IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Tallaght Stadium
Referee: A. Hunter
Shamrock Rovers
Match Timeline
Galway United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
Enda Stevens
Shamrock Rovers
42'
A. Greene · Assist: A. Brennan
Shamrock Rovers
45'
J. McGovern · Assist: A. Brennan
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
46'
C. McCormack ↔ W. Williams
Galway United
🔄
46'
A. Piesold ↔ F. Pierrot
Galway United
🔄
46'
J. Keohane ↔ A. Parker
Galway United
🔄
60'
J. Mulraney ↔ A. Matthews
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
65'
M. Wolfe ↔ A. Bolger
Galway United
🔄
68'
J. Byrne ↔ J. O'Sullivan
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
68'
A. Greene ↔ M. Noonan
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
83'
C. Malley ↔ M. Asamoah
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
83'
T. Sobowale ↔ M. Kovalevskis
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
85'
S. Walsh ↔ A. Kazeem
Galway United
87'
M. Noonan · Assist: M. Asamoah
Shamrock Rovers
90'
F. Pierrot · Assist: D. Hurley
Galway United

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.5%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Shamrock Rovers Win 64.5%
Draw 6.9%
Galway United Win 28.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shamrock Rovers1.75
Galway United1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
WWDLW
44 GF / 20 GA
Galway United Galway United
WLDWL
31 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.76
Average Goals Scored
1.35
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.74
12
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
12
4.52
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 25 matches
Galway United Galway United 23 matches
Shamrock Rovers Statistic Galway United
15 Wins 7
5 Draws 6
5 Losses 10
44 Goals For 31
20 Goals Against 40
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.74
12 BTTS Yes 15
18 Over 1.5 18
11 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 9
11 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 6
4.52 Shots On Goal 3.5
13.26 Total Shots 11.55
4.78 Corners 4.5
59.5% Ball Possession 37.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Shamrock Rovers's more proactive style and Galway United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Galway United. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Shamrock Rovers arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 40 points compared to Galway United in 7 on 21, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shamrock Rovers expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Galway United in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Galway United having the stronger overall control.

Shamrock Rovers Analysis

Shamrock Rovers sit 1 with 40 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 12 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 32:19, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through G. Burke (6 goals), John McGovern (4 goals), A. Brennan (3 goals), with creative support from J. Byrne (4 assists), John McGovern (3 assists), T. Sobowale (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Galway United Analysis

With 21 points from 19 games and a place of 7, Galway United still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats with a 26:30 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on K. Twardek (6 goals), David Hurley (3 goals), F. Pierrot (3 goals), with creative support from K. Twardek (5 assists), David Hurley (4 assists), J. Keohane (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Shamrock Rovers won 9 times, Galway United won 0 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:6 from Shamrock Rovers's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.79 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.1%)
Predicted formations: Shamrock Rovers 3-4-2-1 / Galway United 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Shamrock Rovers wins 9, draws 5, Galway United wins 0

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 16 7 5 46:27 19 55
D W D W W
2 29 14 8 7 45:25 20 50
L W W D D
3 29 14 8 7 50:34 16 50
W W L D W
4 29 10 10 9 46:45 1 40
W L L D D
5 27 8 11 8 37:39 -2 35
D L L W D
6 29 7 13 9 41:40 1 34
D L W D L
7 28 8 10 10 36:42 -6 34
D W D D D
8 29 7 11 11 39:48 -9 32
W D W W D
9 29 6 10 13 33:48 -15 28
L L D D D
10 29 5 8 16 23:48 -25 23
L D L D D
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation