Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
83.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
62.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
77.6%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Shelbourne
27 matches
Dundalk
24 matches
| Shelbourne | Statistic | Dundalk |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 10 |
| 11 | Draws | 8 |
| 6 | Losses | 6 |
| 44 | Goals For | 42 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.75 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.46 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 5.68 |
| 13.22 | Total Shots | 15.86 |
| 5.26 | Corners | 5.95 |
| 49.7% | Ball Possession | 48.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Dundalk's more proactive style and Shelbourne's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Dundalk. Dundalk look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Shelbourne arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 30 points after 22 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 31:32 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Harry Wood (3 goals), John Martin (2 goals), Daniel Kelly (2 goals), with creative support from Harry Wood (5 assists), John Martin (1 assists), Will Jarvis (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Dundalk come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 35 points after 21 matches. They have recorded 9 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, with a 34:29 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Tyreke Wilson (4 goals), Daryl Horgan (4 goals), Gbemi Arubi (3 goals), with creative support from Eoin Kenny (3 assists), Tyreke Wilson (2 assists), Daryl Horgan (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Shelbourne won 7 times, Dundalk won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:11 from Shelbourne's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.
Shelbourne
4
2
2
4
0
2
Lineups
Shelbourne
Waterford
Shelbourne
Kalju Nomme
Shelbourne
Kalju Nomme
Shelbourne
Celtic
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
Galway United
Shelbourne
Derry City
Shelbourne
Waterford
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Derry City
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Waterford
Shelbourne
Kalju Nomme
Shelbourne
Celtic
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
Galway United
Shelbourne
Waterford
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Derry City
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
Galway United
Shelbourne
Longford Town
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Crystal Palace
Shelbourne
Drita
Shelbourne
BK Hacken
Shelbourne
Linfield
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
UCD
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:22 | 18 | 51 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 44 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 44 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 |
Dundalk
Away
|
26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 40:38 | 2 | 37 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
| 5 |
Shelbourne
Home
|
25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35:36 | -1 | 34 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
| 6 | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 30 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 33:40 | -7 | 29 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 27 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 34:47 | -13 | 25 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23:43 | -20 | 22 |
D
D
L
L
D
|