IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Tolka Park
Referee: R. Harvey
Shelbourne
Match Timeline
Shamrock Rovers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
31'
E. Caffrey · Assist: H. Wood
Shelbourne
🟨
41'
Adam Brennan
Shamrock Rovers
55'
A. Brennan · Assist: J. Mulraney
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
62'
E. Chapman ↔ W. Jarvis
Shelbourne
65'
M. Odubeko · Assist: H. Wood
Shelbourne
🔄
71'
E. Caffrey ↔ A. Coote
Shelbourne
🔄
71'
M. Mbeng ↔ S. Gannon
Shelbourne
🟨
73'
Lee Grace
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
74'
J. Mulraney ↔ D. Grant
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
74'
A. Greene ↔ J. McGovern
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
74'
D. Watts ↔ M. Noonan
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
82'
D. Kelly ↔ J. Norris
Shelbourne
🔄
82'
M. Odubeko ↔ R. Freitas
Shelbourne
🔄
83'
G. Burke ↔ N. Razi
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
90+2'
E. Stevens ↔ C. Malley
Shamrock Rovers

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.2%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Shelbourne Win 29.8%
Draw 9%
Shamrock Rovers Win 61.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shelbourne1.3
Shamrock Rovers1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shelbourne Shelbourne
WWDLW
38 GF / 30 GA
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
WLDWL
40 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
1.82
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
0.77
17
BTTS Yes
10
15
Over 2.5
10
4.37
Shots on Goal
4.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shelbourne Shelbourne 23 matches
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 22 matches
Shelbourne Statistic Shamrock Rovers
9 Wins 14
9 Draws 4
5 Losses 4
38 Goals For 40
30 Goals Against 17
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.82
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 0.77
17 BTTS Yes 10
18 Over 1.5 15
15 Over 2.5 10
8 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 10
3 Failed To Score 3
4.37 Shots On Goal 4.6
14.26 Total Shots 13.7
5.37 Corners 4.95
53.3% Ball Possession 61.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Shamrock Rovers. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shelbourne expected to line up in 4-5-1 and Shamrock Rovers in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shamrock Rovers having the stronger overall control. Shamrock Rovers carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 40 points while Shelbourne sit 5 on 26, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Shelbourne Analysis

Shelbourne come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 26 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 27:26 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by H. Wood (7 goals), J. Martin (6 goals), Daniel Kelly (4 goals), with creative support from H. Wood (3 assists), M. Lundgren (3 assists), J. Martin (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Shamrock Rovers Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 40 points from 20 games, Shamrock Rovers bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 12 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 31:17, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by G. Burke (6 goals), John McGovern (4 goals), M. Noonan (3 goals), with creative support from J. Byrne (4 assists), John McGovern (3 assists), T. Sobowale (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Shelbourne won 4 times, Shamrock Rovers won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:18 from Shelbourne's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91%)
Predicted formations: Shelbourne 4-5-1 / Shamrock Rovers 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Shelbourne wins 4, draws 6, Shamrock Rovers wins 4

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 16 7 5 46:27 19 55
D W D W W
2 29 14 8 7 45:25 20 50
L W W D D
3 29 14 8 7 50:34 16 50
W W L D W
4 29 10 10 9 46:45 1 40
W L L D D
5 27 8 11 8 37:39 -2 35
D L L W D
6 29 7 13 9 41:40 1 34
D L W D L
7 28 8 10 10 36:42 -6 34
D W D D D
8 29 7 11 11 39:48 -9 32
W D W W D
9 29 6 10 13 33:48 -15 28
L L D D D
10 29 5 8 16 23:48 -25 23
L D L D D
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation