CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium
Referee: P. Gao
Shandong Luneng
Match Timeline
Yunnan Yukun
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
Mijit Mewlan · Assist: Zeca
Shandong Luneng
16'
Zeca · Assist: Liu Yang
Shandong Luneng
26'
Zeca · Assist: Mijit Mewlan
Shandong Luneng
🟨
30'
Chen Pu
Shandong Luneng
42'
A. Ionita II · Assist: O. Taty Maritu
Yunnan Yukun
🔄
46'
Huang Zhengyu ↔ Memet Imran
Shandong Luneng
54'
Chen Pu · Assist: Zeca
Shandong Luneng
🔄
67'
Tsui Wang-Kit ↔ Huang Zichang
Yunnan Yukun
🔄
67'
J. Saeter ↔ Cleber
Yunnan Yukun
🔄
68'
Wang Tong ↔ R. Merkies
Shandong Luneng
76'
Cleber
Yunnan Yukun
🔄
79'
Abdusalam Bunyamin ↔ Tang Miao
Yunnan Yukun
🔄
86'
Chen Pu ↔ J. Lu
Shandong Luneng
🔄
86'
V. Qazaishvili ↔ Yin Jiaxi
Shandong Luneng
🔄
89'
Zhang Chenliang ↔ Yi Teng
Yunnan Yukun
🔄
90'
A. Ionita II ↔ Fei Ernanduo
Yunnan Yukun
90'
Cleber · Assist: O. Taty Maritu
Yunnan Yukun

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.4%
Odds 1.22
0 agree / 1 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.37
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.4%
1.22
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.37
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76.4%
1.11
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.60
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Shandong Luneng Win 45.7%
Draw 18.6%
Yunnan Yukun Win 35.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shandong Luneng1.81
Yunnan Yukun1.79
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng
WWDLW
30 GF / 28 GA
Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun
WLDWL
36 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.76
Average Goals Scored
1.89
1.65
Average Goals Conceded
1.89
12
BTTS Yes
14
12
Over 2.5
15
4.53
Shots on Goal
5.18

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng 17 matches
Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 19 matches
Shandong Luneng Statistic Yunnan Yukun
8 Wins 7
3 Draws 4
6 Losses 8
30 Goals For 36
28 Goals Against 36
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.89
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 1.89
12 BTTS Yes 14
15 Over 1.5 17
12 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 8
2 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 3
4.53 Shots On Goal 5.18
14.12 Total Shots 14.76
4.47 Corners 4.47
49.8% Ball Possession 50.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Yunnan Yukun. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Shandong Luneng Analysis

Shandong Luneng come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 21 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 30:26 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Yunnan Yukun Analysis

Yunnan Yukun arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 21 points after 16 matches. The record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 29:28 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Cléber (1 goals), O. Maritu (1 goals), with creative support from Caio Vinícius (1 assists), Ye Chugui (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Shandong Luneng won 1 times, Yunnan Yukun won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:11 from Shandong Luneng's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.4%)
Predicted formations: Shandong Luneng 4-3-3 / Yunnan Yukun 4-3-3
H2H summary: Shandong Luneng wins 1, draws 1, Yunnan Yukun wins 2

Lineups

Shandong Luneng
Formation
Yunnan Yukun
Wang Dalei
Wang Dalei
Wang Tong
Wang Tong
Peng Xiao
Peng Xiao
Gao Zhunyi
Gao Zhunyi
Liu Yang
🎯
Liu Yang
Chen Pu
Chen Pu
Guilherme Madruga
Guilherme Madruga
Huang Zhengyu
Huang Zhengyu
Mijit Mewlan
🎯
Mijit Mewlan
Zeca
⚽ 2 🎯
Zeca
V. Qazaishvili
V. Qazaishvili
Wang Zhifeng
Wang Zhifeng
Deng Hanwen
Deng Hanwen
Zhang Chenliang
Zhang Chenliang
A. Burca
A. Burca
Tsui Wang-Kit
Tsui Wang-Kit
Caio Vinicius
Caio Vinicius
Ye Chugui
Ye Chugui
Abdusalam Bunyamin
Abdusalam Bunyamin
A. Ionita II
A. Ionita II
O. Taty Maritu
🎯
O. Taty Maritu
J. Saeter
J. Saeter
Shandong Luneng 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
14
Wang Dalei
6
Wang Tong
↓ 68'
3
Peng Xiao
33
Gao Zhunyi
11
Liu Yang
🎯 16'
29
Chen Pu
⚽ 54' ↓ 86' 🟨 30'
8
Guilherme Madruga
35
Huang Zhengyu
↓ 46'
28
Mijit Mewlan
⚽ 10' 🎯 26'
19
Zeca
⚽ 16' ⚽ 26' 🎯 10' 🎯 54'
10
V. Qazaishvili
↓ 86'
Substitutes
32
Sun Qihang
1
Yu Jinyong
36
Liu Qiwei
2
Yang Ruiqi
17
R. Merkies
↑ 68'
38
Memet Imran
↑ 46'
41
J. Lu
↑ 86'
42
Y. Peng
9
Cryzan
24
Duan Liuyu
34
Yin Jiaxi
↑ 86'
15
Shi Songchen
Yunnan Yukun 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
23
Wang Zhifeng
25
Deng Hanwen
26
Zhang Chenliang
↓ 89'
33
A. Burca
3
Tsui Wang-Kit
↓ 67'
34
Caio Vinicius
7
Ye Chugui
39
Abdusalam Bunyamin
↓ 79'
10
A. Ionita II
⚽ 42' ↓ 90'
11
O. Taty Maritu
🎯 42' 🎯 90'
30
J. Saeter
↓ 67'
Substitutes
1
Bao Yaxiong
24
Yu Jianxian
18
Yi Teng
↑ 89'
5
Shi Ke
27
Han Zilong
17
Sun Xuelong
16
Zhang Xiangshuo
20
Tang Miao
↑ 79'
19
Huang Zichang
↑ 67'
9
Cleber
⚽ 76' ⚽ 90' ↑ 67'
36
Fei Ernanduo
↑ 90'
Last matches: Shandong Luneng
04.07.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Beijing Guoan
0
2
L
27.06.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Shenyang Urban
5
1
W
30.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Chengdu Better City
0
1
L
24.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Wuhan Three Towns
3
3
D
20.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Hangzhou Greentown
1
4
L
16.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Chongqing Tongliang Long
3
1
W
10.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Sichuan Jiuniu
2
1
W
05.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Shanghai Shenhua
4
1
W
01.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Qingdao Youth Island
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Qingdao Jonoon
1
4
L
21.04.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
2
1
W
17.04.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
1
D
11.04.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Henan Jianye
1
0
W
04.04.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Dalian Zhixing
1
2
L
21.03.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Yunnan Yukun
0
4
L
14.03.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Beijing Guoan
2
1
W
07.03.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Shenyang Urban
3
0
W
Last matches: Yunnan Yukun
03.07.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Henan Jianye
2
1
W
26.06.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Jonoon
2
4
L
31.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Wuhan Three Towns
1
1
D
24.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Youth Island
2
3
L
20.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Chongqing Tongliang Long
0
0
D
16.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shanghai Shenhua
1
0
W
10.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shenyang Urban
2
1
W
06.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Hangzhou Greentown
1
2
L
02.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
3
3
D
26.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Dalian Zhixing
3
1
W
21.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Chengdu Better City
1
2
L
17.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Tianjin Teda
0
3
L
12.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Sichuan Jiuniu
4
3
W
04.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
2
L
21.03.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shandong Luneng
4
0
W
15.03.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Henan Jianye
1
2
L
07.03.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Jonoon
3
1
W
09.02.26
Fri
Yunnan Yukun
Ural
0
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Yunnan Yukun
FC Noah
5
5
D
H2H: Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun
10.07.26
H2H
Shandong Luneng
Yunnan Yukun
4
3
W
21.03.26
H2H
Yunnan Yukun
Shandong Luneng
4
0
L
04.10.25
H2H
Shandong Luneng
Yunnan Yukun
1
1
D
05.05.25
H2H
Yunnan Yukun
Shandong Luneng
3
2
L
Last matches: Shandong Luneng
24.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Wuhan Three Towns
3
3
D
16.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Chongqing Tongliang Long
3
1
W
05.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Shanghai Shenhua
4
1
W
01.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Qingdao Youth Island
1
1
D
17.04.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
1
D
04.04.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Dalian Zhixing
1
2
L
14.03.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Beijing Guoan
2
1
W
07.03.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Shenyang Urban
3
0
W
H2H at home: Shandong Luneng
10.07.26
H2H
Shandong Luneng
Yunnan Yukun
4
3
W
04.10.25
H2H
Shandong Luneng
Yunnan Yukun
1
1
D
Last matches: Yunnan Yukun
26.06.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Jonoon
2
4
L
31.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Wuhan Three Towns
1
1
D
20.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Chongqing Tongliang Long
0
0
D
10.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shenyang Urban
2
1
W
26.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Dalian Zhixing
3
1
W
21.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Chengdu Better City
1
2
L
12.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Sichuan Jiuniu
4
3
W
04.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
2
L
15.03.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Henan Jianye
1
2
L
09.02.26
Fri
Yunnan Yukun
Ural
0
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Yunnan Yukun
FC Noah
5
5
D
H2H away: Yunnan Yukun
10.07.26
H2H
Shandong Luneng
Yunnan Yukun
4
3
L
04.10.25
H2H
Shandong Luneng
Yunnan Yukun
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.10
Draw 4.24
Home 1.72
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.31
Draw 2.75
Home 2.14
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.11
Over 2.5 1.37
Over 3.0 1.54
Over 3.25 1.74
Over 3.5 1.95
Over 3.75 2.17
Over 4.0 2.55
Over 4.5 3.09
Over 5.5 5.42
Under 1.5 6.69
Under 2.5 3.07
Under 3.0 2.48
Under 3.25 2.09
Under 3.5 1.88
Under 3.75 1.69
Under 4.0 1.52
Under 4.5 1.36
Under 5.5 1.15
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 4.20
Home 1.67
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.75
Home 2.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 3.00
Home 1.91
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.10
Over 2.5 1.36
Over 3.5 1.83
Over 4.5 3.00
Over 5.5 5.50
Over 6.5 11.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Over 8.5 41.00
Under 0.5 23.00
Under 1.5 7.00
Under 2.5 3.10
Under 3.5 1.83
Under 4.5 1.36
Under 5.5 1.14
Under 6.5 1.05
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.18
Draw 4.28
Home 1.74
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.55
Home 2.13
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.78
Draw 3.02
Home 1.94
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.5 1.07
Over 1.75 1.08
Over 2.0 1.11
Over 2.25 1.22
Over 2.5 1.35
Over 2.75 1.41
Over 3.0 1.57
Over 3.25 1.71
Over 3.5 1.92
Over 3.75 2.13
Over 4.0 2.51
Over 4.25 2.69
Over 4.5 3.33
Over 4.75 3.40
Over 5.0 5.87
Over 5.25 4.58
Over 5.5 7.24
Over 6.0 20.00
Over 6.5 13.20
Over 7.5 26.00
Over 8.5 32.00
Under 0.5 25.00
Under 1.0 27.00
Under 1.5 10.60
Under 1.75 5.60
Under 2.0 7.95
Under 2.25 3.60
Under 2.5 3.40
Under 2.75 2.66
Under 3.0 2.49
Under 3.25 2.06
Under 3.5 1.90
Under 3.75 1.73
Under 4.0 1.56
Under 4.25 1.43
Under 4.5 1.36
Under 4.75 1.26
Under 5.0 1.16
Under 5.25 1.14
Under 5.5 1.12
Under 6.0 1.02
Under 6.5 1.06
Under 7.5 1.02
Under 8.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 4.40
Home 1.67
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.65
Home 2.05
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 3.10
Home 1.96
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.08
Over 2.0 1.11
Over 2.25 1.22
Over 2.5 1.32
Over 2.75 1.38
Over 3.0 1.47
Over 3.25 1.65
Over 3.5 1.83
Over 3.75 2.02
Over 4.0 2.33
Over 4.25 2.60
Over 4.5 2.85
Over 4.75 3.35
Over 5.0 4.25
Over 5.25 4.50
Over 5.5 4.75
Under 1.5 6.10
Under 2.0 5.40
Under 2.25 3.80
Under 2.5 3.00
Under 2.75 2.75
Under 3.0 2.45
Under 3.25 2.08
Under 3.5 1.85
Under 3.75 1.68
Under 4.0 1.50
Under 4.25 1.42
Under 4.5 1.36
Under 4.75 1.27
Under 5.0 1.17
Under 5.25 1.15
Under 5.5 1.14

Standings

Chinese Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 13 3 2 38:17 21 42
D D W W L
2 18 7 7 4 22:20 2 28
D L W L W
3 17 8 1 8 25:31 -6 25
W L L W D
4 18 9 3 6 34:31 3 24
W L W L D
5 18 7 3 8 34:33 1 24
L W L D L
6 18 5 9 4 22:28 -6 24
L W W D W
7 17 7 5 5 29:23 6 21
W W W L D
8 18 7 4 7 26:31 -5 20
W L L W L
9 17 6 2 9 24:29 -5 20
W L W W W
10 18 6 2 10 25:31 -6 20
W L L W W
11 17 8 5 4 36:27 9 19
W W D L D
12 17 5 5 7 26:24 2 15
L W L D W
13 17 6 3 8 18:22 -4 15
L L L W W
14 18 6 3 9 29:31 -2 14
L D W L L
15 17 4 6 7 22:22 0 8
W L W D L
16 17 2 7 8 24:34 -10 8
L L D D D
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Relegation - League One