UKRAINE PREMIER LEAGUE
20.09.2026 15:00
Arena Lviv
Referee: Denys Shurman, Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
Match Timeline
LNZ Cherkasy
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
22'
N. Muravskyi
LNZ Cherkasy
🔄
28'
P. Yade ↔ A. Dajko
LNZ Cherkasy
🟨
33'
Alisson
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
57'
G. Mendoza ↔ Newerton
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
57'
Alisson ↔ Pedrinho
Shakhtar Donetsk
63'
Pedrinho · Assist: L. Traore
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
67'
A. Yakubu ↔ M. Assinor
LNZ Cherkasy
🟨
68'
D. Ledviy
LNZ Cherkasy
69'
Newerton
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
73'
O. Karavaev ↔ V. Tobias
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
73'
L. Traore ↔ Kaua Elias
Shakhtar Donetsk
🟨
74'
A. Turan
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
77'
M. Jashari ↔ B. Slyubyk
LNZ Cherkasy
83'
Isaque Silva · Assist: Pedro Henrique
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
87'
Isaque Silva ↔ Luca Meirelles
Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk vs LNZ Cherkasy Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.4%
Odds 1.43
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 2.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 2.17
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.4%
1.43
BTTS Yes
58.2%
2.25
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
2.17
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
1.49
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Shakhtar Donetsk Win 67.4%
Draw 6.9%
LNZ Cherkasy Win 25.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shakhtar Donetsk1.5
LNZ Cherkasy1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
WWDLW
35 GF / 13 GA
LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy
WLDWL
30 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
2.06
Average Goals Scored
1.25
0.76
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
7
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
8
0.67
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 17 matches
LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy 24 matches
Shakhtar Donetsk Statistic LNZ Cherkasy
10 Wins 13
4 Draws 6
3 Losses 5
35 Goals For 30
13 Goals Against 16
2.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
0.76 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
7 BTTS Yes 6
13 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 14
4 Failed To Score 10
0.67 Shots On Goal 0
2.67 Total Shots 0
1 Corners 0
15.3% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Shakhtar Donetsk's more proactive style and LNZ Cherkasy's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shakhtar Donetsk expected to line up in 4-3-3 and LNZ Cherkasy in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward LNZ Cherkasy having the stronger overall control. Shakhtar Donetsk come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Shakhtar Donetsk arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 12 points compared to LNZ Cherkasy in 6 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring LNZ Cherkasy.

Shakhtar Donetsk Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 12 points after 5 outings. They have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, with a 10:4 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

LNZ Cherkasy Analysis

From their first 6 matches, LNZ Cherkasy have collected 8 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 5:5 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Shakhtar Donetsk won 4 times, LNZ Cherkasy won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:9 from Shakhtar Donetsk's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.86 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.1%)
Predicted formations: Shakhtar Donetsk 4-3-3 / LNZ Cherkasy 3-5-2
H2H summary: Shakhtar Donetsk wins 4, draws 1, LNZ Cherkasy wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 15:5 10 18
W W W W L
2 7 6 0 1 15:4 11 18
W W W L W
3 7 4 2 1 15:5 10 14
D W L D W
4 6 4 1 1 9:5 4 13
W W D L W
5 6 4 0 2 12:4 8 12
W W W L L
6 7 2 2 3 6:7 -1 8
L L D W D
7 7 2 2 3 5:8 -3 8
L W D L W
8 7 2 2 3 7:11 -4 8
L D D L W
9 6 1 4 1 4:3 1 7
W L D D D
10 7 1 4 2 4:6 -2 7
L D D W L
11 6 1 3 2 4:5 -1 6
D D W D L
12 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D L D W L
13 6 1 2 3 6:10 -4 5
W L D D L
14 6 1 2 3 7:10 -3 5
L D L D W
15 7 0 4 3 2:12 -10 4
D L L D D
16 6 0 2 4 4:16 -12 2
L L L D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Persha Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga