Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
70%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Shamrock Rovers
24 matches
Derry City
24 matches
| Shamrock Rovers | Statistic | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 5 |
| 4 | Draws | 10 |
| 5 | Losses | 9 |
| 43 | Goals For | 28 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 0.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.36 | Shots On Goal | 4.32 |
| 13.14 | Total Shots | 12.32 |
| 4.73 | Corners | 5.77 |
| 59% | Ball Possession | 52.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Derry City. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shamrock Rovers expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Derry City in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Derry City having the stronger overall control. Shamrock Rovers have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Shamrock Rovers arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 40 points compared to Derry City in 6 on 25, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 40 points from 21 games and a place of 1, Shamrock Rovers still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 32:19 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on G. Burke (6 goals), John McGovern (4 goals), A. Brennan (3 goals), with creative support from J. Byrne (4 assists), John McGovern (3 assists), T. Sobowale (3 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Derry City sit 6 with 25 points after 21 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 10 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 26:24 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through James Clarke (7 goals), M. Duffy (5 goals), D. Akinyemi (3 goals), with creative support from M. Duffy (2 assists), Ben Doherty (2 assists), Brandon Fleming (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Shamrock Rovers won 7 times, Derry City won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:11 from Shamrock Rovers's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.
Shamrock Rovers
8
4
2
5
6
3
Lineups
Shamrock Rovers
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Ararat-Armenia
Shamrock Rovers
Ararat-Armenia
Shamrock Rovers
Floriana
Shamrock Rovers
Floriana
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
Hibernian
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Shamrock Rovers
Ararat-Armenia
Shamrock Rovers
Floriana
Shamrock Rovers
Hibernian
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
Treaty United
Shamrock Rovers
Longford Town
Shamrock Rovers
Hamrun Spartans
Shamrock Rovers
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shamrock Rovers
Celje
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Polessya
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Shamrock Rovers
Home
|
26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:22 | 18 | 51 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
| 2 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 44 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 44 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 40:38 | 2 | 37 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35:36 | -1 | 34 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 |
Derry City
Away
|
26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 30 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
| 7 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 33:40 | -7 | 29 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 27 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 34:47 | -13 | 25 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23:43 | -20 | 22 |
D
D
L
L
D
|