CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
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Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.1%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Shandong Luneng Win 55.1%
Draw 12.3%
Tianjin Teda Win 32.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shandong Luneng1.53
Tianjin Teda1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng
WWDLW
37 GF / 36 GA
Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda
WLDWL
29 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.76
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
15
BTTS Yes
11
15
Over 2.5
10
4.9
Shots on Goal
3.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng 21 matches
Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 21 matches
Shandong Luneng Statistic Tianjin Teda
10 Wins 7
3 Draws 6
8 Losses 8
37 Goals For 29
36 Goals Against 25
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
15 BTTS Yes 11
18 Over 1.5 16
15 Over 2.5 10
9 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 5
4.9 Shots On Goal 3.4
14.1 Total Shots 10.4
4.29 Corners 4.25
49% Ball Possession 44.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Tianjin Teda look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Tianjin Teda. Shandong Luneng arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 27 points compared to Tianjin Teda in 14 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shandong Luneng expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Tianjin Teda in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tianjin Teda having the stronger overall control.

Shandong Luneng Analysis

Shandong Luneng approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 27 points from 21 matches. The overall return of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats with a 37:36 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Cryzan (1 goals), with creative support from Songchen Shi (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Tianjin Teda Analysis

Tianjin Teda approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 17 points from 20 matches. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 29:24 goal record continues to suggest very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Shandong Luneng won 11 times, Tianjin Teda won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:13 from Shandong Luneng's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.7%)
Predicted formations: Shandong Luneng 4-4-2 / Tianjin Teda 5-3-2
H2H summary: Shandong Luneng wins 11, draws 2, Tianjin Teda wins 2
Last matches: Shandong Luneng
01.08.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
0
W
26.07.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Henan Jianye
1
2
L
18.07.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Dalian Zhixing
1
3
L
10.07.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Yunnan Yukun
4
3
W
04.07.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Beijing Guoan
0
2
L
27.06.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Shenyang Urban
5
1
W
30.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Chengdu Better City
0
1
L
24.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Wuhan Three Towns
3
3
D
20.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Hangzhou Greentown
1
4
L
16.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Chongqing Tongliang Long
3
1
W
10.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Sichuan Jiuniu
2
1
W
05.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Shanghai Shenhua
4
1
W
01.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Qingdao Youth Island
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Qingdao Jonoon
1
4
L
21.04.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
2
1
W
17.04.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
1
D
11.04.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Henan Jianye
1
0
W
04.04.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Dalian Zhixing
1
2
L
21.03.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Yunnan Yukun
0
4
L
14.03.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Beijing Guoan
2
1
W
Last matches: Tianjin Teda
01.08.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Yunnan Yukun
3
2
W
25.07.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Qingdao Jonoon
2
0
W
18.07.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Shanghai Shenhua
2
0
W
04.07.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Sichuan Jiuniu
3
0
W
27.06.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Chongqing Tongliang Long
0
1
L
31.05.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Dalian Zhixing
1
0
W
23.05.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
1
D
19.05.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Henan Jianye
1
2
L
15.05.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Chengdu Better City
1
2
L
10.05.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Hangzhou Greentown
1
1
D
05.05.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Qingdao Youth Island
1
1
D
01.05.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Wuhan Three Towns
2
2
D
25.04.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Beijing Guoan
4
2
W
21.04.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Shandong Luneng
1
2
L
17.04.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Yunnan Yukun
3
0
W
12.04.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Qingdao Jonoon
1
1
D
05.04.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Shanghai Shenhua
2
3
L
21.03.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Shenyang Urban
0
3
L
14.03.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Sichuan Jiuniu
0
1
L
07.03.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Chongqing Tongliang Long
0
0
D
H2H: Shandong Luneng vs Tianjin Teda
21.04.26
H2H
Tianjin Teda
Shandong Luneng
1
2
W
01.11.25
H2H
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
2
1
W
14.06.25
H2H
Tianjin Teda
Shandong Luneng
1
0
L
18.10.24
H2H
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
4
1
W
21.05.24
H2H
Tianjin Teda
Shandong Luneng
1
1
D
18.08.23
H2H
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
1
0
W
20.05.23
H2H
Tianjin Teda
Shandong Luneng
3
3
D
03.11.22
H2H
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
4
1
W
06.08.22
H2H
Tianjin Teda
Shandong Luneng
0
1
W
27.11.19
H2H
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
3
1
W
22.06.19
H2H
Tianjin Teda
Shandong Luneng
2
1
L
20.10.18
H2H
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
2
0
W
18.05.18
H2H
Tianjin Teda
Shandong Luneng
1
2
W
09.07.17
H2H
Tianjin Teda
Shandong Luneng
0
2
W
04.03.17
H2H
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
2
0
W
Last matches: Shandong Luneng
26.07.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Henan Jianye
1
2
L
10.07.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Yunnan Yukun
4
3
W
24.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Wuhan Three Towns
3
3
D
16.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Chongqing Tongliang Long
3
1
W
05.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Shanghai Shenhua
4
1
W
01.05.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Qingdao Youth Island
1
1
D
17.04.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
1
D
04.04.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Dalian Zhixing
1
2
L
14.03.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Beijing Guoan
2
1
W
07.03.26
Sup
Shandong Luneng
Shenyang Urban
3
0
W
H2H at home: Shandong Luneng
01.11.25
H2H
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
2
1
W
18.10.24
H2H
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
4
1
W
18.08.23
H2H
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
1
0
W
03.11.22
H2H
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
4
1
W
27.11.19
H2H
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
3
1
W
20.10.18
H2H
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
2
0
W
04.03.17
H2H
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
2
0
W
Last matches: Tianjin Teda
25.07.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Qingdao Jonoon
2
0
W
18.07.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Shanghai Shenhua
2
0
W
27.06.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Chongqing Tongliang Long
0
1
L
23.05.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
1
D
10.05.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Hangzhou Greentown
1
1
D
05.05.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Qingdao Youth Island
1
1
D
25.04.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Beijing Guoan
4
2
W
17.04.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Yunnan Yukun
3
0
W
21.03.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Shenyang Urban
0
3
L
14.03.26
Sup
Tianjin Teda
Sichuan Jiuniu
0
1
L
13.02.26
Fri
Tianjin Teda
Karpaty
0
1
L
H2H away: Tianjin Teda
01.11.25
H2H
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
2
1
L
18.10.24
H2H
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
4
1
L
18.08.23
H2H
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
1
0
L
03.11.22
H2H
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
4
1
L
27.11.19
H2H
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
3
1
L
20.10.18
H2H
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
2
0
L
04.03.17
H2H
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
2
0
L

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 13 6 2 42:21 21 45
D D D D D
2 21 7 10 4 26:29 -3 31
W W D L W
3 21 7 8 6 23:24 -1 29
L L D D L
4 20 9 2 9 31:36 -5 29
D L W W L
5 21 8 4 9 42:41 1 28
L W D L W
6 21 10 3 8 37:36 1 27
W L L W L
7 20 8 7 5 34:27 7 26
W D D W W
8 20 7 3 10 28:32 -4 24
W L D W L
9 21 8 5 8 31:36 -5 24
L W D W L
10 21 7 2 12 30:37 -7 23
W L L W L
11 20 8 4 8 26:25 1 22
D W W L L
12 20 6 6 8 30:27 3 19
L W D L W
13 20 8 5 7 37:34 3 19
L L L W W
14 20 7 6 7 29:24 5 17
W W W W L
15 20 4 8 8 28:35 -7 15
D W W L L
16 21 6 3 12 30:40 -10 14
L L L L D
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation