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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
17.10.2026 14:00
Hillsborough

Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sheffield Wednesday Win 69.9%
Draw 6%
AFC Wimbledon Win 24.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sheffield Wednesday1.26
AFC Wimbledon1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
WWDLW
18 GF / 17 GA
AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon
WLDWL
13 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
0.93
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
6
BTTS Yes
5
8
Over 2.5
5
5.5
Shots on Goal
2.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 13 matches
AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 14 matches
Sheffield Wednesday Statistic AFC Wimbledon
5 Wins 5
5 Draws 4
3 Losses 5
18 Goals For 13
17 Goals Against 15
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
6 BTTS Yes 5
8 Over 1.5 8
8 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 5
5.5 Shots On Goal 2.89
14.75 Total Shots 10.89
6.88 Corners 5.44
55.9% Ball Possession 45.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Sheffield Wednesday's more proactive style and AFC Wimbledon's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sheffield Wednesday expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and AFC Wimbledon in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward AFC Wimbledon having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring AFC Wimbledon. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Sheffield Wednesday Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 14 points from 7 games, Sheffield Wednesday bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 13:6 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on J. Lowe (2 goals), Louie Barry (2 goals), C. Slattery (1 goals), with creative support from K. Morrison (2 assists), J. Lowe (1 assists), Louie Barry (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

AFC Wimbledon Analysis

AFC Wimbledon are currently 9 in the standings with 12 points from 8 matches. The record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 6:8 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Stockley (3 goals), M. Hippolyte (3 goals), with creative support from J. Tilley (2 assists), J. Stockley (1 assists), A. Yiadom (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Sheffield Wednesday won 1 times, AFC Wimbledon won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Sheffield Wednesday's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94%)
Predicted formations: Sheffield Wednesday 4-2-3-1 / AFC Wimbledon 5-4-1
H2H summary: Sheffield Wednesday wins 1, draws 1, AFC Wimbledon wins 0

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 18:12 6 19
W W L W W
2 9 5 2 2 8:5 3 17
D D W W W
3 9 5 1 3 20:11 9 16
W W D L W
4 9 4 4 1 16:9 7 16
D W L D D
5 9 4 4 1 14:11 3 16
W D D W D
6 9 4 3 2 22:11 11 15
W D D W L
7 8 4 3 1 15:8 7 15
D D D W W
8 7 4 2 1 15:8 7 14
W D W W L
9 8 3 3 2 12:8 4 12
W L W W D
10 10 3 3 4 14:16 -2 12
L L W D L
11 9 3 3 3 7:10 -3 12
L D D W W
12 9 3 2 4 13:11 2 11
D L W L D
13 8 3 2 3 16:15 1 11
W L L D W
14 8 3 2 3 12:14 -2 11
W D D L L
15 9 2 4 3 14:20 -6 10
L D W W D
16 8 2 3 3 9:9 0 9
W W L L D
17 8 2 3 3 10:14 -4 9
L D W L W
18 8 2 2 4 13:14 -1 8
L L D L L
19 8 2 2 4 8:15 -7 8
L D L L W
20 9 2 2 5 7:14 -7 8
W L L D L
21 8 2 2 4 9:20 -11 8
L W D L L
22 8 1 4 3 8:11 -3 7
L L L D D
23 8 0 6 2 9:15 -6 6
L D D D L
24 8 1 1 6 5:13 -8 4
L L D L W
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two