JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
IAI Stadium Nihondaira
Referee: K. Koya
Shimizu S-pulse
Match Timeline
Avispa Fukuoka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
53'
Kohei Okuno
Avispa Fukuoka
🔄
56'
A. Ahmedov ↔ Oh Se-Hun
Shimizu S-pulse
🔄
56'
R. Ohata ↔ K. Matsuzaki
Shimizu S-pulse
🟨
63'
Masato Shigemi
Avispa Fukuoka
🔄
68'
Y. Honda ↔ Y. Yoshida
Shimizu S-pulse
70'
S. Usui · Assist: M. Shigemi
Avispa Fukuoka
75'
Oh Se-Hun · Assist: K. Matsuzaki
Shimizu S-pulse
🔄
83'
K. Fujimoto ↔ D. Miya
Avispa Fukuoka
🔄
83'
Y. Maejima ↔ K. Yamawaki
Avispa Fukuoka
🔄
86'
T. Takahashi ↔ K. Chiba
Shimizu S-pulse
🟨
87'
Yutaka Yoshida
Shimizu S-pulse
🟨
87'
Shintaro Nago
Avispa Fukuoka
🟨
88'
Kanta Chiba
Shimizu S-pulse
🔄
90+2'
S. Usui ↔ A. Sani Brown
Avispa Fukuoka
🔄
90+2'
M. Shigemi ↔ Y. Kitajima
Avispa Fukuoka
🔄
90+2'
S. Nago ↔ S. Sato
Avispa Fukuoka

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 82.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
82.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Shimizu S-pulse Win 43.6%
Draw 17.1%
Avispa Fukuoka Win 39.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shimizu S-pulse1.44
Avispa Fukuoka1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse
WWDLW
21 GF / 17 GA
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka
WLDWL
30 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
10
BTTS Yes
14
6
Over 2.5
9
3.47
Shots on Goal
3.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 17 matches
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 20 matches
Shimizu S-pulse Statistic Avispa Fukuoka
6 Wins 5
7 Draws 9
4 Losses 6
21 Goals For 30
17 Goals Against 35
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
10 BTTS Yes 14
14 Over 1.5 17
6 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 4
3.47 Shots On Goal 3.38
11.27 Total Shots 11.19
4.73 Corners 4.63
48.3% Ball Possession 41.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Shimizu S-pulse have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Avispa Fukuoka. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Shimizu S-pulse Analysis

With 22 points from 15 games and a place of 5, Shimizu S-pulse still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 20:20, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Oh Se-Hun (6 goals), Y. Shimamoto (3 goals), Capixaba (2 goals), with creative support from Yutaka Yoshida (2 assists), Z. Uno (2 assists), Oh Se-Hun (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Avispa Fukuoka Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka sit 9 with 20 points after 16 league matches. The record of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 20:28 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Shosei Usui (3 goals), G. Miura (2 goals), K. Maeda (2 goals), with creative support from Tomoya Miki (2 assists), Y. Hashimoto (2 assists), G. Miura (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Shimizu S-pulse won 4 times, Avispa Fukuoka won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:10 from Shimizu S-pulse's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.78 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.9%)
Predicted formations: Shimizu S-pulse 3-4-2-1 / Avispa Fukuoka 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Shimizu S-pulse wins 4, draws 4, Avispa Fukuoka wins 1
Stats
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
0
4 Corner Kicks 2
10 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 1
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 6
3 Blocked Shots 0
2 Shots insidebox 5
6 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 0
410 Total passes 318
306 Passes accurate 215
0.39 expected_goals 0.42
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Shimizu S-pulse
Formation
Avispa Fukuoka
Y. Oki
Y. Oki
J. Sumiyoshi
J. Sumiyoshi
Y. Honda
Y. Honda
M. Brunetti
M. Brunetti
K. Kitazume
K. Kitazume
Z. Uno
Z. Uno
Matheus Bueno
Matheus Bueno
R. Ohata
R. Ohata
Y. Shimamoto
Y. Shimamoto
T. Takahashi
T. Takahashi
A. Ahmedov
A. Ahmedov
K. Fujita
K. Fujita
T. Kamijima
T. Kamijima
M. Tashiro
M. Tashiro
Y. Tsujioka
Y. Tsujioka
Y. Maejima
Y. Maejima
K. Okuno
K. Okuno
K. Shiihashi
K. Shiihashi
K. Fujimoto
K. Fujimoto
M. Shigemi
🎯
M. Shigemi
S. Nago
S. Nago
S. Usui
S. Usui
Shimizu S-pulse 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
Y. Oki
G
51
J. Sumiyoshi
D
15
Y. Honda
↓ 68'
D
25
M. Brunetti
D
5
K. Kitazume
M
6
Z. Uno
M
10
Matheus Bueno
M
97
R. Ohata
↓ 56'
M
47
Y. Shimamoto
F
38
T. Takahashi
↓ 86'
F
29
A. Ahmedov
↓ 56'
F
Substitutes
30
T. Sasaki
G
81
K. Kozuka
M
9
Oh Se-Hun
⚽ 75' ↑ 56'
F
23
K. Chiba
↑ 86' 🟨 88'
F
28
Y. Yoshida
↑ 68' 🟨 87'
D
21
K. Matsuzaki
🎯 75' ↑ 56'
M
4
S. Hasukawa
D
17
M. Yumiba
M
39
H. Hidaka
D
Avispa Fukuoka 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
41
K. Fujita
G
5
T. Kamijima
D
37
M. Tashiro
D
15
Y. Tsujioka
D
29
Y. Maejima
↓ 83'
M
8
K. Okuno
🟨 53'
M
34
K. Shiihashi
M
22
K. Fujimoto
↓ 83'
M
6
M. Shigemi
🎯 70' ↓ 90+2' 🟨 63'
F
14
S. Nago
↓ 90+2' 🟨 87'
F
7
S. Usui
⚽ 70' ↓ 90+2'
F
Substitutes
99
P. O. Obi
G
45
D. Miya
↑ 83'
D
33
K. Yamawaki
↑ 83'
D
32
A. Sani Brown
↑ 90+2'
F
25
Y. Kitajima
↑ 90+2'
M
27
Y. Michiwaki
F
19
M. Kim
D
18
S. Sato
↑ 90+2'
F
46
K. Fukushima
M
Last matches: Shimizu S-pulse
18.07.26
Fri
Shimizu S-pulse
Karlsruher SC
3
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Shimizu S-pulse
Polessya
3
1
W
06.06.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Yokohama F. Marinos
0
3
L
31.05.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
1
D
24.05.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
1
2
L
17.05.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Fagiano Okayama
0
2
L
06.05.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Cerezo Osaka
1
1
D
02.05.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Kyoto Sanga
2
1
W
29.04.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
1
2
L
25.04.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Nagoya Grampus
0
2
L
11.04.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
1
D
05.04.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
3
0
W
01.04.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Vissel Kobe
0
2
L
22.03.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3
1
W
18.03.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Avispa Fukuoka
1
1
D
14.03.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Fagiano Okayama
1
1
D
07.03.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Cerezo Osaka
0
0
D
28.02.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
2
2
D
21.02.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Vissel Kobe
1
0
W
14.02.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Kyoto Sanga
1
1
D
Last matches: Avispa Fukuoka
19.07.26
Fri
Avispa Fukuoka
Osaka
3
2
W
11.07.26
Fri
Avispa Fukuoka
Kitakyushu
1
2
L
06.06.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
30.05.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
JEF United Chiba
2
2
D
23.05.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Vissel Kobe
0
1
L
06.05.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Kyoto Sanga
1
1
D
03.05.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Cerezo Osaka
1
1
D
29.04.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2
2
D
25.04.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Fagiano Okayama
0
2
L
22.04.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
2
1
W
19.04.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
2
2
D
11.04.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
1
0
W
05.04.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
0
W
21.03.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
2
2
D
18.03.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Shimizu S-pulse
1
1
D
15.03.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
07.03.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
1
5
L
27.02.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Vissel Kobe
1
2
L
22.02.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Kyoto Sanga
0
2
L
15.02.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Cerezo Osaka
0
2
L
H2H: Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka
10.05.26
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Avispa Fukuoka
1
1
D
18.03.26
H2H
Avispa Fukuoka
Shimizu S-pulse
1
1
D
23.08.25
H2H
Avispa Fukuoka
Shimizu S-pulse
0
0
D
20.04.25
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Avispa Fukuoka
3
1
W
17.09.22
H2H
Avispa Fukuoka
Shimizu S-pulse
3
2
L
18.06.22
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Avispa Fukuoka
3
1
W
02.10.21
H2H
Avispa Fukuoka
Shimizu S-pulse
1
2
W
06.03.21
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
14.08.19
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Avispa Fukuoka
1
0
W
Last matches: Shimizu S-pulse
31.05.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
1
D
24.05.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
1
2
L
06.05.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Cerezo Osaka
1
1
D
29.04.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
1
2
L
25.04.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Nagoya Grampus
0
2
L
22.03.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3
1
W
14.03.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Fagiano Okayama
1
1
D
21.02.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Vissel Kobe
1
0
W
14.02.26
J1
Shimizu S-pulse
Kyoto Sanga
1
1
D
20.01.26
Fri
Shimizu S-pulse
Kitakyushu
2
1
W
H2H at home: Shimizu S-pulse
10.05.26
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Avispa Fukuoka
1
1
D
20.04.25
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Avispa Fukuoka
3
1
W
18.06.22
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Avispa Fukuoka
3
1
W
06.03.21
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
14.08.19
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Avispa Fukuoka
1
0
W
Last matches: Avispa Fukuoka
06.06.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
03.05.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Cerezo Osaka
1
1
D
25.04.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Fagiano Okayama
0
2
L
22.04.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
2
1
W
19.04.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
2
2
D
05.04.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
0
W
15.03.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
27.02.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Vissel Kobe
1
2
L
22.02.26
J1
Avispa Fukuoka
Kyoto Sanga
0
2
L
20.01.26
Fri
Avispa Fukuoka
Tokyo Verdy
4
3
W
H2H away: Avispa Fukuoka
10.05.26
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Avispa Fukuoka
1
1
D
20.04.25
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Avispa Fukuoka
3
1
L
18.06.22
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Avispa Fukuoka
3
1
L
06.03.21
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
14.08.19
H2H
Shimizu S-pulse
Avispa Fukuoka
1
0
L

Standings

West
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 11 0 7 29:25 4 35
?
2 18 11 0 7 30:21 9 31
?
3 18 10 0 8 33:31 2 31
?
4 18 10 0 8 31:23 8 30
?
5 18 10 0 8 31:25 6 28
?
6 18 8 0 10 26:29 -3 26
?
7 18 8 0 10 23:25 -2 24
?
8 18 8 0 10 22:28 -6 23
?
9 18 7 0 11 21:29 -8 21
?
10 18 7 0 11 21:31 -10 21
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)