IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
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Tallaght Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.4%
Odds 1.67
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.73
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.4%
1.67
BTTS Yes
86%
1.75
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.73
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
88.7%
1.25
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Shamrock Rovers Win 64.4%
Draw 3.7%
Dundalk Win 31.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shamrock Rovers1.64
Dundalk1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
WWDLW
60 GF / 29 GA
Dundalk Dundalk
WLDWL
46 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.76
Average Goals Scored
1.64
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
17
BTTS Yes
21
16
Over 2.5
17
4.52
Shots on Goal
5.42

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 34 matches
Dundalk Dundalk 28 matches
Shamrock Rovers Statistic Dundalk
21 Wins 10
6 Draws 10
7 Losses 8
60 Goals For 46
29 Goals Against 41
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
17 BTTS Yes 21
25 Over 1.5 25
16 Over 2.5 17
9 Over 3.5 10
13 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 2
4.52 Shots On Goal 5.42
11.84 Total Shots 15.62
4.26 Corners 5.85
54.5% Ball Possession 49.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shamrock Rovers expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Dundalk in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dundalk having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Dundalk. Shamrock Rovers arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 50 points compared to Dundalk in 4 on 36, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Dundalk arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Shamrock Rovers Analysis

Shamrock Rovers come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 50 points after 25 matches. The return of 15 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 40:22, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through G. Burke (5 goals), J. McGovern (3 goals), J. Byrne (2 goals), with creative support from J. McGovern (2 assists), J. Byrne (2 assists), Victor Ozhianvuna (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Dundalk Analysis

Dundalk sit 4 with 36 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 7 defeats with a 39:37 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Daryl Horgan (5 goals), Tyreke Wilson (4 goals), G. Arubi (4 goals), with creative support from Daryl Horgan (3 assists), Eoin Kenny (3 assists), Tyreke Wilson (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Shamrock Rovers won 7 times, Dundalk won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:8 from Shamrock Rovers's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
Predicted formations: Shamrock Rovers 3-5-2 / Dundalk 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Shamrock Rovers wins 7, draws 3, Dundalk wins 5
Last matches: Shamrock Rovers
04.08.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3
1
W
31.07.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
0
0
D
28.07.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Ararat-Armenia
2
1
W
21.07.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Ararat-Armenia
0
2
L
14.07.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Floriana
5
1
W
07.07.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Floriana
0
2
L
03.07.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
2
1
W
30.06.26
Fri
Shamrock Rovers
Hibernian
1
0
W
26.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
3
1
W
22.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
1
1
D
19.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
2
0
W
12.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
1
2
L
29.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
25.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
2
1
W
22.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
1
2
L
15.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
0
1
L
08.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
3
1
W
04.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
4
1
W
01.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
1
0
W
24.04.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
0
1
L
Last matches: Dundalk
31.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
1
1
D
24.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
10.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
Drogheda United
1
2
L
03.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shelbourne
1
2
L
26.06.26
Pre
Dundalk
Waterford
2
3
L
19.06.26
Pre
Dundalk
Bohemians
2
1
W
12.06.26
Pre
Dundalk
Galway United
1
0
W
29.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Derry City
2
1
W
22.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Drogheda United
1
1
D
15.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
W
08.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Bohemians
1
3
L
04.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Waterford
3
3
D
01.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shelbourne
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
0
2
L
17.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Galway United
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Derry City
2
2
D
06.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shelbourne
3
2
W
20.03.26
Pre
Dundalk
Bohemians
1
1
D
16.03.26
Pre
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
H2H: Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk
15.05.26
H2H
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
L
23.02.26
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
1
D
27.10.24
H2H
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
W
04.07.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
0
W
17.05.24
H2H
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
L
16.02.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
1
D
25.08.23
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
0
W
23.07.23
H2H
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
L
30.06.23
H2H
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
2
0
L
02.06.23
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
2
0
W
31.03.23
H2H
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
0
4
W
21.08.22
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
3
0
W
17.06.22
H2H
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
L
18.04.22
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
0
W
14.03.22
H2H
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
0
0
D
Last matches: Shamrock Rovers
04.08.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3
1
W
28.07.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Ararat-Armenia
2
1
W
14.07.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Floriana
5
1
W
30.06.26
Fri
Shamrock Rovers
Hibernian
1
0
W
26.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
3
1
W
22.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
1
1
D
29.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
22.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
4
1
W
01.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
1
0
W
17.04.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
2
1
W
06.04.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
3
2
W
20.03.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
2
0
W
06.03.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
1
0
W
23.02.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
1
D
20.02.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Shamrock Rovers
Treaty United
3
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Shamrock Rovers
Longford Town
6
0
W
18.12.25
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Hamrun Spartans
3
1
W
27.11.25
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
2
L
H2H at home: Shamrock Rovers
23.02.26
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
1
D
04.07.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
0
W
16.02.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
1
D
25.08.23
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
0
W
02.06.23
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
2
0
W
21.08.22
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
3
0
W
18.04.22
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
0
W
Last matches: Dundalk
24.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shelbourne
1
2
L
19.06.26
Pre
Dundalk
Bohemians
2
1
W
12.06.26
Pre
Dundalk
Galway United
1
0
W
22.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Drogheda United
1
1
D
04.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Waterford
3
3
D
25.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shelbourne
3
2
W
20.03.26
Pre
Dundalk
Bohemians
1
1
D
06.03.26
Pre
Dundalk
Galway United
2
2
D
27.02.26
Pre
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
0
4
L
23.02.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pre
Dundalk
Derry City
2
2
D
20.01.26
Fri
Dundalk
Shelbourne
1
2
L
16.01.26
Fri
Dundalk
UCD
5
1
W
H2H away: Dundalk
23.02.26
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
1
D
04.07.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
0
L
16.02.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
1
D
25.08.23
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
0
L
02.06.23
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
2
0
L
21.08.22
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
3
0
L
18.04.22
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.82
Draw 3.95
Home 1.67
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.12
Draw 2.42
Home 2.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.23
Over 2.25 1.53
Over 2.5 1.73
Over 2.75 1.93
Over 3.0 2.25
Over 3.25 2.55
Over 3.5 2.83
Over 4.5 5.22
Under 1.5 4.09
Under 2.25 2.49
Under 2.5 2.11
Under 2.75 1.88
Under 3.0 1.65
Under 3.25 1.51
Under 3.5 1.42
Under 4.5 1.15
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.80
Draw 3.75
Home 1.62
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.38
Home 2.20
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.62
Home 1.95
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.73
Over 3.5 2.75
Over 4.5 5.50
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 23.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.5 2.08
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.70
Draw 3.92
Home 1.67
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.04
Draw 2.25
Home 2.21
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.65
Draw 2.68
Home 1.97
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.08
Over 1.5 1.18
Over 1.75 1.24
Over 2.0 1.30
Over 2.25 1.53
Over 2.5 1.72
Over 2.75 1.90
Over 3.0 2.15
Over 3.25 2.42
Over 3.5 2.71
Over 3.75 3.20
Over 4.0 4.30
Over 4.25 4.70
Over 4.5 5.05
Over 4.75 6.45
Over 5.0 9.30
Over 5.5 10.50
Over 6.5 23.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 10.80
Under 1.0 8.00
Under 1.25 5.55
Under 1.5 3.96
Under 1.75 3.54
Under 2.0 3.12
Under 2.25 2.44
Under 2.5 2.08
Under 2.75 1.87
Under 3.0 1.60
Under 3.25 1.45
Under 3.5 1.36
Under 3.75 1.26
Under 4.0 1.14
Under 4.25 1.12
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 4.75 1.05
Under 5.0 1.00
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.90
Draw 3.80
Home 1.63
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 2.35
Home 2.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.40
Draw 2.70
Home 1.97
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.21
Over 2.0 1.32
Over 2.5 1.68
Over 3.0 2.17
Over 3.5 2.70
Over 4.0 4.20
Over 4.25 4.50
Over 4.5 4.80
Over 5.0 8.50
Under 1.5 3.80
Under 2.0 3.05
Under 2.5 2.00
Under 3.0 1.58
Under 3.5 1.38
Under 4.0 1.17
Under 4.25 1.15
Under 4.5 1.13
Under 5.0 1.05

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 6 5 40:22 18 51
D W W D W
2 26 12 8 6 41:22 19 44
D D D W L
3 26 12 8 6 41:28 13 44
D W W W L
4 26 9 10 7 40:38 2 37
D D L L L
5 25 8 10 7 35:36 -1 34
L W D L D
6 26 6 12 8 33:32 1 30
D L W D L
7 25 7 8 10 33:40 -7 29
D D W L L
8 26 6 9 11 31:43 -12 27
D D W L L
9 26 5 10 11 34:47 -13 25
W D D W W
10 26 5 7 14 23:43 -20 22
D D L L D
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation