ARMENIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Gyumri City Stadium
Shirak
Match Timeline
Ararat
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
35'
D. Ukadike
Ararat
🔄
46'
D. Ukadike ↔ A. Aslanyan
Ararat
🟨
55'
R. Karagulyan
Shirak
58'
K. Doumbia
Ararat
🟨
62'
M. Fofana
Ararat
🔄
67'
A. Ouattara ↔ M. Kante
Ararat
🟨
69'
R. Misakyan
Shirak
72'
K. Doumbia · Assist: G. Lulukyan
Ararat
🔄
73'
R. Karagulyan ↔ S. Manukyan
Shirak
🔄
73'
N. Janoyan ↔ V. Sargsyan
Shirak
🔄
75'
K. Doumbia ↔ A. Meite
Ararat
🔄
78'
R. Mkrtchyan ↔ L. Darbinyan
Shirak
🔄
78'
J. Akila ↔ L. Mryan
Shirak
🟨
84'
C. Dombila
Ararat
🔄
85'
M. Fofana ↔ O. Chukwu
Ararat
🔄
85'
G. Lulukyan ↔ P. Handzongo
Ararat
🔄
88'
M. Tarloyan ↔ S. Ghukasyan
Shirak

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 76%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 47.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 33.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
76%
-
BTTS BTTS No
47.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
33.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Shirak Win 36%
Draw 40%
Ararat Win 24%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shirak1.36
Ararat1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shirak Shirak
WWDLW
17 GF / 46 GA
Ararat Ararat
WLDWL
15 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
0.74
Average Goals Scored
0.65
2
Average Goals Conceded
2.3
10
BTTS Yes
9
12
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shirak Shirak 23 matches
Ararat Ararat 23 matches
Shirak Statistic Ararat
2 Wins 2
6 Draws 3
15 Losses 18
17 Goals For 15
46 Goals Against 53
0.74 Avg Goals Scored 0.65
2 Avg Goals Conceded 2.3
10 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 19
12 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 2
12 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ararat having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ararat.

Shirak Analysis

Shirak approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 12 points from 23 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 15 defeats with a 17:46 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on R. Misakyan (6 goals), L. Mryan (3 goals), G. Akulyan (1 goals), with creative support from S. Manukyan (2 assists), J. Akila (1 assists), M. Tarloyan (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ararat Analysis

Ararat sit 10 with 9 points after 23 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 15:53, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through A. Serobyan (7 goals), A. Eloyan (6 goals), H. Oliveira (5 goals), with creative support from Z. Shaghoyan (6 assists), A. Ambartsumyan (3 assists), K. Hovhannisyan (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Shirak won 5 times, Ararat won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:19 from Shirak's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (76%)
H2H summary: Shirak wins 5, draws 3, Ararat wins 7

Lineups

Shirak
Formation
Ararat
L. Karapetyan
L. Karapetyan
M. Tarloyan
M. Tarloyan
A. Vidic
A. Vidic
H. Mnatsakanyan
H. Mnatsakanyan
R. Karagulyan
R. Karagulyan
S. Tsarukyan
S. Tsarukyan
N. Janoyan
N. Janoyan
R. Misakyan
R. Misakyan
R. Mkrtchyan
R. Mkrtchyan
D. Kodia
D. Kodia
J. Akila
J. Akila
A. Anzimati-Aboudou
A. Anzimati-Aboudou
C. Dombila
C. Dombila
A. Khachumyan
A. Khachumyan
G. Lima
G. Lima
A. Kartashyan
A. Kartashyan
D. Ukadike
D. Ukadike
A. Grigoryan
A. Grigoryan
M. Fofana
M. Fofana
A. Ouattara
A. Ouattara
K. Doumbia
⚽ 2
K. Doumbia
G. Lulukyan
🎯
G. Lulukyan
Shirak 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
55
L. Karapetyan
22
M. Tarloyan
↓ 88'
26
A. Vidic
4
H. Mnatsakanyan
3
R. Karagulyan
↓ 73' 🟨 55'
23
S. Tsarukyan
15
N. Janoyan
↓ 73'
6
R. Misakyan
🟨 69'
20
R. Mkrtchyan
↓ 78'
21
D. Kodia
28
J. Akila
↓ 78'
Substitutes
96
S. Hovhannisyan
1
H. Hovhannisyan
5
T. Sumbulyan
18
S. Ghukasyan
↑ 88'
11
S. Manukyan
↑ 73'
2
H. Pahlevanyan
77
G. Ghumashyan
66
V. Sargsyan
↑ 73'
88
Y. Vardanyan
25
G. Akulyan
8
L. Darbinyan
↑ 78'
9
L. Mryan
↑ 78'
Ararat 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Anzimati-Aboudou
12
C. Dombila
🟨 84'
3
A. Khachumyan
55
G. Lima
5
A. Kartashyan
32
D. Ukadike
↓ 46' 🟨 35'
10
A. Grigoryan
42
M. Fofana
↓ 85' 🟨 62'
25
A. Ouattara
↓ 67'
15
K. Doumbia
⚽ 58' ⚽ 72' ↓ 75'
9
G. Lulukyan
🎯 72' ↓ 85'
Substitutes
71
A. Martirosyan
6
O. Chukwu
↑ 85'
7
P. Handzongo
↑ 85'
14
P. E. Obinna
19
S. Toure
20
A. Meite
↑ 75'
27
A. Vardanyan
30
A. Aslanyan
↑ 46'
38
M. Kante
↑ 67'
51
T. Hakobyan
70
A. Mkrtchyan
73
D. Ghazaryan
Last matches: Shirak
26.05.26
Pre
Shirak
Alashkert
0
2
L
18.05.26
Pre
Shirak
FC Urartu
0
0
D
08.05.26
Pre
Shirak
Van
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pre
Shirak
Gandzasar
2
3
L
20.04.26
Pre
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
0
4
L
16.04.26
Pre
Shirak
BKMA
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pre
Shirak
BKMA
0
0
D
06.04.26
Pre
Shirak
Pyunik Yerevan
0
1
L
22.03.26
Pre
Shirak
FC Noah
0
3
L
16.03.26
Pre
Shirak
FC Noah
0
2
L
09.03.26
Pre
Shirak
Pyunik Yerevan
0
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
Shirak
Ararat
0
1
L
01.12.25
Pre
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
1
4
L
22.11.25
Pre
Shirak
Gandzasar
1
0
W
09.11.25
Pre
Shirak
Ararat
0
0
D
02.11.25
Pre
Shirak
Van
2
3
L
24.10.25
Pre
Shirak
FC Urartu
0
5
L
17.10.25
Pre
Shirak
Alashkert
1
2
L
03.10.25
Pre
Shirak
Alashkert
1
1
D
26.09.25
Pre
Shirak
FC Urartu
0
1
L
Last matches: Ararat
26.05.26
Pre
Ararat
BKMA
1
1
D
19.05.26
Pre
Ararat
FC Noah
3
8
L
10.05.26
Pre
Ararat
FC Urartu
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Ararat-Armenia
0
4
L
18.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Pyunik Yerevan
1
0
W
14.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Alashkert
0
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Alashkert
2
3
L
04.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Van
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Ararat
Gandzasar
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Ararat
Gandzasar
0
2
L
07.03.26
Pre
Ararat
Van
2
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Ararat
Van
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
Ararat
Gandzasar
1
1
D
06.02.26
Fri
Ararat
Sardarapat
5
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Ararat
Shirak
1
0
W
30.11.25
Pre
Ararat
Pyunik Yerevan
0
2
L
21.11.25
Pre
Ararat
Ararat-Armenia
1
2
L
09.11.25
Pre
Ararat
Shirak
0
0
D
03.11.25
Pre
Ararat
FC Urartu
0
1
L
27.10.25
Pre
Ararat
FC Noah
0
3
L
H2H: Shirak vs Ararat
01.05.26
H2H
Shirak
Ararat
0
2
L
31.01.26
H2H
Ararat
Shirak
1
0
L
09.11.25
H2H
Ararat
Shirak
0
0
D
12.09.25
H2H
Shirak
Ararat
4
2
W
08.04.25
H2H
Shirak
Ararat
1
3
L
04.04.25
H2H
Ararat
Shirak
1
2
W
25.01.25
H2H
Ararat
Shirak
1
1
D
17.08.24
H2H
Ararat
Shirak
1
2
W
15.05.24
H2H
Shirak
Ararat
0
1
L
15.03.24
H2H
Ararat
Shirak
2
0
L
08.11.23
H2H
Shirak
Ararat
1
2
L
14.09.23
H2H
Ararat
Shirak
2
1
L
08.05.23
H2H
Shirak
Ararat
0
0
D
06.03.23
H2H
Ararat
Shirak
1
2
W
25.10.22
H2H
Ararat
Shirak
0
1
W
Last matches: Shirak
18.05.26
Pre
Shirak
FC Urartu
0
0
D
20.04.26
Pre
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
0
4
L
16.04.26
Pre
Shirak
BKMA
1
1
D
06.04.26
Pre
Shirak
Pyunik Yerevan
0
1
L
16.03.26
Pre
Shirak
FC Noah
0
2
L
22.11.25
Pre
Shirak
Gandzasar
1
0
W
02.11.25
Pre
Shirak
Van
2
3
L
17.10.25
Pre
Shirak
Alashkert
1
2
L
26.09.25
Pre
Shirak
FC Urartu
0
1
L
12.09.25
Pre
Shirak
Ararat
4
2
W
24.08.25
Pre
Shirak
Ararat-Armenia
0
1
L
11.08.25
Pre
Shirak
Pyunik Yerevan
0
0
D
H2H at home: Shirak
01.05.26
H2H
Shirak
Ararat
0
2
L
12.09.25
H2H
Shirak
Ararat
4
2
W
08.04.25
H2H
Shirak
Ararat
1
3
L
15.05.24
H2H
Shirak
Ararat
0
1
L
08.11.23
H2H
Shirak
Ararat
1
2
L
08.05.23
H2H
Shirak
Ararat
0
0
D
Last matches: Ararat
19.05.26
Pre
Ararat
FC Noah
3
8
L
25.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Ararat-Armenia
0
4
L
14.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Alashkert
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Ararat
Gandzasar
1
2
L
07.03.26
Pre
Ararat
Van
2
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Ararat
Van
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
Ararat
Gandzasar
1
1
D
30.11.25
Pre
Ararat
Pyunik Yerevan
0
2
L
19.10.25
Pre
Ararat
BKMA
0
4
L
28.09.25
Pre
Ararat
FC Noah
0
2
L
19.09.25
Pre
Ararat
FC Urartu
0
6
L
12.09.25
Pre
Ararat
Shirak
2
4
L
30.08.25
Pre
Ararat
Ararat-Armenia
2
4
L
16.08.25
Pre
Ararat
Alashkert
0
3
L
01.08.25
Pre
Ararat
Gandzasar
1
1
D
H2H away: Ararat
01.05.26
H2H
Shirak
Ararat
0
2
W
12.09.25
H2H
Shirak
Ararat
4
2
L
08.04.25
H2H
Shirak
Ararat
1
3
W
15.05.24
H2H
Shirak
Ararat
0
1
W
08.11.23
H2H
Shirak
Ararat
1
2
W
08.05.23
H2H
Shirak
Ararat
0
0
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 18 6 4 50:26 24 60
W W L W W
2 27 16 8 3 61:19 42 56
W D W W W
3 27 17 4 6 37:18 19 55
W D W W L
4 27 16 5 6 42:23 19 53
W W W D D
5 27 14 7 6 43:26 17 49
L D W L W
6 27 9 4 14 27:40 -13 31
L L W W L
7 27 4 11 12 30:42 -12 23
D L L D W
8 27 5 6 16 20:41 -21 21
L L L L L
9 27 2 7 18 17:51 -34 13
L D L L L
10 27 3 4 20 21:63 -42 13
D L L W L