CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
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Olympic Sports Centre Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.7%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Shenyang Urban Win 57.7%
Draw 12.4%
Shanghai Shenhua Win 29.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shenyang Urban1.42
Shanghai Shenhua1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shenyang Urban Shenyang Urban
WWDLW
25 GF / 31 GA
Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua
WLDWL
40 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.74
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
10
BTTS Yes
16
12
Over 2.5
14
4.05
Shots on Goal
5.74

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shenyang Urban Shenyang Urban 19 matches
Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 23 matches
Shenyang Urban Statistic Shanghai Shenhua
6 Wins 8
3 Draws 8
10 Losses 7
25 Goals For 40
31 Goals Against 36
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.74
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
10 BTTS Yes 16
14 Over 1.5 20
12 Over 2.5 14
7 Over 3.5 11
2 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 4
4.05 Shots On Goal 5.74
12.21 Total Shots 15.37
4.11 Corners 6.11
52% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Shanghai Shenhua's more proactive style and Shenyang Urban's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Shanghai Shenhua. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shenyang Urban expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Shanghai Shenhua in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shanghai Shenhua having the stronger overall control.

Shenyang Urban Analysis

So far, Shenyang Urban have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 21 points from 19 matches. The record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 25:31 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Takahiro Kunimoto (1 goals), with creative support from Binbin Chen (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Shanghai Shenhua Analysis

So far, Shanghai Shenhua have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 19 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, while the 36:31 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Shenyang Urban won 0 times, Shanghai Shenhua won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from Shenyang Urban's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.6%)
Predicted formations: Shenyang Urban 3-4-3 / Shanghai Shenhua 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Shenyang Urban wins 0, draws 0, Shanghai Shenhua wins 1
Last matches: Shenyang Urban
25.07.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Qingdao Youth Island
0
1
L
17.07.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Beijing Guoan
1
1
D
04.07.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Chongqing Tongliang Long
3
1
W
27.06.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Shandong Luneng
1
5
L
29.05.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
SHANGHAI SIPG
3
2
W
24.05.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Hangzhou Greentown
5
0
W
20.05.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Qingdao Jonoon
2
1
W
16.05.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Wuhan Three Towns
2
2
D
10.05.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Yunnan Yukun
1
2
L
05.05.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Chengdu Better City
0
1
L
01.05.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Henan Jianye
0
4
L
26.04.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Sichuan Jiuniu
0
1
L
22.04.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Dalian Zhixing
0
1
L
18.04.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Shanghai Shenhua
1
3
L
11.04.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Qingdao Youth Island
1
1
D
04.04.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Beijing Guoan
2
1
W
21.03.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Tianjin Teda
3
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Chongqing Tongliang Long
0
1
L
07.03.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Shandong Luneng
0
3
L
Last matches: Shanghai Shenhua
25.07.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
SHANGHAI SIPG
0
2
L
18.07.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Tianjin Teda
0
2
L
05.07.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Hangzhou Greentown
3
2
W
28.06.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Dalian Zhixing
4
1
W
30.05.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Qingdao Youth Island
2
2
D
24.05.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Sichuan Jiuniu
1
2
L
20.05.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Wuhan Three Towns
2
2
D
16.05.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Yunnan Yukun
0
1
L
09.05.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Chongqing Tongliang Long
2
2
D
05.05.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Shandong Luneng
1
4
L
01.05.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Chengdu Better City
2
3
L
26.04.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Henan Jianye
3
0
W
22.04.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Qingdao Jonoon
2
0
W
18.04.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Shenyang Urban
3
1
W
11.04.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
0
W
05.04.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Tianjin Teda
3
2
W
21.03.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
1
1
D
14.03.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Hangzhou Greentown
1
1
D
07.03.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Dalian Zhixing
5
3
W
26.01.26
Fri
Shanghai Shenhua
Rodina Moskva
1
1
D
H2H: Shenyang Urban vs Shanghai Shenhua
18.04.26
H2H
Shanghai Shenhua
Shenyang Urban
3
1
L
Last matches: Shenyang Urban
25.07.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Qingdao Youth Island
0
1
L
04.07.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Chongqing Tongliang Long
3
1
W
27.06.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Shandong Luneng
1
5
L
29.05.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
SHANGHAI SIPG
3
2
W
20.05.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Qingdao Jonoon
2
1
W
10.05.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Yunnan Yukun
1
2
L
05.05.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Chengdu Better City
0
1
L
22.04.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Dalian Zhixing
0
1
L
04.04.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Beijing Guoan
2
1
W
21.03.26
Sup
Shenyang Urban
Tianjin Teda
3
0
W
Last matches: Shanghai Shenhua
25.07.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
SHANGHAI SIPG
0
2
L
28.06.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Dalian Zhixing
4
1
W
30.05.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Qingdao Youth Island
2
2
D
16.05.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Yunnan Yukun
0
1
L
05.05.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Shandong Luneng
1
4
L
26.04.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Henan Jianye
3
0
W
05.04.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Tianjin Teda
3
2
W
21.03.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
1
1
D
14.03.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Hangzhou Greentown
1
1
D
26.01.26
Fri
Shanghai Shenhua
Rodina Moskva
1
1
D
23.01.26
Fri
Shanghai Shenhua
Dynamo
2
2
D
20.01.26
Fri
Shanghai Shenhua
Ulsan Hyundai FC
1
2
L

Standings

Chinese Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 4 2 39:18 21 43
D D D W W
2 20 7 8 5 23:22 1 29
L D D L W
3 18 9 1 8 28:32 -4 28
W W L L W
4 20 6 10 4 24:29 -5 28
W D L W W
5 19 7 4 8 36:35 1 25
D L W L D
6 19 9 3 7 35:34 1 24
L W L W L
7 18 7 6 5 30:24 6 22
D W W W L
8 19 7 5 7 27:32 -5 21
D W L L W
9 19 6 3 10 25:31 -6 21
L D W L W
10 19 6 2 11 25:33 -8 20
L W L L W
11 19 8 5 6 36:31 5 19
L L W W D
12 19 6 6 7 30:26 4 19
W D L W L
13 18 7 3 8 23:23 0 18
W L L L W
14 19 6 6 7 26:22 4 14
W W W L W
15 19 4 7 8 27:34 -7 14
W W L L D
16 20 6 3 11 30:38 -8 14
L L L D W
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Relegation - League One