CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
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Shanghai Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.9%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Shanghai Shenhua Win 33.9%
Draw 9.2%
Beijing Guoan Win 56.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shanghai Shenhua1.68
Beijing Guoan1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua
WWDLW
40 GF / 32 GA
Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan
WLDWL
29 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.9
Average Goals Scored
1.71
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
16
BTTS Yes
11
14
Over 2.5
10
5.71
Shots on Goal
5.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 21 matches
Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 17 matches
Shanghai Shenhua Statistic Beijing Guoan
8 Wins 7
8 Draws 5
5 Losses 5
40 Goals For 29
32 Goals Against 23
1.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
16 BTTS Yes 11
18 Over 1.5 14
14 Over 2.5 10
11 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 1
5.71 Shots On Goal 5.88
15.18 Total Shots 16.18
6 Corners 6.94
48.9% Ball Possession 62.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Beijing Guoan. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shanghai Shenhua expected to line up in 4-3-2-1 and Beijing Guoan in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Beijing Guoan having the stronger overall control.

Shanghai Shenhua Analysis

From their first 16 matches, Shanghai Shenhua have collected 16 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 33:25 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Beijing Guoan Analysis

So far, Beijing Guoan have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 18 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 27:23 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Shanghai Shenhua won 4 times, Beijing Guoan won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:22 from Shanghai Shenhua's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.8%)
Predicted formations: Shanghai Shenhua 4-3-2-1 / Beijing Guoan 4-4-2
H2H summary: Shanghai Shenhua wins 4, draws 4, Beijing Guoan wins 6
Last matches: Shanghai Shenhua
05.07.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Hangzhou Greentown
3
2
W
28.06.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Dalian Zhixing
4
1
W
30.05.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Qingdao Youth Island
2
2
D
24.05.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Sichuan Jiuniu
1
2
L
20.05.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Wuhan Three Towns
2
2
D
16.05.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Yunnan Yukun
0
1
L
09.05.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Chongqing Tongliang Long
2
2
D
05.05.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Shandong Luneng
1
4
L
01.05.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Chengdu Better City
2
3
L
26.04.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Henan Jianye
3
0
W
22.04.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Qingdao Jonoon
2
0
W
18.04.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Shenyang Urban
3
1
W
11.04.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
0
W
05.04.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Tianjin Teda
3
2
W
21.03.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
1
1
D
14.03.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Hangzhou Greentown
1
1
D
07.03.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Dalian Zhixing
5
3
W
26.01.26
Fri
Shanghai Shenhua
Rodina Moskva
1
1
D
23.01.26
Fri
Shanghai Shenhua
Dynamo
2
2
D
20.01.26
Fri
Shanghai Shenhua
Ulsan Hyundai FC
1
2
L
Last matches: Beijing Guoan
04.07.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Shandong Luneng
2
0
W
27.06.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
1
0
W
30.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Chongqing Tongliang Long
3
2
W
23.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Henan Jianye
1
2
L
19.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Youth Island
1
1
D
15.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Jonoon
4
2
W
10.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
SHANGHAI SIPG
2
2
D
06.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Dalian Zhixing
3
0
W
02.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Yunnan Yukun
3
3
D
25.04.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Tianjin Teda
2
4
L
21.04.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Sichuan Jiuniu
1
0
W
17.04.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Hangzhou Greentown
0
0
D
12.04.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Chengdu Better City
1
2
L
04.04.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Shenyang Urban
1
2
L
21.03.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
1
1
D
14.03.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Shandong Luneng
1
2
L
08.03.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
2
0
W
H2H: Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan
21.03.26
H2H
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
1
1
D
19.07.25
H2H
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
1
3
W
01.03.25
H2H
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
2
2
D
22.08.24
H2H
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
2
1
W
04.08.24
H2H
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
2
1
L
13.04.24
H2H
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
1
1
D
19.08.23
H2H
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
2
1
L
19.05.23
H2H
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
1
1
D
25.11.22
H2H
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
1
2
L
26.08.22
H2H
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
0
2
W
15.08.21
H2H
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
4
2
L
23.04.21
H2H
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
2
1
W
17.07.20
H2H
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
0
0
D
22.11.19
H2H
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
1
2
L
14.06.19
H2H
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
2
1
L
Last matches: Shanghai Shenhua
05.07.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Hangzhou Greentown
3
2
W
24.05.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Sichuan Jiuniu
1
2
L
20.05.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Wuhan Three Towns
2
2
D
09.05.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Chongqing Tongliang Long
2
2
D
01.05.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Chengdu Better City
2
3
L
22.04.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Qingdao Jonoon
2
0
W
18.04.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Shenyang Urban
3
1
W
11.04.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
0
W
07.03.26
Sup
Shanghai Shenhua
Dalian Zhixing
5
3
W
17.01.26
Fri
Shanghai Shenhua
Auda
0
0
D
H2H at home: Shanghai Shenhua
01.03.25
H2H
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
2
2
D
22.08.24
H2H
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
2
1
W
13.04.24
H2H
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
1
1
D
19.05.23
H2H
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
1
1
D
25.11.22
H2H
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
1
2
L
23.04.21
H2H
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
2
1
W
17.07.20
H2H
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
0
0
D
22.11.19
H2H
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
1
2
L
Last matches: Beijing Guoan
30.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Chongqing Tongliang Long
3
2
W
19.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Youth Island
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Yunnan Yukun
3
3
D
21.04.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Sichuan Jiuniu
1
0
W
17.04.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Hangzhou Greentown
0
0
D
04.04.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Shenyang Urban
1
2
L
14.03.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Shandong Luneng
1
2
L
08.03.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
2
0
W
H2H away: Beijing Guoan
01.03.25
H2H
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
2
2
D
22.08.24
H2H
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
2
1
L
13.04.24
H2H
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
1
1
D
19.05.23
H2H
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
1
1
D
25.11.22
H2H
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
1
2
W
23.04.21
H2H
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
2
1
L
17.07.20
H2H
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
0
0
D
22.11.19
H2H
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
1
2
W

Standings

Chinese Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 13 2 2 37:16 21 41
D W W L L
2 17 7 6 4 21:19 2 27
L W L W D
3 17 8 1 8 25:31 -6 25
W L L W D
4 17 7 3 7 31:29 2 24
W L D L D
5 17 5 9 3 22:25 -3 24
W W D W D
6 17 7 5 5 29:23 6 21
W W W L D
7 17 8 3 6 30:28 2 21
L W L D L
8 17 6 2 9 24:29 -5 20
W L W W W
9 17 8 5 4 36:27 9 19
W W D L D
10 17 6 4 7 23:29 -6 17
L L W L W
11 17 5 2 10 22:31 -9 17
L L W W D
12 17 5 5 7 26:24 2 15
L W L D W
13 17 6 3 8 18:22 -4 15
L L L W W
14 17 6 3 8 27:28 -1 14
D W L L L
15 17 4 6 7 22:22 0 8
W L W D L
16 17 2 7 8 24:34 -10 8
L L D D D
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Relegation - League One