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TURKEY › 1. LIG
--.--.---- --:--
Serik Spor
FT
4 - 2
Hatayspor
Ismail Ogan Stadium
Referee: A. Albayrak
Serik Spor
Match Timeline
Hatayspor
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
Ensar Arslan
Hatayspor
🟨
40'
Seyit Gazanfer
Hatayspor
🟨
42'
Prince Ating
Hatayspor
⚽
45'
Y. Azrak
Hatayspor
⚽
51'
G. Altiparmak · Assist: L. Skvortsov
Serik Spor
🟨
55'
Sharif Osman
Hatayspor
🔄
65'
K. Kosker ↔ E. Nefiz
Serik Spor
⚽
67'
E. Arslan
Hatayspor
🔄
75'
P. Ating ↔ R. Chaadaev
Hatayspor
🔄
75'
Y. Azrak ↔ M. Danjuma
Hatayspor
⚽
79'
A. Koc
Serik Spor
⚽
84'
M. Nalepa · Assist: S. Ozcan
Serik Spor
🟨
86'
Cengiz Demir
Serik Spor
🟨
86'
Hakan Cinemre
Hatayspor
🔄
88'
G. Altiparmak ↔ E. Terzi
Serik Spor
🔄
89'
U. Durmushan ↔ S. M. Aydin
Hatayspor
🔄
89'
E. Arslan ↔ C. Yilmaz
Hatayspor
🔄
89'
M. Gonulacar ↔ D. Aksoy
Hatayspor
VAR
90+5'
Ilya Sadygov
Serik Spor
🔄
90+2'
S. Ozcan ↔ A. D. Akyildiz
Serik Spor
⚽
90'
I. Sadygov · Assist: A. D. Akyildiz
Serik Spor

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 62.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
62.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.7%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Serik Spor Win 85%
Draw 15%
Hatayspor Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Serik Spor1.72
Hatayspor1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Serik Spor Serik Spor
WWDLW
39 GF / 70 GA
Hatayspor Hatayspor
WLDWL
28 GF / 97 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
0.78
1.94
Average Goals Conceded
2.69
14
BTTS Yes
19
22
Over 2.5
27
3.58
Shots on Goal
2.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Serik Spor Serik Spor 36 matches
Hatayspor Hatayspor 36 matches
Serik Spor Statistic Hatayspor
10 Wins 1
6 Draws 8
20 Losses 27
39 Goals For 28
70 Goals Against 97
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 0.78
1.94 Avg Goals Conceded 2.69
14 BTTS Yes 19
26 Over 1.5 34
22 Over 2.5 27
14 Over 3.5 18
10 Clean Sheets 1
15 Failed To Score 16
3.58 Shots On Goal 2.33
9.92 Total Shots 7.25
3.47 Corners 2.53
40.5% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Hatayspor. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Serik Spor expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Hatayspor in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Hatayspor having the stronger overall control. Serik Spor arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 17 with 36 points compared to Hatayspor in 19 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Serik Spor Analysis

Serik Spor sit 17 with 36 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 20 defeats with a 39:69 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Amaral (9 goals), Ilya Berkovskyi (6 goals), M. Silva (6 goals), with creative support from J. Amaral (5 assists), S. Dilli (4 assists), A. Martynov (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 1 draws, and 12 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Hatayspor Analysis

With 11 points from 36 games and a place of 19, Hatayspor still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 8 draws, and 27 defeats with a 27:96 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on F. Bamgboye (3 goals), G. Saglam (3 goals), J. Okoronkwo (3 goals), with creative support from Kerim Alıcı (3 assists), F. Bamgboye (2 assists), J. Okoronkwo (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 15 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Serik Spor won 1 times, Hatayspor won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Serik Spor's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
Predicted formations: Serik Spor 5-4-1 / Hatayspor 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Serik Spor wins 1, draws 1, Hatayspor wins 0
Stats
Serik Spor Serik Spor
Hatayspor Hatayspor
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
4
4 Corner Kicks 5
11 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 1
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Goal 7
4 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 4
7 Shots insidebox 15
7 Shots outsidebox 1
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
423 Total passes 314
348 Passes accurate 235
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Serik Spor
Formation
Hatayspor
B. Karakaya
B. Karakaya
L. Skvortsov
🎯
L. Skvortsov
A. Martynov
A. Martynov
C. Demir
C. Demir
C. Cavlan
C. Cavlan
A. Koc
⚽
A. Koc
K. Kosker
↓
K. Kosker
M. Nalepa
⚽
M. Nalepa
S. Ozcan
🎯 ↓
S. Ozcan
G. Altiparmak
⚽ ↓
G. Altiparmak
I. Sadygov
⚽
I. Sadygov
E. Daduk
E. Daduk
S. Gazanfer
S. Gazanfer
M. Sen
M. Sen
H. Cinemre
H. Cinemre
C. Dogan
C. Dogan
M. Gonulacar
↓
M. Gonulacar
S. Osman
S. Osman
Y. Azrak
⚽ ↓
Y. Azrak
U. Durmushan
↓
U. Durmushan
E. Arslan
⚽ ↓
E. Arslan
P. Ating
↓
P. Ating
Serik Spor 4-4-1-1
Starting XI
27
B. Karakaya
G
55
L. Skvortsov
🎯 51'
D
4
A. Martynov
D
5
C. Demir
🟨 86'
D
44
C. Cavlan
D
95
A. Koc
⚽ 79'
M
66
K. Kosker
↓ 65'
M
77
M. Nalepa
⚽ 84'
M
70
S. Ozcan
🎯 84' ↓ 90+2'
M
79
G. Altiparmak
⚽ 51' ↓ 88'
F
9
I. Sadygov
⚽ 90'
F
Substitutes
23
E. Gunes
G
88
E. Nefiz
↑ 65'
M
2
S. Tashkyn
D
39
M. Demirozu
D
15
A. D. Akyildiz
🎯 90' ↑ 90+2'
F
50
E. Terzi
↑ 88'
M
97
M. Mallayev
F
49
B. Coban
M
Hatayspor 4-1-3-2
Starting XI
78
E. Daduk
G
21
S. Gazanfer
🟨 40'
D
97
M. Sen
D
5
H. Cinemre
🟨 86'
D
23
C. Dogan
4
M. Gonulacar
↓ 89'
M
48
S. Osman
🟨 55'
M
25
Y. Azrak
⚽ 45' ↓ 75'
M
18
U. Durmushan
↓ 89'
M
85
E. Arslan
⚽ 67' ↓ 89' 🟨 13'
F
90
P. Ating
↓ 75' 🟨 42'
F
Substitutes
81
R. Chaadaev
↑ 75'
M
47
S. Ozen
D
98
S. M. Aydin
↑ 89'
M
20
A. Yildiz
F
17
C. Yilmaz
↑ 89'
M
9
D. Aksoy
↑ 89'
F
33
E. Aydemir
F
57
M. Danjuma
↑ 75'
M
Last matches: Serik Spor
01.05.26
1.
Serik Spor
Boluspor
1
3
L
19.04.26
1.
Serik Spor
Manisa F.K.
0
1
L
12.04.26
1.
Serik Spor
Keçiörengücü
0
0
D
08.04.26
1.
Serik Spor
Vanspor FK
1
6
L
04.04.26
1.
Serik Spor
Sarıyer
0
3
L
21.03.26
1.
Serik Spor
Sakaryaspor
2
0
W
14.03.26
1.
Serik Spor
Adana Demirspor
4
1
W
10.03.26
1.
Serik Spor
Pendikspor
3
4
L
07.03.26
1.
Serik Spor
Amed
0
1
L
01.03.26
1.
Serik Spor
Sivasspor
0
1
L
22.02.26
1.
Serik Spor
Erzurumspor FK
0
4
L
18.02.26
1.
Serik Spor
Çorum FK
2
3
L
14.02.26
1.
Serik Spor
Bandırmaspor
3
0
W
08.02.26
1.
Serik Spor
Iğdır FK
1
3
L
31.01.26
1.
Serik Spor
Bodrum FK
0
3
L
24.01.26
1.
Serik Spor
Esenler Erokspor
0
3
L
18.01.26
1.
Serik Spor
Ümraniyespor
0
5
L
10.01.26
1.
Serik Spor
İstanbulspor
0
3
L
28.12.25
1.
Serik Spor
Boluspor
1
4
L
21.12.25
1.
Serik Spor
Hatayspor
1
1
D
Last matches: Hatayspor
01.05.26
1.
Hatayspor
Vanspor FK
3
1
W
18.04.26
1.
Hatayspor
Sakaryaspor
1
1
D
11.04.26
1.
Hatayspor
Sarıyer
0
4
L
07.04.26
1.
Hatayspor
Adana Demirspor
4
0
W
03.04.26
1.
Hatayspor
Pendikspor
1
4
L
22.03.26
1.
Hatayspor
Amed
0
3
L
15.03.26
1.
Hatayspor
Erzurumspor FK
0
3
L
11.03.26
1.
Hatayspor
Sivasspor
1
2
L
07.03.26
1.
Hatayspor
Çorum FK
1
3
L
28.02.26
1.
Hatayspor
Bodrum FK
1
3
L
22.02.26
1.
Hatayspor
Bandırmaspor
0
4
L
17.02.26
1.
Hatayspor
Iğdır FK
0
2
L
13.02.26
1.
Hatayspor
Boluspor
1
3
L
07.02.26
1.
Hatayspor
Esenler Erokspor
0
5
L
30.01.26
1.
Hatayspor
İstanbulspor
0
1
L
25.01.26
1.
Hatayspor
Ümraniyespor
0
2
L
17.01.26
1.
Hatayspor
Manisa F.K.
2
2
D
11.01.26
1.
Hatayspor
Keçiörengücü
0
5
L
27.12.25
1.
Hatayspor
Vanspor FK
0
4
L
21.12.25
1.
Hatayspor
Serik Spor
1
1
D
H2H: Serik Spor vs Hatayspor
25.04.26
H2H
Serik Spor
Hatayspor
4
2
W
21.12.25
H2H
Hatayspor
Serik Spor
1
1
D
Last matches: Serik Spor
08.04.26
1.
Serik Spor
Vanspor FK
1
6
L
21.03.26
1.
Serik Spor
Sakaryaspor
2
0
W
10.03.26
1.
Serik Spor
Pendikspor
3
4
L
01.03.26
1.
Serik Spor
Sivasspor
0
1
L
18.02.26
1.
Serik Spor
Çorum FK
2
3
L
08.02.26
1.
Serik Spor
Iğdır FK
1
3
L
24.01.26
1.
Serik Spor
Esenler Erokspor
0
3
L
10.01.26
1.
Serik Spor
İstanbulspor
0
3
L
28.12.25
1.
Serik Spor
Boluspor
1
4
L
13.12.25
1.
Serik Spor
Manisa F.K.
0
1
L
06.12.25
1.
Serik Spor
Keçiörengücü
1
3
L
24.11.25
1.
Serik Spor
Sarıyer
3
0
W
01.11.25
1.
Serik Spor
Adana Demirspor
4
0
W
20.10.25
1.
Serik Spor
Amed
1
2
L
28.09.25
1.
Serik Spor
Erzurumspor FK
1
1
D
19.09.25
1.
Serik Spor
Bandırmaspor
1
0
W
31.08.25
1.
Serik Spor
Bodrum FK
2
4
L
15.08.25
1.
Serik Spor
Ümraniyespor
1
0
W
H2H at home: Serik Spor
25.04.26
H2H
Serik Spor
Hatayspor
4
2
W
Last matches: Hatayspor
11.04.26
1.
Hatayspor
Sarıyer
0
4
L
03.04.26
1.
Hatayspor
Pendikspor
1
4
L
15.03.26
1.
Hatayspor
Erzurumspor FK
0
3
L
07.03.26
1.
Hatayspor
Çorum FK
1
3
L
22.02.26
1.
Hatayspor
Bandırmaspor
0
4
L
13.02.26
1.
Hatayspor
Boluspor
1
3
L
30.01.26
1.
Hatayspor
İstanbulspor
0
1
L
11.01.26
1.
Hatayspor
Keçiörengücü
0
5
L
27.12.25
1.
Hatayspor
Vanspor FK
0
4
L
15.12.25
1.
Hatayspor
Sakaryaspor
0
3
L
01.12.25
1.
Hatayspor
Adana Demirspor
3
3
D
08.11.25
1.
Hatayspor
Amed
1
2
L
24.10.25
1.
Hatayspor
Sivasspor
1
1
D
05.10.25
1.
Hatayspor
Bodrum FK
0
5
L
23.09.25
1.
Hatayspor
Iğdır FK
2
4
L
12.09.25
1.
Hatayspor
Esenler Erokspor
1
4
L
24.08.25
1.
Hatayspor
Ümraniyespor
1
1
D
17.08.25
1.
Hatayspor
Manisa F.K.
1
2
L
H2H away: Hatayspor
25.04.26
H2H
Serik Spor
Hatayspor
4
2
L

Standings

1. Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Erzurumspor FK
38 23 12 3 82:27 55 81
D D D W W
2
Amed
38 21 11 6 81:42 39 74
D D L D D
3
Esenler Erokspor
38 21 11 6 81:35 46 74
L D L W W
4
Çorum FK
38 21 8 9 63:39 24 71
W W L W D
5
Bodrum FK
38 18 10 10 71:39 32 64
L W W L D
6
Pendikspor
38 16 15 7 58:33 25 63
L D W D D
7
Keçiörengücü
38 16 12 10 73:43 30 60
L W W L D
8
Bandırmaspor
38 16 12 10 47:34 13 60
W D W D D
9
Manisa F.K.
38 16 7 15 57:56 1 55
W L W W W
10
Sivasspor
38 14 11 13 47:43 4 53
L W L L W
11
İstanbulspor
38 13 13 12 57:55 2 52
W W W W L
12
Sarıyer
38 15 7 16 44:44 0 52
W W L W D
13
Iğdır FK
38 13 11 14 52:54 -2 50
D L D W L
14
Vanspor FK
38 13 10 15 52:47 5 49
L L W L W
15
Boluspor
38 14 6 18 61:57 4 48
W L W L L
16
Ümraniyespor
38 13 7 18 47:51 -4 46
L W L D W
17
Serik Spor Home
38 11 6 21 44:75 -31 39
L W L D L
18
Sakaryaspor
38 8 10 20 45:72 -27 34
L L D L L
19
Hatayspor Away
38 2 8 28 33:102 -69 14
W L D L W
20
Adana Demirspor
38 1 3 34 22:169 -147 -57
L L L L L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Qualification Playoffs
Relegation