UKRAINE › PREMIER LEAGUE
13.05.2026 15:00
Arena Lviv
Referee: M. Balakin
Shakhtar Donetsk
Match Timeline
Obolon'-Brovar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
Luca Meirelles · Assist: Pedrinho
Shakhtar Donetsk
⚽
14'
A. Ghram · Assist: Newerton
Shakhtar Donetsk
🟨
22'
Maksym Chekh
Obolon'-Brovar
⚽
44'
M. Chekh · Assist: D. Semenov
Obolon'-Brovar
🟨
49'
Taras Liakh
Obolon'-Brovar
🔄
63'
T. Lyakh ↔ D. Teslyuk
Obolon'-Brovar
🔄
69'
Marlon Gomes ↔ Isaque Silva
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
69'
P. Obah ↔ Kaua Elias
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
80'
Pedrinho ↔ M. Shved
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
80'
Luca Meirelles ↔ V. Tsukanov
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
80'
I. Medynskyi ↔ K. Bychek
Obolon'-Brovar
🔄
80'
M. Tretyakov ↔ R. Lyashchuk
Obolon'-Brovar
🔄
83'
A. Ghram ↔ V. Bondar
Shakhtar Donetsk
🟨
86'
Newerton Palmares
Shakhtar Donetsk
🟨
87'
Irakli Azarovi
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
90+1'
R. Volokhatyi ↔ R. Chernenko
Obolon'-Brovar
⚽
90'
M. Shved · Assist: Isaque Silva
Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 16.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
21.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
16.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
73.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Shakhtar Donetsk Win 100%
Draw 0%
Obolon'-Brovar Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shakhtar Donetsk1.98
Obolon'-Brovar0.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
WWDLW
101 GF / 36 GA
Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar
WLDWL
22 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
2.15
Average Goals Scored
0.85
0.77
Average Goals Conceded
1.73
21
BTTS Yes
13
28
Over 2.5
14
3.77
Shots on Goal
1.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 47 matches
Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar 26 matches
Shakhtar Donetsk Statistic Obolon'-Brovar
30 Wins 5
12 Draws 10
5 Losses 11
101 Goals For 22
36 Goals Against 45
2.15 Avg Goals Scored 0.85
0.77 Avg Goals Conceded 1.73
21 BTTS Yes 13
35 Over 1.5 19
28 Over 2.5 14
18 Over 3.5 8
26 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 11
3.77 Shots On Goal 1.71
9.89 Total Shots 6.21
3.75 Corners 2.67
40.5% Ball Possession 28.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Shakhtar Donetsk's more proactive style and Obolon'-Brovar's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Shakhtar Donetsk come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Shakhtar Donetsk arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 66 points compared to Obolon'-Brovar in 11 on 28, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Obolon'-Brovar. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shakhtar Donetsk expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Obolon'-Brovar in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Obolon'-Brovar having the stronger overall control.

Shakhtar Donetsk Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 66 points from 27 games, Shakhtar Donetsk bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 20 wins, 6 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 65:17, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Eguinaldo (7 goals), Kaua Elias (6 goals), L. Traore (6 goals), with creative support from Pedrinho (5 assists), A. Bondarenko (5 assists), P. Henrique (5 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 11 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Obolon'-Brovar Analysis

So far, Obolon'-Brovar have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 28 points from 27 matches. The record of 6 wins, 10 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 25:45 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Ustymenko (6 goals), S. Sukhanov (4 goals), T. Lyakh (3 goals), with creative support from Oleh Illin (2 assists), Yevgeniy Shevchenko (2 assists), O. Slobodyan (1 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Shakhtar Donetsk won 9 times, Obolon'-Brovar won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:1 from Shakhtar Donetsk's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
Predicted formations: Shakhtar Donetsk 4-1-4-1 / Obolon'-Brovar 4-4-2
H2H summary: Shakhtar Donetsk wins 9, draws 0, Obolon'-Brovar wins 0

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 6 2 71:21 50 72
L W W W W
2 30 18 6 6 39:17 22 60
W L W D D
3 30 18 5 7 51:21 30 59
W D L W W
4 30 17 6 7 66:36 30 57
W W W D L
5 30 13 12 5 36:19 17 51
W D D D L
6 30 13 10 7 30:25 5 49
W L L W W
7 30 13 9 8 53:46 7 48
D L W W D
8 30 12 10 8 42:36 6 46
W D W D W
9 30 10 11 9 40:31 9 41
L W D L D
10 30 8 8 14 36:45 -9 32
D D W D D
11 30 7 10 13 26:40 -14 31
L L L D D
12 30 7 10 13 28:49 -21 31
L W L D D
13 30 7 7 16 32:48 -16 28
L W W L D
14 30 6 3 21 20:51 -31 21
L L L D L
15 30 3 8 19 24:58 -34 17
D W L L L
16 30 2 7 21 23:74 -51 13
D L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga