Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
100%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
17.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Septemvri Sofia
34 matches
Spartak Varna
34 matches
| Septemvri Sofia | Statistic | Spartak Varna |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 6 |
| 8 | Draws | 13 |
| 19 | Losses | 15 |
| 29 | Goals For | 30 |
| 63 | Goals Against | 56 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.88 |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.65 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 2.32 | Shots On Goal | 1.81 |
| 6.29 | Total Shots | 6.09 |
| 2.48 | Corners | 2.31 |
| 33.5% | Ball Possession | 28.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Spartak Varna. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
With 29 points from 34 games and a place of 14, Septemvri Sofia still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 19 defeats with a 29:63 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on B. Fourrier (12 goals), N. Fontaine (5 goals), E. Ribeiro (2 goals), with creative support from Robin Schouten (5 assists), Galin Ivanov (4 assists), J. Pineda (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Spartak Varna are currently 13 in the standings with 31 points from 34 matches. The record of 6 wins, 13 draws, and 15 defeats, together with a 30:56 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Berna (6 goals), Xande (5 goals), G. Stojanovski (4 goals), with creative support from Xande (3 assists), G. Stojanovski (3 assists), Angel Granchov (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Septemvri Sofia won 5 times, Spartak Varna won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:17 from Septemvri Sofia's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.69 goals per game.
Lineups
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia
Hebar 1918
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
Vihren
Septemvri Sofia
Marek
Septemvri Sofia
Yantra 2019
Septemvri Sofia
Dobrudzha
Septemvri Sofia
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
Montana
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Septemvri Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Spartak Varna
CSKA 1948
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
Spartak Varna
Nesebar
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
Dunav Ruse
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
Spartak Varna
Montana
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
Spartak Varna
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
Beroe
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
Ludogorets
Spartak Varna
CSKA 1948
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
Spartak Varna
Montana
Spartak Varna
Arda Kardzhali
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
Hebar 1918
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
Vihren
Septemvri Sofia
Marek
Septemvri Sofia
Yantra 2019
Septemvri Sofia
Dobrudzha
Septemvri Sofia
Montana
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Septemvri Sofia
CSKA Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
Montana
Septemvri Sofia
Ordabasy
Septemvri Sofia
Radnicki NIS
Septemvri Sofia
Neftchi
Septemvri Sofia
Marek
Septemvri Sofia
CSKA 1948
Septemvri Sofia
Ludogorets
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
Montana
Spartak Varna
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
Spartak Varna
Arda Kardzhali
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
Cherno More Varna
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
Dunav Ruse
Spartak Varna
Fratria
Spartak Varna
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
Beroe
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
Spartak Varna
Ludogorets
Spartak Varna
CSKA 1948
Spartak Varna
Montana
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
Spartak Varna
Levski Sofia
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 64:22 | 42 | 70 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 60 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 50:31 | 19 | 59 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:23 | 20 | 56 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 30:33 | -3 | 46 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 44 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 33:27 | 6 | 44 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 40:37 | 3 | 40 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 36:33 | 3 | 39 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 24:26 | -2 | 38 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 37 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 |
Spartak Varna
Away
|
30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 25:50 | -25 | 27 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
| 13 | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 23:43 | -20 | 26 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 |
Septemvri Sofia
Home
|
30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 25:58 | -33 | 26 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
| 15 | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 19:44 | -25 | 23 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 15:45 | -30 | 17 |
D
L
L
L
L
|