
FC Noah
0
2
L
09.03.26
Pre
Shirak
Pyunik Yerevan
0
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
Shirak
Ararat
0
1
L
01.12.25
Pre
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
1
4
L
22.11.25
Pre
Shirak
Gandzasar
1
0
W
09.11.25
Pre
Shirak
Ararat
0
0
D
02.11.25
Pre
Shirak
Van
2
3
L
24.10.25
Pre
Shirak
FC Urartu
0
5
L
17.10.25
Pre
Shirak
Alashkert
1
2
L
03.10.25
Pre
Shirak
Alashkert
1
1
D
26.09.25
Pre
Shirak
FC Urartu
0
1
L
Last matches: Ararat-Armenia
27.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
BKMA
3
2
W
10.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
FC Noah
0
4
L
06.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Pyunik Yerevan
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
FC Urartu
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Ararat
4
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Pyunik Yerevan
2
0
W
06.04.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Alashkert
1
1
D
20.03.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Van
2
2
D
16.03.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Van
3
0
W
07.03.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Alashkert
0
1
L
18.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
HIK
3
2
W
15.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
1
L
12.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Hørsholm-Usserød
4
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Banga
2
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Lyngby
0
1
L
01.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
28.01.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Vejle
3
2
W
01.12.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Shirak
4
1
W
25.11.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Pyunik Yerevan
0
1
L
H2H: Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia
20.04.26
H2H
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
0
4
L
02.04.26
H2H
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
0
2
L
04.03.26
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Shirak
1
0
L
01.12.25
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Shirak
4
1
L
24.08.25
H2H
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
0
1
L
03.05.25
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Shirak
5
1
L
22.10.24
H2H
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
0
3
L
19.09.24
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Shirak
4
0
L
21.05.24
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Shirak
1
1
D
31.03.24
H2H
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
0
1
L
11.11.23
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Shirak
2
0
L
19.09.23
H2H
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
1
3
L
17.05.23
H2H
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
0
2
L
12.03.23
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
Shirak
1
0
L
30.10.22
H2H
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
0
5
L
Last matches: Shirak
18.05.26
Pre
Shirak
FC Urartu
0
0
D
01.05.26
Pre
Shirak
Ararat
0
2
L
16.04.26
Pre
Shirak
BKMA
1
1
D
06.04.26
Pre
Shirak
Pyunik Yerevan
0
1
L
16.03.26
Pre
Shirak
FC Noah
0
2
L
22.11.25
Pre
Shirak
Gandzasar
1
0
W
02.11.25
Pre
Shirak
Van
2
3
L
17.10.25
Pre
Shirak
Alashkert
1
2
L
26.09.25
Pre
Shirak
FC Urartu
0
1
L
12.09.25
Pre
Shirak
Ararat
4
2
W
24.08.25
Pre
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
0
1
L
11.08.25
Pre
Shirak
Pyunik Yerevan
0
0
D
H2H at home: Shirak
20.04.26
H2H
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
0
4
L
02.04.26
H2H
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
0
2
L
24.08.25
H2H
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
0
1
L
22.10.24
H2H
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
0
3
L
31.03.24
H2H
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
0
1
L
19.09.23
H2H
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
1
3
L
17.05.23
H2H
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
0
2
L
30.10.22
H2H
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
0
5
L
Last matches: Ararat-Armenia
17.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
BKMA
3
2
W
03.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
FC Urartu
2
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Pyunik Yerevan
2
0
W
20.03.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Van
2
2
D
07.03.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Alashkert
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Banga
2
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Lyngby
0
1
L
01.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
28.01.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Vejle
3
2
W
25.11.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Pyunik Yerevan
0
1
L
21.11.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Ararat
2
1
W
01.11.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
FC Noah
2
1
W
19.10.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
1
0
W
29.09.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
BKMA
2
2
D
14.09.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
FC Urartu
3
2
W
24.08.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Shirak
1
0
W
07.08.25
UEF
Ararat-Armenia
Sparta Praha
1
4
L
04.08.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Van
0
0
D
31.07.25
UEF
Ararat-Armenia
Universitatea Cluj
2
1
W
H2H away: Ararat-Armenia
20.04.26
H2H
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
0
4
W
02.04.26
H2H
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
0
2
W
24.08.25
H2H
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
0
1
W
22.10.24
H2H
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
0
3
W
31.03.24
H2H
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
0
1
W
19.09.23
H2H
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
1
3
W
17.05.23
H2H
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
0
2
W
30.10.22
H2H
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
0
5
W

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 18 6 4 50:26 24 60
W W L W W
2 27 16 8 3 61:19 42 56
W D W W W
3 27 17 4 6 37:18 19 55
W D W W L
4 27 16 5 6 42:23 19 53
W W W D D
5 27 14 7 6 43:26 17 49
L D W L W
6 27 9 4 14 27:40 -13 31
L L W W L
7 27 4 11 12 30:42 -12 23
D L L D W
8 27 5 6 16 20:41 -21 21
L L L L L
9 27 2 7 18 17:51 -34 13
L D L L L
10 27 3 4 20 21:63 -42 13
D L L W L