IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Tolka Park
Shelbourne
Match Timeline
Bohemians
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
H. Vaughan · Assist: C. Whelan
Bohemians
🟨
23'
Ross Tierney
Bohemians
30'
C. Whelan · Assist: J. Flores
Bohemians
🟨
41'
Sean Gannon
Shelbourne
🔄
46'
S. Gannon ↔ S. Boyd
Shelbourne
🔄
46'
E. Chapman ↔ R. Freitas
Shelbourne
🔄
54'
H. Wood ↔ A. Coote
Shelbourne
🔄
65'
M. Strods ↔ D. Rooney
Bohemians
🔄
66'
D. Kelly ↔ W. Jarvis
Shelbourne
🔄
66'
J. Flores ↔ A. McDonnell
Bohemians
🟨
71'
Paddy Barrett
Shelbourne
🔄
71'
H. Vaughan ↔ C. Parsons
Bohemians
🟨
78'
Sean Boyd
Shelbourne
🟨
80'
Adam McDonnell
Bohemians
🔄
81'
J. Norris ↔ S. Moore
Shelbourne
82'
R. Tierney · Assist: C. Whelan
Bohemians
🟨
83'
Evan Caffrey
Shelbourne
🔄
84'
R. Tierney ↔ Z. Myers
Bohemians
🟨
88'
Sean Boyd
Shelbourne
🟥
88'
Sean Boyd
Shelbourne
🟨
90+2'
Ali Coote
Shelbourne

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 85.6%
Odds -
2 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
2 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
85.6%
-
BTTS Yes
78.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Shelbourne Win 37.3%
Draw 14.4%
Bohemians Win 48.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shelbourne1.49
Bohemians1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shelbourne Shelbourne
WWDLW
42 GF / 33 GA
Bohemians Bohemians
WLDWL
46 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
1.64
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
19
BTTS Yes
20
17
Over 2.5
17
4.05
Shots on Goal
5.05

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shelbourne Shelbourne 25 matches
Bohemians Bohemians 28 matches
Shelbourne Statistic Bohemians
10 Wins 12
10 Draws 9
5 Losses 7
42 Goals For 46
33 Goals Against 34
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
19 BTTS Yes 20
20 Over 1.5 21
17 Over 2.5 17
9 Over 3.5 11
6 Clean Sheets 7
3 Failed To Score 4
4.05 Shots On Goal 5.05
13.19 Total Shots 14.55
4.9 Corners 5.68
49.4% Ball Possession 56.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Bohemians. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Shelbourne Analysis

Shelbourne approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 29 points after 20 outings. With 7 wins, 8 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 29:27, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by H. Wood (7 goals), J. Martin (6 goals), Daniel Kelly (4 goals), with creative support from H. Wood (5 assists), M. Lundgren (3 assists), J. Martin (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Bohemians Analysis

Bohemians approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 34 points after 21 outings. The return of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 32:25, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through C. Whelan (7 goals), Patrick Hickey (4 goals), R. Tierney (4 goals), with creative support from M. Strods (4 assists), R. Tierney (3 assists), D. James-Taylor (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Shelbourne won 4 times, Bohemians won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:19 from Shelbourne's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.6%)
Predicted formations: Shelbourne 4-2-3-1 / Bohemians 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Shelbourne wins 4, draws 7, Bohemians wins 4
Stats
Shelbourne Shelbourne
Bohemians Bohemians
Shots on Goal
0
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
4 Corner Kicks 5
16 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 2
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Goal 5
1 Shots off Goal 6
4 Blocked Shots 2
2 Shots insidebox 4
3 Shots outsidebox 9
2 Goalkeeper Saves 0
396 Total passes 469
308 Passes accurate 385
0.38 expected_goals 1.25
🟨 6 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Shelbourne
Formation
Bohemians
W. Speel
W. Speel
M. Mbeng
M. Mbeng
S. Gannon
S. Gannon
P. Barrett
P. Barrett
K. Ledwidge
K. Ledwidge
J. Norris
J. Norris
J. Henry-Francis
J. Henry-Francis
E. Chapman
E. Chapman
E. Caffrey
E. Caffrey
D. Kelly
D. Kelly
H. Wood
H. Wood
P. Walters
P. Walters
D. Power
D. Power
P. Hickey
P. Hickey
S. Todd
S. Todd
S. Mullen
S. Mullen
D. Devoy
D. Devoy
J. Flores
🎯
J. Flores
M. Strods
M. Strods
R. Tierney
R. Tierney
H. Vaughan
H. Vaughan
C. Whelan
🎯
C. Whelan
Shelbourne 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
W. Speel
G
25
M. Mbeng
D
2
S. Gannon
↓ 46' 🟨 41'
D
29
P. Barrett
🟨 71'
D
4
K. Ledwidge
D
18
J. Norris
↓ 81'
D
21
J. Henry-Francis
M
5
E. Chapman
↓ 46'
M
27
E. Caffrey
🟨 83'
M
17
D. Kelly
↓ 66'
F
7
H. Wood
↓ 54'
F
Substitutes
73
F. Moylan
G
14
A. Coote
↑ 54' 🟨 90+2'
M
22
S. Moore
↑ 81'
D
9
S. Boyd
↑ 46' 🟨 78' 🟨 88' 🟥 88'
F
15
S. Bone
D
20
R. Freitas
↑ 46'
F
24
Z. Ibsen Rossi
D
36
W. Jarvis
↑ 66'
F
Bohemians 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
P. Walters
G
16
D. Power
D
12
P. Hickey
D
22
S. Todd
D
15
S. Mullen
D
10
D. Devoy
M
6
J. Flores
🎯 30' ↓ 66'
M
32
M. Strods
↓ 65'
M
26
R. Tierney
⚽ 82' ↓ 84' 🟨 23'
M
8
H. Vaughan
⚽ 1' ↓ 71'
M
9
C. Whelan
⚽ 30' 🎯 1' 🎯 82'
F
Substitutes
1
K. Chorazka
G
11
D. Rooney
↑ 65'
F
4
N. Morahan
M
23
Z. Myers
↑ 84'
D
28
H. Martin
F
17
A. McDonnell
↑ 66' 🟨 80'
M
5
S. Diallo
M
7
C. Parsons
↑ 71'
F
24
C. Byrne
Last matches: Shelbourne
07.07.26
Fri
Shelbourne
Celtic
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
1
W
27.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
2
2
D
19.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
2
2
D
12.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
1
W
29.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
1
D
25.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Waterford
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
08.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
04.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
2
2
D
01.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
1
W
24.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
3
4
L
17.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
1
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
3
L
03.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
16.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
2
1
W
09.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
2
D
Last matches: Bohemians
09.07.26
UEF
Bohemians
St Joseph S Fc
2
0
W
03.07.26
Pre
Bohemians
Drogheda United
2
0
W
26.06.26
Pre
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
W
19.06.26
Pre
Bohemians
Dundalk
1
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Bohemians
Derry City
1
4
L
29.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
3
1
W
25.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
L
22.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Galway United
4
2
W
15.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Drogheda United
2
1
W
08.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Dundalk
3
1
W
04.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shelbourne
2
2
D
01.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Derry City
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
1
3
L
17.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
L
10.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
1
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Waterford
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Drogheda United
0
0
D
20.03.26
Pre
Bohemians
Dundalk
1
1
D
16.03.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shelbourne
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pre
Bohemians
Galway United
1
0
W
H2H: Shelbourne vs Bohemians
22.06.26
H2H
Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
3
L
04.05.26
H2H
Bohemians
Shelbourne
2
2
D
16.03.26
H2H
Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
0
D
24.01.26
H2H
Bohemians
Shelbourne
2
2
D
26.10.25
H2H
Bohemians
Shelbourne
2
3
W
09.08.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Bohemians
2
2
D
16.05.25
H2H
Bohemians
Shelbourne
1
0
L
11.04.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Bohemians
1
0
W
06.09.24
H2H
Bohemians
Shelbourne
1
1
D
23.08.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Bohemians
1
1
D
12.04.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Bohemians
1
2
L
08.03.24
H2H
Bohemians
Shelbourne
0
2
W
20.01.24
H2H
Bohemians
Shelbourne
1
2
W
25.09.23
H2H
Bohemians
Shelbourne
1
1
D
21.07.23
H2H
Bohemians
Shelbourne
1
0
L
Last matches: Shelbourne
07.07.26
Fri
Shelbourne
Celtic
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
1
W
12.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
1
W
29.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
1
D
22.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Waterford
2
1
W
08.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
24.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
3
4
L
17.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
1
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
3
L
16.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
0
D
09.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
2
3
L
20.02.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Shelbourne
Longford Town
4
1
W
20.01.26
Fri
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
1
W
11.12.25
UEF
Shelbourne
Crystal Palace
0
3
L
06.11.25
UEF
Shelbourne
Drita
0
1
L
02.10.25
UEF
Shelbourne
BK Hacken
0
0
D
21.08.25
UEF
Shelbourne
Linfield
3
1
W
12.08.25
UEF
Shelbourne
HNK Rijeka
1
3
L
H2H at home: Shelbourne
22.06.26
H2H
Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
3
L
16.03.26
H2H
Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
0
D
09.08.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Bohemians
2
2
D
11.04.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Bohemians
1
0
W
23.08.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Bohemians
1
1
D
12.04.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Bohemians
1
2
L
Last matches: Bohemians
03.07.26
Pre
Bohemians
Drogheda United
2
0
W
12.06.26
Pre
Bohemians
Derry City
1
4
L
29.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
3
1
W
22.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Galway United
4
2
W
08.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Dundalk
3
1
W
24.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
1
3
L
17.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Drogheda United
0
0
D
16.03.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shelbourne
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pre
Bohemians
Waterford
1
0
W
20.02.26
Pre
Bohemians
Derry City
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pre
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
4
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Bohemians
Waterford
4
1
W
09.01.26
Fri
Bohemians
Drogheda United
1
1
D
H2H away: Bohemians
22.06.26
H2H
Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
3
W
16.03.26
H2H
Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
0
D
09.08.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Bohemians
2
2
D
11.04.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Bohemians
1
0
L
23.08.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Bohemians
1
1
D
12.04.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Bohemians
1
2
W

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 5 5 40:22 18 50
W W D W L
2 25 12 7 6 40:27 13 43
W W W L L
3 24 12 6 6 39:20 19 42
D W L W W
4 24 9 8 7 38:36 2 35
L L L W W
5 24 8 10 6 35:35 0 34
W D L D W
6 25 6 11 8 32:31 1 29
L W D L W
7 23 7 6 10 32:39 -7 27
W L L W L
8 24 6 7 11 29:41 -12 25
W L L D L
9 24 4 9 11 33:47 -14 21
D W W L W
10 24 5 5 14 20:40 -20 20
L L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1