WORLD UEFA EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Tolka Park
Referee: C. Pereira

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 67.5%
Odds 1.14
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.38
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
67.5%
1.14
BTTS Yes
78.9%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.38
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.19
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Shelbourne Win 28.6%
Draw 4%
Ajax Win 67.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shelbourne1.34
Ajax1.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shelbourne Shelbourne
WWDLW
55 GF / 50 GA
Ajax Ajax
WLDWL
28 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.62
Average Goals Scored
2.15
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
26
BTTS Yes
8
24
Over 2.5
8
3.55
Shots on Goal
9.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shelbourne Shelbourne 34 matches
Ajax Ajax 13 matches
Shelbourne Statistic Ajax
12 Wins 9
12 Draws 2
10 Losses 2
55 Goals For 28
50 Goals Against 12
1.62 Avg Goals Scored 2.15
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
26 BTTS Yes 8
28 Over 1.5 10
24 Over 2.5 8
12 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 1
3.55 Shots On Goal 9.5
11.83 Total Shots 25.75
4.59 Corners 10.5
46.5% Ball Possession 69.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Shelbourne won 0 times, Ajax won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from Shelbourne's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: Shelbourne 3-5-2 / Ajax 4-3-3
H2H summary: Shelbourne wins 0, draws 0, Ajax wins 1

Lineups

Shelbourne
Formation
Ajax
Eddie Beach
Eddie Beach
Sam Bone
Sam Bone
Odhran Casey
Odhran Casey
Kameron Ledwidge
Kameron Ledwidge
Milan Mbeng
Milan Mbeng
Evan Caffrey
Evan Caffrey
Jonathan Lunney
Jonathan Lunney
Kerr McInroy
Kerr McInroy
James Norris
James Norris
Rodrigo Freitas
Rodrigo Freitas
Daniel Kelly
Daniel Kelly
Maarten Paes
Maarten Paes
Anton Gaaei
Anton Gaaei
Aaron Bouwman
Aaron Bouwman
Daley Blind
Daley Blind
Owen Wijndal
Owen Wijndal
Julian Brandt
Julian Brandt
Youri Regeer
Youri Regeer
Jorthy Mokio
Jorthy Mokio
Maher Carrizo
Maher Carrizo
Marcos Leonardo
Marcos Leonardo
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen
Shelbourne 3-5-2
Starting XI
19
Eddie Beach
G
15
Sam Bone
D
16
Odhran Casey
D
4
Kameron Ledwidge
D
25
Milan Mbeng
M
27
Evan Caffrey
M
6
Jonathan Lunney
M
23
Kerr McInroy
M
18
James Norris
M
20
Rodrigo Freitas
F
17
Daniel Kelly
F
Substitutes
13
Murray Johnson
G
2
Sean Gannon
D
55
James Roche
D
60
Killian Ryan
M
22
Sean Moore
D
36
Will Jarvis
M
44
Daniel Ring
F
56
Joey Ikala Wuna
F
Ajax 4-3-3
Starting XI
26
Maarten Paes
G
3
Anton Gaaei
D
30
Aaron Bouwman
D
17
Daley Blind
D
5
Owen Wijndal
D
8
Julian Brandt
M
6
Youri Regeer
M
24
Jorthy Mokio
M
7
Maher Carrizo
F
38
Marcos Leonardo
F
20
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen
F
Substitutes
1
Marc-André Ter Stegen
G
22
Joeri Heerkens
G
2
Lucas Rosa
D
12
Caio Henrique
D
15
Youri Baas
D
36
Dies Janse
D
10
Oscar Gloukh
M
18
Davy Klaassen
M
68
Abdellah Ouazane
M
9
Kasper Dolberg
F
11
Mika Godts
F
99
Tolu Arokodare
F
Last matches: Shelbourne
09.08.26
Pre
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
1
2
L
06.08.26
UEF
Shelbourne
Ajax
1
3
L
02.08.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Waterford
0
1
L
30.07.26
UEF
Shelbourne
Kalju Nomme
1
2
L
23.07.26
UEF
Shelbourne
Kalju Nomme
5
2
W
07.07.26
Fri
Shelbourne
Celtic
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
1
W
27.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
2
2
D
22.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
3
L
19.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
2
2
D
12.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
1
W
29.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
1
D
25.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Waterford
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
08.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
04.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
2
2
D
01.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
1
W
24.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
3
4
L
17.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
1
2
L
Last matches: Ajax
09.08.26
Ere
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
2
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
3
1
W
02.08.26
Fri
Ajax
FC Volendam
3
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
26.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Burnley
2
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Ajax
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Ajax
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Panathinaikos
1
3
L
24.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
1
D
21.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ere
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ere
Ajax
NAC Breda
2
0
W
16.04.26
Fri
Ajax
Twente
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Heracles
3
0
W
04.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Twente
1
2
L
25.03.26
Fri
Ajax
FC Volendam
2
2
D
H2H: Shelbourne vs Ajax
06.08.26
H2H
Ajax
Shelbourne
3
1
L
Last matches: Shelbourne
09.08.26
Pre
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
1
2
L
23.07.26
UEF
Shelbourne
Kalju Nomme
5
2
W
07.07.26
Fri
Shelbourne
Celtic
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
1
W
22.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
3
L
12.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
1
W
29.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
1
D
22.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Waterford
2
1
W
08.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
24.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
3
4
L
17.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
1
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
3
L
16.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
0
D
09.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
2
3
L
20.02.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Shelbourne
Longford Town
4
1
W
20.01.26
Fri
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
1
W
11.12.25
UEF
Shelbourne
Crystal Palace
0
3
L
06.11.25
UEF
Shelbourne
Drita
0
1
L
Last matches: Ajax
09.08.26
Ere
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
2
0
W
02.08.26
Fri
Ajax
FC Volendam
3
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
17.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ere
Ajax
NAC Breda
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Heracles
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Feyenoord
1
1
D
07.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
1
3
L
01.03.26
Ere
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
0
0
D
08.02.26
Ere
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
1
1
D
01.02.26
Ere
Ajax
Excelsior
2
2
D
20.01.26
UEF
Ajax
Villarreal
2
1
W
11.01.26
Ere
Ajax
Telstar
3
2
W
20.12.25
Ere
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
2
2
D
10.12.25
UEF
Ajax
Qarabag
4
2
W
06.12.25
Ere
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
3
1
W
09.11.25
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
2
L
26.10.25
Ere
Ajax
Twente
3
2
W
22.10.25
UEF
Ajax
Chelsea
1
5
L
04.10.25
Ere
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
3
3
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.14
Draw 7.48
Home 12.89
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.38
Over 2.75 1.41
Over 3.0 1.52
Over 3.25 1.73
Over 3.5 1.94
Over 3.75 2.17
Over 4.0 2.54
Over 4.25 2.82
Under 2.5 2.83
Under 2.75 2.69
Under 3.0 2.39
Under 3.25 2.04
Under 3.5 1.83
Under 3.75 1.65
Under 4.0 1.46
Under 4.25 1.38
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.17
Draw 7.00
Home 12.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.50
Draw 3.00
Home 10.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.40
Draw 3.50
Home 8.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.11
Over 2.5 1.40
Over 3.5 2.00
Over 4.5 3.25
Over 5.5 5.50
Over 6.5 8.50
Over 7.5 12.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 12.00
Under 1.5 6.00
Under 2.5 2.75
Under 3.5 1.73
Under 4.5 1.33
Under 5.5 1.12
Under 6.5 1.05
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.14
Draw 8.45
Home 20.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.48
Draw 2.88
Home 11.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.30
Draw 3.95
Home 11.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.5 1.06
Over 1.75 1.08
Over 2.0 1.10
Over 2.25 1.22
Over 2.5 1.33
Over 2.75 1.42
Over 3.0 1.51
Over 3.25 1.79
Over 3.5 1.98
Over 3.75 2.22
Over 4.0 2.46
Over 4.25 2.71
Over 4.5 2.97
Over 4.75 3.50
Over 5.0 4.60
Over 5.25 4.90
Over 5.5 5.25
Over 6.0 9.00
Over 6.5 8.50
Over 7.5 12.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 18.50
Under 1.0 13.50
Under 1.5 6.10
Under 1.75 5.64
Under 2.0 5.15
Under 2.25 3.50
Under 2.5 2.83
Under 2.75 2.56
Under 3.0 2.31
Under 3.25 2.07
Under 3.5 1.86
Under 3.75 1.69
Under 4.0 1.45
Under 4.25 1.36
Under 4.5 1.30
Under 4.75 1.22
Under 5.0 1.13
Under 5.25 1.11
Under 5.5 1.09
Under 6.0 1.00
Under 6.5 1.05
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.13
Draw 7.50
Home 15.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.40
Draw 3.15
Home 9.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.37
Draw 3.95
Home 9.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.07
Over 2.0 1.12
Over 2.25 1.23
Over 2.5 1.33
Over 2.75 1.43
Over 3.0 1.52
Over 3.25 1.72
Over 3.5 1.91
Over 3.75 2.14
Over 4.0 2.50
Over 4.25 2.80
Over 4.5 3.00
Over 4.75 3.45
Over 5.0 4.35
Over 5.25 4.60
Over 5.5 5.30
Over 6.0 8.00
Over 6.5 10.00
Under 1.5 6.75
Under 2.0 5.00
Under 2.25 3.60
Under 2.5 3.05
Under 2.75 2.80
Under 3.0 2.50
Under 3.25 2.10
Under 3.5 1.87
Under 3.75 1.70
Under 4.0 1.52
Under 4.25 1.44
Under 4.5 1.34
Under 4.75 1.25
Under 5.0 1.16
Under 5.25 1.14
Under 5.5 1.12
Under 6.0 1.05
Under 6.5 1.02