BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Serra Branca
Match Timeline
Treze
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
51'
Buba
Treze
79'
Luis Otavio
Serra Branca
83'
Pedro Maycon
Treze

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 72.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
72.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Serra Branca Win 41.5%
Draw 31.1%
Treze Win 27.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Serra Branca1.46
Treze1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Serra Branca Serra Branca
WWDLW
9 GF / 5 GA
Treze Treze
WLDWL
13 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
2.6
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
4
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Serra Branca Serra Branca 6 matches
Treze Treze 5 matches
Serra Branca Statistic Treze
2 Wins 3
4 Draws 1
0 Losses 1
9 Goals For 13
5 Goals Against 7
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 2.6
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
4 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Treze. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Treze having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Serra Branca Analysis

Serra Branca come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 10 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, while the 9:5 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Clayton (2 goals), Kayan (2 goals), Diego Ceara (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Treze Analysis

Treze approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 10 points after 5 outings. They have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 13:7 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Gustavo Petrocelli (3 goals), Jean Carlo (3 goals), Buba (2 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Serra Branca won 1 times, Treze won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:9 from Serra Branca's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (72.6%)
H2H summary: Serra Branca wins 1, draws 1, Treze wins 4
Last matches: Serra Branca
04.07.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Uberlandia
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Juazeirense
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Juazeirense
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Sergipe
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Retrô
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Decisão
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Lagarto
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Lagarto
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Treze
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Decisão
3
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Retrô
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Sergipe
1
1
D
Last matches: Treze
04.07.26
Ser
Treze
CRAC
1
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Treze
Jacuipense
0
0
D
21.06.26
Ser
Treze
Jacuipense
3
1
W
14.06.26
Ser
Treze
Retrô
0
3
L
06.06.26
Ser
Treze
Decisão
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Treze
Lagarto
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Treze
Sergipe
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Treze
Decisão
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Treze
Serra Branca
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Treze
Sergipe
3
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Treze
Lagarto
4
5
L
04.04.26
Ser
Treze
Retrô
3
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz
0
3
L
20.07.25
Ser
Treze
America-RN
1
2
L
12.07.25
Ser
Treze
Sousa
1
0
W
07.07.25
Ser
Treze
Horizonte
0
2
L
28.06.25
Ser
Treze
Ferroviario
1
1
D
19.06.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz RN
1
2
L
08.06.25
Ser
Treze
Central SC
0
1
L
31.05.25
Ser
Treze
Central SC
0
3
L
H2H: Serra Branca vs Treze
16.05.26
H2H
Serra Branca
Treze
1
2
L
25.04.26
H2H
Treze
Serra Branca
1
1
D
18.01.26
H2H
Serra Branca
Treze
0
2
L
25.01.25
H2H
Treze
Serra Branca
1
0
L
16.01.24
H2H
Treze
Serra Branca
0
2
W
25.01.23
H2H
Treze
Serra Branca
3
0
L
Last matches: Serra Branca
04.07.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Uberlandia
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Juazeirense
2
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Retrô
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Lagarto
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Decisão
3
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Sergipe
1
1
D
H2H at home: Serra Branca
16.05.26
H2H
Serra Branca
Treze
1
2
L
18.01.26
H2H
Serra Branca
Treze
0
2
L
Last matches: Treze
04.07.26
Ser
Treze
CRAC
1
2
L
21.06.26
Ser
Treze
Jacuipense
3
1
W
14.06.26
Ser
Treze
Retrô
0
3
L
06.06.26
Ser
Treze
Decisão
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Treze
Sergipe
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Treze
Lagarto
4
5
L
27.07.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Treze
Sousa
1
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Treze
Ferroviario
1
1
D
08.06.25
Ser
Treze
Central SC
0
1
L
24.05.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz RN
0
1
L
10.05.25
Ser
Treze
Horizonte
1
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
Treze
America-RN
0
4
L
H2H away: Treze
16.05.26
H2H
Serra Branca
Treze
1
2
W
18.01.26
H2H
Serra Branca
Treze
0
2
W