TURKEY 1. LIG
25.04.2026 10:30
Ismail Ogan Stadium
Referee: A. Albayrak
Serik Spor
Match Timeline
Hatayspor
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
Ensar Arslan
Hatayspor
🟨
40'
Seyit Gazanfer
Hatayspor
🟨
42'
Prince Ating
Hatayspor
45'
Y. Azrak
Hatayspor
51'
G. Altiparmak · Assist: L. Skvortsov
Serik Spor
🟨
55'
Sharif Osman
Hatayspor
🔄
65'
K. Kosker ↔ E. Nefiz
Serik Spor
67'
E. Arslan
Hatayspor
🔄
75'
P. Ating ↔ R. Chaadaev
Hatayspor
🔄
75'
Y. Azrak ↔ M. Danjuma
Hatayspor
79'
A. Koc
Serik Spor
84'
M. Nalepa · Assist: S. Ozcan
Serik Spor
🟨
86'
Cengiz Demir
Serik Spor
🟨
86'
Hakan Cinemre
Hatayspor
🔄
88'
G. Altiparmak ↔ E. Terzi
Serik Spor
🔄
89'
U. Durmushan ↔ S. M. Aydin
Hatayspor
🔄
89'
E. Arslan ↔ C. Yilmaz
Hatayspor
🔄
89'
M. Gonulacar ↔ D. Aksoy
Hatayspor
VAR
90+5'
Ilya Sadygov
Serik Spor
🔄
90+2'
S. Ozcan ↔ A. D. Akyildiz
Serik Spor
90'
I. Sadygov · Assist: A. D. Akyildiz
Serik Spor

Serik Spor vs Hatayspor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 62.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
62.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.7%
-
Probability Distribution
Serik Spor Win 85%
Draw 15%
Hatayspor Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Serik Spor1.72
Hatayspor1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Serik Spor Serik Spor
WWDLW
39 GF / 70 GA
Hatayspor Hatayspor
WLDWL
28 GF / 97 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
0.78
1.94
Average Goals Conceded
2.69
14
BTTS Yes
19
22
Over 2.5
27
3.58
Shots on Goal
2.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Serik Spor Serik Spor 36 matches
Hatayspor Hatayspor 36 matches
Serik Spor Statistic Hatayspor
10 Wins 1
6 Draws 8
20 Losses 27
39 Goals For 28
70 Goals Against 97
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 0.78
1.94 Avg Goals Conceded 2.69
14 BTTS Yes 19
26 Over 1.5 34
22 Over 2.5 27
14 Over 3.5 18
10 Clean Sheets 1
15 Failed To Score 16
3.58 Shots On Goal 2.33
9.92 Total Shots 7.25
3.47 Corners 2.53
40.5% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Hatayspor. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Serik Spor expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Hatayspor in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Hatayspor having the stronger overall control. Serik Spor arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 17 with 36 points compared to Hatayspor in 19 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Serik Spor Analysis

Serik Spor sit 17 with 36 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 20 defeats with a 39:69 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Amaral (9 goals), Ilya Berkovskyi (6 goals), M. Silva (6 goals), with creative support from J. Amaral (5 assists), S. Dilli (4 assists), A. Martynov (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 1 draws, and 12 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Hatayspor Analysis

With 11 points from 36 games and a place of 19, Hatayspor still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 8 draws, and 27 defeats with a 27:96 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on F. Bamgboye (3 goals), G. Saglam (3 goals), J. Okoronkwo (3 goals), with creative support from Kerim Alıcı (3 assists), F. Bamgboye (2 assists), J. Okoronkwo (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 15 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Serik Spor won 1 times, Hatayspor won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Serik Spor's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
Predicted formations: Serik Spor 5-4-1 / Hatayspor 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Serik Spor wins 1, draws 1, Hatayspor wins 0

Standings

1. Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 23 12 3 82:27 55 81
D D D W W
2 38 21 11 6 81:42 39 74
D D L D D
3 38 21 11 6 81:35 46 74
L D L W W
4 38 21 8 9 63:39 24 71
W W L W D
5 38 18 10 10 71:39 32 64
L W W L D
6 38 16 15 7 58:33 25 63
L D W D D
7 38 16 12 10 73:43 30 60
L W W L D
8 38 16 12 10 47:34 13 60
W D W D D
9 38 16 7 15 57:56 1 55
W L W W W
10 38 14 11 13 47:43 4 53
L W L L W
11 38 13 13 12 57:55 2 52
W W W W L
12 38 15 7 16 44:44 0 52
W W L W D
13 38 13 11 14 52:54 -2 50
D L D W L
14 38 13 10 15 52:47 5 49
L L W L W
15 38 14 6 18 61:57 4 48
W L W L L
16 38 13 7 18 47:51 -4 46
L W L D W
17 38 11 6 21 44:75 -31 39
L W L D L
18 38 8 10 20 45:72 -27 34
L L D L L
19 38 2 8 28 33:102 -69 14
W L D L W
20 38 1 3 34 22:169 -147 -57
L L L L L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Qualification Playoffs
Relegation