JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
29.04.2026 04:00
IAI Stadium Nihondaira
Referee: Y. Yamashita
Shimizu S-pulse
Match Timeline
V-varen Nagasaki
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
8'
Jelani Reshaun Sumiyoshi
Shimizu S-pulse
21'
Y. Shimamoto
Shimizu S-pulse
🟨
27'
Riku Yamada
V-varen Nagasaki
33'
Thiago · Assist: I. Arai
V-varen Nagasaki
🟨
36'
Onaga Hijiri
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
46'
K. Kozuka ↔ S. Hasukawa
Shimizu S-pulse
46'
M. Hasegawa · Assist: Dudu Giusti
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
61'
R. Yamada ↔ R. Yamasaki
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
61'
Dudu Giusti ↔ Diego Pituca
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
63'
M. Yumiba ↔ Z. Uno
Shimizu S-pulse
🔄
70'
Y. Shimamoto ↔ Capixaba
Shimizu S-pulse
🔄
72'
Thiago ↔ Y. Iwasaki
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
83'
Park Seung-Wook ↔ Y. Honda
Shimizu S-pulse
🔄
83'
H. Hidaka ↔ T. Takahashi
Shimizu S-pulse
🔄
90+3'
S. Yoneda ↔ K. Takahata
V-varen Nagasaki
🔄
90+3'
T. Matsumoto ↔ T. Sawada
V-varen Nagasaki

Shimizu S-pulse vs V-varen Nagasaki Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 33.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
33.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
70.3%
-
HT / FT X-X
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Shimizu S-pulse Win 46%
Draw 21.1%
V-varen Nagasaki Win 33%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shimizu S-pulse1.28
V-varen Nagasaki0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse
WWDLW
17 GF / 13 GA
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
WLDWL
13 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
7
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
5
3.17
Shots on Goal
3.08

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 14 matches
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 13 matches
Shimizu S-pulse Statistic V-varen Nagasaki
5 Wins 5
6 Draws 1
3 Losses 7
17 Goals For 13
13 Goals Against 18
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
7 BTTS Yes 5
11 Over 1.5 9
4 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 4
3.17 Shots On Goal 3.08
10.17 Total Shots 10.25
4.5 Corners 3.5
47.9% Ball Possession 47.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Shimizu S-pulse won 4 times, V-varen Nagasaki won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:15 from Shimizu S-pulse's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.9%)
Predicted formations: Shimizu S-pulse 3-4-2-1 / V-varen Nagasaki 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Shimizu S-pulse wins 4, draws 3, V-varen Nagasaki wins 3

Standings

West
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 11 0 7 29:25 4 35
?
2 18 11 0 7 30:21 9 31
?
3 18 10 0 8 33:31 2 31
?
4 18 10 0 8 31:23 8 30
?
5 18 10 0 8 31:25 6 28
?
6 18 8 0 10 26:29 -3 26
?
7 18 8 0 10 23:25 -2 24
?
8 18 8 0 10 22:28 -6 23
?
9 18 7 0 11 21:29 -8 21
?
10 18 7 0 11 21:31 -10 21
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)