CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
27.06.2026 11:00
Tiexi Stadium
Referee: Jianxin Du, China
Shenyang Urban
Match Timeline
Shandong Luneng
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
Zeca · Assist: Xie Wenneng
Shandong Luneng
VAR
23'
Guilherme Madruga
Shandong Luneng
25'
Zeca
Shandong Luneng
🟨
39'
Takahiro Kunimoto
Shenyang Urban
🔄
46'
D. Mawlanniyaz ↔ P. Vagic
Shenyang Urban
🔄
46'
Chen Binbin ↔ Pan Ximing
Shenyang Urban
🔄
46'
Wang Tong ↔ R. Merkies
Shandong Luneng
VAR
50'
Maiwulang Mijiti
Shandong Luneng
52'
V. Qazaishvili
Shandong Luneng
55'
Guilherme Madruga · Assist: Zeca
Shandong Luneng
🔄
67'
Zheng Zheng ↔ Peng Xiao
Shandong Luneng
🔄
68'
Huang Zhengyu ↔ Memet Imran
Shandong Luneng
69'
T. Kunimoto · Assist: Zang Yifeng
Shenyang Urban
🔄
71'
Li Haoran ↔ Pang Shenghan
Shenyang Urban
🔄
79'
Zeca ↔ Y. Peng
Shandong Luneng
VAR
84'
Guy Mbenza
Shenyang Urban
🔄
87'
Li Tixiang ↔ Tian Yuda
Shenyang Urban
88'
V. Qazaishvili
Shandong Luneng
🔄
90+1'
Mijit Mewlan ↔ Shi Songchen
Shandong Luneng

Shenyang Urban vs Shandong Luneng Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 76.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
76.4%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Shenyang Urban Win 37.1%
Draw 23.6%
Shandong Luneng Win 39.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shenyang Urban1.47
Shandong Luneng1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shenyang Urban Shenyang Urban
WWDLW
20 GF / 23 GA
Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng
WLDWL
25 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
7
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
11
4.27
Shots on Goal
4.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shenyang Urban Shenyang Urban 15 matches
Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng 15 matches
Shenyang Urban Statistic Shandong Luneng
5 Wins 7
2 Draws 3
8 Losses 5
20 Goals For 25
23 Goals Against 25
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
7 BTTS Yes 11
11 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 2
4.27 Shots On Goal 4.4
12 Total Shots 14.33
4 Corners 4.87
52.5% Ball Possession 52%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Shandong Luneng. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shenyang Urban expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Shandong Luneng in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shandong Luneng having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Shenyang Urban Analysis

Shenyang Urban sit 8 with 17 points after 15 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 20:23 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Shandong Luneng Analysis

Shandong Luneng come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 18 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 25:25 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Shenyang Urban won 0 times, Shandong Luneng won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:8 from Shenyang Urban's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.4%)
Predicted formations: Shenyang Urban 4-1-4-1 / Shandong Luneng 4-3-3
H2H summary: Shenyang Urban wins 0, draws 0, Shandong Luneng wins 2

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 7 4 51:30 21 52
D W L W L
2 26 12 4 10 38:42 -4 40
W D W D L
3 26 11 10 5 49:33 16 38
D D D W W
4 26 11 5 10 54:51 3 38
W L D W W
5 26 8 14 4 31:32 -1 38
D D W D D
6 26 13 4 9 46:43 3 37
D W L W W
7 26 10 8 8 40:33 7 33
D W W D W
8 26 12 5 9 52:46 6 31
W L W L W
9 26 7 10 9 27:32 -5 31
L D L D L
10 25 9 6 10 41:42 -1 28
L W D L L
11 26 8 4 14 34:45 -11 28
D L D W L
12 26 8 9 9 33:35 -2 27
D D D D L
13 26 7 4 15 34:47 -13 25
L L L D L
14 26 9 8 9 36:32 4 25
W W D D L
15 25 5 11 9 38:42 -4 21
D D W D L
16 26 6 3 17 34:53 -19 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation