SPAIN LA LIGA
11.09.2026 19:00

Sevilla vs Valencia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.5%
Odds 1.99
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 2.00
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 2.36
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.5%
1.99
BTTS Yes
71.2%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
2.36
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.3%
1.53
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.20
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Sevilla Win 53.5%
Draw 14.2%
Valencia Win 32.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sevilla1.45
Valencia0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sevilla Sevilla
WWDLW
14 GF / 11 GA
Valencia Valencia
WLDWL
10 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
0.91
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.73
7
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
7
4
Shots on Goal
2.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sevilla Sevilla 11 matches
Valencia Valencia 11 matches
Sevilla Statistic Valencia
6 Wins 2
2 Draws 2
3 Losses 7
14 Goals For 10
11 Goals Against 19
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 0.91
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.73
7 BTTS Yes 6
7 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 4
4 Shots On Goal 2.75
11.5 Total Shots 9.75
3 Corners 3.75
42.5% Ball Possession 42%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sevilla won 6 times, Valencia won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:11 from Sevilla's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.8%)
Predicted formations: Sevilla 4-4-2 / Valencia 4-4-2
Missing players: Sevilla 2, Valencia 8
H2H summary: Sevilla wins 6, draws 6, Valencia wins 3

Standings

La Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 4 0 0 17:2 15 12
W W W W
2 4 3 1 0 10:3 7 10
W W D W
3 4 3 0 1 10:3 7 9
L W W W
4 4 3 0 1 5:5 0 9
W L W W
5 4 2 2 0 8:5 3 8
W W D D
6 4 2 1 1 7:6 1 7
D L W W
7 4 2 1 1 7:6 1 7
L W D W
8 4 2 1 1 5:6 -1 7
L W W D
9 5 2 1 2 6:8 -2 7
W D W L L
10 4 2 0 2 6:5 1 6
W W L L
11 4 1 2 1 5:5 0 5
D W D L
12 4 1 1 2 6:5 1 4
D L L W
13 4 1 1 2 7:8 -1 4
L W L D
14 4 1 1 2 7:10 -3 4
W L D L
15 4 1 1 2 2:5 -3 4
D L W L
16 5 0 3 2 2:5 -3 3
D D L L D
17 4 0 2 2 6:8 -2 2
L L D D
18 4 0 2 2 1:7 -6 2
D L D L
19 4 0 1 3 5:12 -7 1
L L L D
20 4 0 1 3 1:9 -8 1
L L L D
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Europa League league stage
ECL Playoffs
Relegation