JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
IAI Stadium Nihondaira
Referee: A. Ikeuchi
Shimizu S-pulse
Match Timeline
Gamba Osaka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
Rin Mito
Gamba Osaka
🔄
19'
Z. Uno ↔ M. Yumiba
Shimizu S-pulse
🔄
30'
R. Meshino ↔ Welton
Gamba Osaka
58'
M. Yumiba · Assist: Y. Yoshida
Shimizu S-pulse
🔄
60'
T. Usami ↔ H. Minamino
Gamba Osaka
🔄
60'
R. Yamashita ↔ G. Nawata
Gamba Osaka
61'
H. Minamino · Assist: R. Hatsuse
Gamba Osaka
🟨
64'
Jelani Reshaun Sumiyoshi
Shimizu S-pulse
🔄
68'
K. Kozuka ↔ T. Takahashi
Shimizu S-pulse
🔄
68'
K. Matsuzaki ↔ M. Nishihara
Shimizu S-pulse
75'
Y. Yoshida
Gamba Osaka
🔄
76'
M. Brunetti ↔ S. Takagi
Shimizu S-pulse
🔄
77'
Y. Shimamoto ↔ K. Chiba
Shimizu S-pulse
🟨
79'
Gaku Nawata
Gamba Osaka
🔄
83'
T. Suzuki ↔ S. Nakano
Gamba Osaka
🔄
83'
D. Hummet ↔ T. Yamamoto
Gamba Osaka
🟨
90+2'
Takato Yamamoto
Gamba Osaka

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 34.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
34.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Shimizu S-pulse Win 34.4%
Draw 31.5%
Gamba Osaka Win 34.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shimizu S-pulse1.2
Gamba Osaka1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse
WWDLW
22 GF / 20 GA
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
WLDWL
32 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
11
BTTS Yes
13
6
Over 2.5
11
3.24
Shots on Goal
5.76

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 19 matches
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 20 matches
Shimizu S-pulse Statistic Gamba Osaka
6 Wins 6
8 Draws 9
5 Losses 5
22 Goals For 32
20 Goals Against 25
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
11 BTTS Yes 13
16 Over 1.5 16
6 Over 2.5 11
2 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 5
3.24 Shots On Goal 5.76
11.06 Total Shots 13.35
4.65 Corners 4.41
49.5% Ball Possession 55.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Gamba Osaka's more proactive style and Shimizu S-pulse's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Gamba Osaka arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Gamba Osaka. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shimizu S-pulse expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Gamba Osaka in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gamba Osaka having the stronger overall control.

Shimizu S-pulse Analysis

From their first 17 matches, Shimizu S-pulse have collected 24 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 8 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 22:23 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Oh Se-Hun (7 goals), Y. Shimamoto (3 goals), K. Kitagawa (2 goals), with creative support from Yutaka Yoshida (2 assists), Z. Uno (2 assists), Oh Se-Hun (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gamba Osaka Analysis

With 25 points from 17 games and a place of 6, Gamba Osaka still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 29:24, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through D. Hummet (9 goals), H. Minamino (5 goals), R. Meshino (2 goals), with creative support from I. Jebali (2 assists), Ryoya Yamashita (2 assists), Ryo Hatsuse (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Shimizu S-pulse won 2 times, Gamba Osaka won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:20 from Shimizu S-pulse's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (68.5%)
Predicted formations: Shimizu S-pulse 4-3-3 / Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Shimizu S-pulse wins 2, draws 5, Gamba Osaka wins 8
Stats
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
5
5 Corner Kicks 1
8 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 1
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 5
10 Shots insidebox 6
2 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
446 Total passes 455
358 Passes accurate 364
1.61 expected_goals 0.87
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Shimizu S-pulse
Formation
Gamba Osaka
T. Umeda
T. Umeda
Y. Yoshida
🎯
Y. Yoshida
J. Sumiyoshi
J. Sumiyoshi
Y. Honda
Y. Honda
M. Brunetti
M. Brunetti
Z. Uno
Z. Uno
Matheus Bueno
Matheus Bueno
K. Kozuka
K. Kozuka
Y. Shimamoto
Y. Shimamoto
K. Matsuzaki
K. Matsuzaki
Oh Se-Hun
Oh Se-Hun
R. Araki
R. Araki
G. Ikegaya
G. Ikegaya
G. Miura
G. Miura
S. Nakatani
S. Nakatani
R. Hatsuse
🎯
R. Hatsuse
T. Suzuki
T. Suzuki
R. Mito
R. Mito
R. Yamashita
R. Yamashita
T. Usami
T. Usami
R. Meshino
R. Meshino
D. Hummet
D. Hummet
Shimizu S-pulse 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
16
T. Umeda
G
28
Y. Yoshida
⚽ 75' 🎯 58'
D
51
J. Sumiyoshi
🟨 64'
D
15
Y. Honda
D
25
M. Brunetti
↓ 76'
D
6
Z. Uno
↓ 19'
M
10
Matheus Bueno
M
81
K. Kozuka
↓ 68'
M
47
Y. Shimamoto
↓ 77'
M
21
K. Matsuzaki
↓ 68'
M
9
Oh Se-Hun
F
Substitutes
1
Y. Oki
G
38
T. Takahashi
↑ 68'
F
23
K. Chiba
↑ 77'
F
5
K. Kitazume
D
4
S. Hasukawa
D
17
M. Yumiba
⚽ 58' ↑ 19'
M
70
S. Takagi
↑ 76'
D
44
M. Nishihara
↑ 68'
M
97
R. Ohata
M
Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
18
R. Araki
G
19
G. Ikegaya
D
5
G. Miura
D
4
S. Nakatani
D
21
R. Hatsuse
🎯 61'
D
16
T. Suzuki
↓ 83'
M
27
R. Mito
🟨 15'
M
17
R. Yamashita
↓ 60'
M
7
T. Usami
↓ 60'
M
8
R. Meshino
↓ 30'
M
23
D. Hummet
↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Higashiguchi
G
97
Welton
↑ 30'
F
67
S. Sasaki
D
47
S. Nakano
↑ 83'
D
42
H. Minamino
⚽ 61' ↑ 60'
F
38
G. Nawata
↑ 60' 🟨 79'
M
35
T. Tono
F
36
T. Yamamoto
↑ 83' 🟨 90+2'
M
32
Y. Yoshihara
M
Last matches: Shimizu S-pulse
18.07.26
Fri
Shimizu S-pulse
Karlsruher SC
3
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Shimizu S-pulse
Polessya
3
1
W
06.06.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Yokohama F. Marinos
0
3
L
31.05.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
1
D
17.05.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Fagiano Okayama
0
2
L
10.05.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Avispa Fukuoka
1
1
D
06.05.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Cerezo Osaka
1
1
D
02.05.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Kyoto Sanga
2
1
W
29.04.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
1
2
L
25.04.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Nagoya Grampus
0
2
L
11.04.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
1
D
05.04.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
3
0
W
01.04.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Vissel Kobe
0
2
L
22.03.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3
1
W
18.03.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Avispa Fukuoka
1
1
D
14.03.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Fagiano Okayama
1
1
D
07.03.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Cerezo Osaka
0
0
D
28.02.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
2
2
D
21.02.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Vissel Kobe
1
0
W
14.02.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Kyoto Sanga
1
1
D
Last matches: Gamba Osaka
15.07.26
Fri
Gamba Osaka
Red Bull Salzburg
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Gamba Osaka
Sparta Praha
0
3
L
06.06.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
4
2
W
30.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
1
1
D
10.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
1
L
06.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
1
2
L
02.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
5
0
W
29.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
1
1
D
25.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
1
1
D
22.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
1
2
L
19.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
2
2
D
11.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
0
1
L
04.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
2
0
W
21.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
18.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
2
2
D
14.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
2
L
08.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
3
2
W
28.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
2
2
D
22.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
2
1
W
15.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
0
0
D
H2H: Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka
24.05.26
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
1
2
L
28.02.26
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
2
2
D
15.06.25
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
0
0
D
08.03.25
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
1
0
L
14.08.22
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
0
2
W
10.04.22
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
1
1
D
13.08.21
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
0
1
L
18.04.21
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
0
0
D
19.12.20
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
0
2
W
12.07.20
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
1
2
L
13.07.19
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
1
0
L
08.05.19
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
3
1
L
10.04.19
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
1
1
D
02.03.19
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
2
4
L
21.09.18
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
1
2
L
Last matches: Shimizu S-pulse
31.05.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
1
D
10.05.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Avispa Fukuoka
1
1
D
06.05.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Cerezo Osaka
1
1
D
29.04.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
1
2
L
25.04.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Nagoya Grampus
0
2
L
22.03.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3
1
W
14.03.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Fagiano Okayama
1
1
D
21.02.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Vissel Kobe
1
0
W
14.02.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Kyoto Sanga
1
1
D
20.01.26
Fri
Shimizu S-pulse
Kitakyushu
2
1
W
H2H at home: Shimizu S-pulse
24.05.26
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
1
2
L
15.06.25
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
0
0
D
10.04.22
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
1
1
D
13.08.21
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
0
1
L
12.07.20
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
1
2
L
10.04.19
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
1
1
D
02.03.19
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
2
4
L
21.09.18
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
1
2
L
Last matches: Gamba Osaka
15.07.26
Fri
Gamba Osaka
Red Bull Salzburg
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Gamba Osaka
Sparta Praha
0
3
L
06.06.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
4
2
W
06.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
1
2
L
29.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
1
1
D
25.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
1
1
D
21.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
18.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
2
2
D
14.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
2
L
22.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
2
1
W
07.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
0
0
D
H2H away: Gamba Osaka
24.05.26
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
1
2
W
15.06.25
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
0
0
D
10.04.22
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
1
1
D
13.08.21
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
0
1
W
12.07.20
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
1
2
W
10.04.19
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
1
1
D
02.03.19
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
2
4
W
21.09.18
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
1
2
W

Standings

West
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 11 0 7 29:25 4 35
?
2 18 11 0 7 30:21 9 31
?
3 18 10 0 8 33:31 2 31
?
4 18 10 0 8 31:23 8 30
?
5 18 10 0 8 31:25 6 28
?
6 18 8 0 10 26:29 -3 26
?
7 18 8 0 10 23:25 -2 24
?
8 18 8 0 10 22:28 -6 23
?
9 18 7 0 11 21:29 -8 21
?
10 18 7 0 11 21:31 -10 21
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)