IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Tallaght Stadium
Shamrock Rovers
Match Timeline
Derry City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
James McClean
Derry City
🔄
24'
K. Santos ↔ D. Markey
Derry City
25'
L. Boyce · Assist: J. McClean
Derry City
🟨
45+4'
Brandon Fleming
Derry City
🟨
50'
Cameron Dummigan
Derry City
🟨
56'
Graham Burke
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
56'
↔ C. Winchester
Derry City
🔄
56'
C. Dummigan ↔ J. Olayinka
Derry City
🟨
61'
Liam Boyce
Derry City
🔄
70'
M. Noonan ↔ A. Greene
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
70'
C. O'Sullivan ↔ J. O'Sullivan
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
70'
D. Watts ↔ J. McGovern
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
70'
G. Burke ↔ N. Razi
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
72'
J. McClean ↔ L. Kelly
Derry City
🔄
72'
L. Boyce ↔ T. Doherty
Derry City
🔄
76'
J. Mulraney ↔ M. Kovalevskis
Shamrock Rovers
🟨
77'
Carl Winchester
Derry City
83'
A. Greene · Assist: J. McGovern
Shamrock Rovers
🟨
89'
Adam Brennan
Shamrock Rovers

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Shamrock Rovers Win 70%
Draw 4.4%
Derry City Win 25.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shamrock Rovers1.56
Derry City1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
WWDLW
43 GF / 19 GA
Derry City Derry City
WLDWL
28 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.79
Average Goals Scored
1.17
0.79
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
11
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
13
4.36
Shots on Goal
4.32

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 24 matches
Derry City Derry City 24 matches
Shamrock Rovers Statistic Derry City
15 Wins 5
4 Draws 10
5 Losses 9
43 Goals For 28
19 Goals Against 29
1.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
0.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
11 BTTS Yes 15
17 Over 1.5 15
11 Over 2.5 13
6 Over 3.5 6
11 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 8
4.36 Shots On Goal 4.32
13.14 Total Shots 12.32
4.73 Corners 5.77
59% Ball Possession 52.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Derry City. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shamrock Rovers expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Derry City in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Derry City having the stronger overall control. Shamrock Rovers have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Shamrock Rovers arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 40 points compared to Derry City in 6 on 25, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Shamrock Rovers Analysis

With 40 points from 21 games and a place of 1, Shamrock Rovers still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 32:19 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on G. Burke (6 goals), John McGovern (4 goals), A. Brennan (3 goals), with creative support from J. Byrne (4 assists), John McGovern (3 assists), T. Sobowale (3 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Derry City Analysis

Derry City sit 6 with 25 points after 21 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 10 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 26:24 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through James Clarke (7 goals), M. Duffy (5 goals), D. Akinyemi (3 goals), with creative support from M. Duffy (2 assists), Ben Doherty (2 assists), Brandon Fleming (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Shamrock Rovers won 7 times, Derry City won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:11 from Shamrock Rovers's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
Predicted formations: Shamrock Rovers 3-4-2-1 / Derry City 3-4-3
H2H summary: Shamrock Rovers wins 7, draws 5, Derry City wins 3
Stats
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
Derry City Derry City
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
3
6 Corner Kicks 2
10 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 0
70% Ball Possession 30%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Goal 4
2 Shots off Goal 5
6 Blocked Shots 3
9 Shots insidebox 7
7 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 7
657 Total passes 278
562 Passes accurate 213
1.45 expected_goals 1.31
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Shamrock Rovers
Formation
Derry City
E. McGinty
E. McGinty
T. Sobowale
T. Sobowale
L. Grace
L. Grace
C. O'Sullivan
C. O'Sullivan
J. Mulraney
J. Mulraney
M. Healy
M. Healy
J. Byrne
J. Byrne
A. Brennan
A. Brennan
D. Watts
D. Watts
M. Noonan
M. Noonan
G. Burke
G. Burke
E. Beach
E. Beach
B. Cotter
B. Cotter
C. Barr
C. Barr
P. McClean
P. McClean
B. Fleming
B. Fleming
C. Dummigan
C. Dummigan
J. McClean
🎯
J. McClean
K. Santos
K. Santos
A. O'Reilly
A. O'Reilly
M. Duffy
M. Duffy
L. Boyce
L. Boyce
Shamrock Rovers 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
E. McGinty
G
22
T. Sobowale
D
5
L. Grace
D
27
C. O'Sullivan
↓ 70'
D
11
J. Mulraney
↓ 76'
M
8
M. Healy
M
29
J. Byrne
M
19
A. Brennan
🟨 89'
M
7
D. Watts
↓ 70'
F
31
M. Noonan
↓ 70'
F
10
G. Burke
↓ 70' 🟨 56'
F
Substitutes
41
A. Noonan
G
3
A. Matthews
D
9
A. Greene
⚽ 83' ↑ 70'
F
26
J. O'Sullivan
↑ 70'
2
E. Stevens
D
23
C. Malley
M
88
J. McGovern
🎯 83' ↑ 70'
F
28
N. Razi
↑ 70'
M
38
M. Kovalevskis
↑ 76'
Derry City 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
E. Beach
G
2
B. Cotter
D
22
C. Barr
D
3
P. McClean
D
19
B. Fleming
🟨 45+4'
D
23
C. Dummigan
↓ 56' 🟨 50'
M
16
J. McClean
🎯 25' ↓ 72' 🟨 4'
M
21
K. Santos
↓ 24'
M
8
A. O'Reilly
M
7
M. Duffy
M
27
L. Boyce
⚽ 25' ↓ 72' 🟨 61'
F
Substitutes
1
B. Maher
G
31
C. Downey
M
20
C. Winchester
↑ 56' 🟨 77'
M
10
D. Markey
↑ 24'
M
28
J. Olayinka
↑ 56'
M
35
L. Kelly
↑ 72'
M
32
T. Doherty
↑ 72'
F
34
J. O'Donnell
F
33
O. O'Brien
D
Last matches: Shamrock Rovers
04.08.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3
1
W
31.07.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
0
0
D
28.07.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Ararat-Armenia
2
1
W
21.07.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Ararat-Armenia
0
2
L
14.07.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Floriana
5
1
W
07.07.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Floriana
0
2
L
03.07.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
2
1
W
30.06.26
Fri
Shamrock Rovers
Hibernian
1
0
W
26.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
3
1
W
19.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
2
0
W
12.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
1
2
L
29.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
25.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
2
1
W
22.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
1
2
L
15.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
0
1
L
08.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
3
1
W
04.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
4
1
W
01.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
1
0
W
24.04.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
0
1
L
17.04.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
2
1
W
Last matches: Derry City
02.08.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
30.07.26
UEF
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
23.07.26
UEF
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
16.07.26
UEF
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
1
2
L
09.07.26
UEF
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
2
3
L
03.07.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
4
L
26.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
2
0
W
19.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
4
1
W
29.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
1
2
L
25.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
15.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
2
D
08.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
0
1
L
04.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
W
17.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
2
2
D
06.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
H2H: Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City
22.06.26
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
1
1
D
24.04.26
H2H
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
L
06.03.26
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
1
0
W
31.01.26
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
0
1
L
26.10.25
H2H
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
2
1
L
03.08.25
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
2
0
W
23.05.25
H2H
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
W
28.03.25
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
0
0
D
20.09.24
H2H
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
20.05.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
1
0
W
19.04.24
H2H
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
3
W
04.03.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
2
2
D
15.09.23
H2H
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
26.06.23
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
1
0
W
01.05.23
H2H
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
W
Last matches: Shamrock Rovers
04.08.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3
1
W
28.07.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Ararat-Armenia
2
1
W
14.07.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Floriana
5
1
W
30.06.26
Fri
Shamrock Rovers
Hibernian
1
0
W
26.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
3
1
W
29.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
22.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
4
1
W
01.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
1
0
W
17.04.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
2
1
W
06.04.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
3
2
W
20.03.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
2
0
W
06.03.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
1
0
W
23.02.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
1
D
20.02.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Shamrock Rovers
Treaty United
3
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Shamrock Rovers
Longford Town
6
0
W
18.12.25
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Hamrun Spartans
3
1
W
27.11.25
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
2
L
23.10.25
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Celje
0
2
L
H2H at home: Shamrock Rovers
22.06.26
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
1
1
D
06.03.26
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
1
0
W
31.01.26
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
0
1
L
03.08.25
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
2
0
W
28.03.25
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
0
0
D
20.05.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
1
0
W
04.03.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
2
2
D
26.06.23
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
1
0
W
Last matches: Derry City
02.08.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
23.07.26
UEF
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
09.07.26
UEF
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
2
3
L
19.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
2
L
29.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
1
2
L
15.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
2
D
08.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
0
1
L
01.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
1
1
D
17.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
2
2
D
06.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
2
L
16.03.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
23.01.26
Fri
Derry City
Polessya
1
2
L
09.01.26
Fri
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
0
1
L
H2H away: Derry City
22.06.26
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
1
1
D
06.03.26
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
1
0
L
31.01.26
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
0
1
W
03.08.25
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
2
0
L
28.03.25
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
0
0
D
20.05.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
1
0
L
04.03.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
2
2
D
26.06.23
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
1
0
L

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 6 5 40:22 18 51
D W W D W
2 26 12 8 6 41:22 19 44
D D D W L
3 26 12 8 6 41:28 13 44
D W W W L
4 26 9 10 7 40:38 2 37
D D L L L
5 25 8 10 7 35:36 -1 34
L W D L D
6 26 6 12 8 33:32 1 30
D L W D L
7 25 7 8 10 33:40 -7 29
D D W L L
8 26 6 9 11 31:43 -12 27
D D W L L
9 26 5 10 11 34:47 -13 25
W D D W W
10 26 5 7 14 23:43 -20 22
D D L L D
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation