CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
28.08.2026 11:35
Shanghai Stadium
Referee: Kai He, China
Shanghai Shenhua
Match Timeline
Shandong Luneng
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
Mijit Mewlan · Assist: Cryzan
Shandong Luneng
41'
Rafael Ratao · Assist: Gao Tianyi
Shanghai Shenhua
45'
L. Asue · Assist: Gao Tianyi
Shanghai Shenhua
🔄
46'
Memet Imran ↔ Huang Zhengyu
Shandong Luneng
🔄
46'
Liu Yang ↔ Gao Zhunyi
Shandong Luneng
🔄
46'
Yin Jiaxi ↔ Y. Li
Shandong Luneng
🟨
50'
Zeca
Shandong Luneng
🔄
57'
Saulo Mineiro ↔ J. Teixeira
Shanghai Shenhua
🟨
58'
Yang Ruiqi
Shandong Luneng
🔄
66'
Mijit Mewlan ↔ R. Merkies
Shandong Luneng
🔄
69'
Li Songyi ↔ Yang Shuai
Shanghai Shenhua
🔄
69'
L. Asue ↔ Xu Haoyang
Shanghai Shenhua
🔄
78'
Chan Shinichi ↔ Yang Zexiang
Shanghai Shenhua
🔄
78'
Gao Tianyi ↔ Wang Haijian
Shanghai Shenhua
🔄
78'
Yang Ruiqi ↔ Peng Xiao
Shandong Luneng
79'
Cryzan
Shandong Luneng
83'
R. Merkies · Assist: Y. Li
Shandong Luneng
🟨
89'
Zhunyi Gao
Shandong Luneng

Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Luneng Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 66.5%
Odds 2.15
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.33
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.27
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
66.5%
2.15
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.33
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.27
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.11
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
11.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
17.00
Probability Distribution
Shanghai Shenhua Win 33.5%
Draw 20.8%
Shandong Luneng Win 45.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shanghai Shenhua1.76
Shandong Luneng1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua
WWDLW
51 GF / 47 GA
Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng
WLDWL
42 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.82
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1.68
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
19
BTTS Yes
17
18
Over 2.5
17
5.79
Shots on Goal
4.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 28 matches
Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng 24 matches
Shanghai Shenhua Statistic Shandong Luneng
11 Wins 12
8 Draws 3
9 Losses 9
51 Goals For 42
47 Goals Against 40
1.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1.68 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
19 BTTS Yes 17
24 Over 1.5 21
18 Over 2.5 17
14 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 4
5.79 Shots On Goal 4.88
15.58 Total Shots 14.08
5.92 Corners 4.29
49% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Shandong Luneng. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shanghai Shenhua expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Shandong Luneng in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shandong Luneng having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Shanghai Shenhua have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Shanghai Shenhua Analysis

With 25 points from 23 games and a place of 10, Shanghai Shenhua still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats with a 42:38 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Saulo Mineiro (2 goals), Rafael Ratão (1 goals), Luís Asué (1 goals), with creative support from Rafael Ratão (1 assists), Luís Asué (1 assists), Tianyi Gao (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Shandong Luneng Analysis

Shandong Luneng come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 33 points after 23 matches. With 12 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 42:38, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Cryzan (1 goals), with creative support from Songchen Shi (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Shanghai Shenhua won 8 times, Shandong Luneng won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:19 from Shanghai Shenhua's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.2%)
Predicted formations: Shanghai Shenhua 4-1-4-1 / Shandong Luneng 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Shanghai Shenhua wins 8, draws 2, Shandong Luneng wins 5

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 7 4 51:30 21 52
D W L W L
2 26 12 4 10 38:42 -4 40
W D W D L
3 26 11 10 5 49:33 16 38
D D D W W
4 26 11 5 10 54:51 3 38
W L D W W
5 26 8 14 4 31:32 -1 38
D D W D D
6 26 13 4 9 46:43 3 37
D W L W W
7 26 10 8 8 40:33 7 33
D W W D W
8 26 12 5 9 52:46 6 31
W L W L W
9 26 7 10 9 27:32 -5 31
L D L D L
10 25 9 6 10 41:42 -1 28
L W D L L
11 26 8 4 14 34:45 -11 28
D L D W L
12 26 8 9 9 33:35 -2 27
D D D D L
13 26 7 4 15 34:47 -13 25
L L L D L
14 26 9 8 9 36:32 4 25
W W D D L
15 25 5 11 9 38:42 -4 21
D D W D L
16 26 6 3 17 34:53 -19 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation