CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
15.08.2026 12:00
Shanghai Stadium
Referee: Liang Songshang, China
Shanghai Shenhua
Match Timeline
Henan Jianye
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
Zhong Yihao
Henan Jianye
🟨
40'
Shangyuan Wang
Henan Jianye
45'
Rafael Ratao · Assist: J. Teixeira
Shanghai Shenhua
56'
L. Asue · Assist: Rafael Ratao
Shanghai Shenhua
🔄
57'
Chan Shinichi ↔ Yang Zexiang
Shanghai Shenhua
🔄
64'
He Chao ↔ A. Abudulam
Henan Jianye
🔄
64'
Zhong Yihao ↔ Osman Ekber
Henan Jianye
🔄
67'
Xu Haoyang ↔ Xie Pengfei
Shanghai Shenhua
🔄
68'
L. Asue ↔ Gao Tianyi
Shanghai Shenhua
71'
Gao Tianyi · Assist: Xie Pengfei
Shanghai Shenhua
🔄
73'
O. Gerbig ↔ Zheng Dalun
Henan Jianye
🔄
74'
Rafael Ratao ↔ Saulo Mineiro
Shanghai Shenhua
83'
Saulo Mineiro · Assist: Gao Tianyi
Shanghai Shenhua
🔄
86'
Pedro Maranhao ↔ Liu Yixin
Henan Jianye
🔄
86'
Wang Shangyuan ↔ Yin Congyao
Henan Jianye
🟨
90+1'
Abdurasul Abudulam
Henan Jianye

Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.4%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.8%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Shanghai Shenhua Win 31.8%
Draw 15.8%
Henan Jianye Win 52.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shanghai Shenhua1.48
Henan Jianye1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua
WWDLW
42 GF / 39 GA
Henan Jianye Henan Jianye
WLDWL
26 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
17
BTTS Yes
12
15
Over 2.5
12
5.57
Shots on Goal
3.95

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 25 matches
Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 21 matches
Shanghai Shenhua Statistic Henan Jianye
9 Wins 8
8 Draws 5
8 Losses 8
42 Goals For 26
39 Goals Against 25
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
17 BTTS Yes 12
21 Over 1.5 16
15 Over 2.5 12
12 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 7
5.57 Shots On Goal 3.95
15.1 Total Shots 11.9
5.9 Corners 5.29
49.4% Ball Possession 51.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Shanghai Shenhua have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Henan Jianye.

Shanghai Shenhua Analysis

Shanghai Shenhua approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 19 points from 20 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 37:34 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Saulo Mineiro (1 goals), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Henan Jianye Analysis

Henan Jianye sit 11 with 22 points after 20 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 26:25 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Bruno Nazário (4 goals), Gustavo (3 goals), Iago Maidana (1 goals), with creative support from Bruno Nazário (2 assists), Maranhão (2 assists), Shangyuan Wang (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Shanghai Shenhua won 10 times, Henan Jianye won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:16 from Shanghai Shenhua's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.2%)
Predicted formations: Shanghai Shenhua 4-2-3-1 / Henan Jianye 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Shanghai Shenhua wins 10, draws 3, Henan Jianye wins 2

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 7 4 51:30 21 52
D W L W L
2 26 12 4 10 38:42 -4 40
W D W D L
3 26 11 10 5 49:33 16 38
D D D W W
4 26 11 5 10 54:51 3 38
W L D W W
5 26 8 14 4 31:32 -1 38
D D W D D
6 26 13 4 9 46:43 3 37
D W L W W
7 26 10 8 8 40:33 7 33
D W W D W
8 26 12 5 9 52:46 6 31
W L W L W
9 26 7 10 9 27:32 -5 31
L D L D L
10 25 9 6 10 41:42 -1 28
L W D L L
11 26 8 4 14 34:45 -11 28
D L D W L
12 26 8 9 9 33:35 -2 27
D D D D L
13 26 7 4 15 34:47 -13 25
L L L D L
14 26 9 8 9 36:32 4 25
W W D D L
15 25 5 11 9 38:42 -4 21
D D W D L
16 26 6 3 17 34:53 -19 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation