Shandong Luneng vs Sichuan Jiuniu Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
79.1%
|
1.63 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
1.50 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
1.49 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
89%
|
1.21 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.40 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Shandong Luneng
Sichuan Jiuniu
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Shandong Luneng
25 matches
Sichuan Jiuniu
25 matches
| Shandong Luneng | Statistic | Sichuan Jiuniu |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 8 |
| 3 | Draws | 3 |
| 9 | Losses | 14 |
| 45 | Goals For | 33 |
| 42 | Goals Against | 44 |
| 1.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.32 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.88 | Shots On Goal | 4.08 |
| 14.08 | Total Shots | 11.64 |
| 4.36 | Corners | 5.04 |
| 50% | Ball Possession | 44.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Shandong Luneng's more proactive style and Sichuan Jiuniu's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sichuan Jiuniu. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shandong Luneng expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Sichuan Jiuniu in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sichuan Jiuniu having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Shandong Luneng come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Operating from 5 place with 36 points from 25 games, Shandong Luneng bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 13 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a 45:42 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Cryzan (2 goals), Maiwulang Mijiti (1 goals), Raphaël Merkies (1 goals), with creative support from Cryzan (1 assists), Songchen Shi (1 assists), Yuanyi Li (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Sichuan Jiuniu sit 10 with 27 points after 25 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 33:44 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Wesley Moraes (2 goals), Zhipeng Jiang (2 goals), Albion Ademi (1 goals), with creative support from Wesley Moraes (3 assists), Albion Ademi (1 assists), Li Ning (1 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Shandong Luneng won 5 times, Sichuan Jiuniu won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:5 from Shandong Luneng's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 4.2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 51:30 | 21 | 52 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38:42 | -4 | 40 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 49:33 | 16 | 38 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 54:51 | 3 | 38 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31:32 | -1 | 38 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 |
Shandong Luneng
Home
|
26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46:43 | 3 | 37 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
| 7 | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 40:33 | 7 | 33 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 52:46 | 6 | 31 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 27:32 | -5 | 31 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 45:43 | 2 | 31 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 11 |
Sichuan Jiuniu
Away
|
26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 28 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
| 12 | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:35 | -2 | 27 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 25 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 25 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39:46 | -7 | 21 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 34:53 | -19 | 14 |
L
L
L
L
L
|