Login Register
BULGARIA › FIRST LEAGUE
11.10.2026 12:00
Dragalevtsi Stadium,
Referee: Todor Kirov
Septemvri Sofia
Match Timeline
Dunav Ruse
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
12'
Frantzety Herard
Septemvri Sofia
🟨
15'
dimitar todorov
Dunav Ruse
🟨
20'
jose cabarcas
Dunav Ruse
⚽
25'
Frantzety Herard · Assist: Andre Liberal
Septemvri Sofia
🟨
35'
Sergeev petar gospodinov
Septemvri Sofia
⚽
37'
Andre Liberal
Septemvri Sofia
🔄
40'
Andre Liberal ↔ aleksandar dzhamov
Septemvri Sofia
🔄
41'
George kitanov ↔ Bartosz Zelazowski
Dunav Ruse
🔄
46'
Radoslav Apostolov ↔ Elie Sou
Dunav Ruse
🔄
46'
Kyriakos Antoniou ↔ Mario dilchovski
Dunav Ruse
⚽
56'
Pedro Igor
Septemvri Sofia
⚽
63'
Ilker Budinov
Dunav Ruse
🔄
65'
Njomgang William Fonkeu ↔ Vladan Vidaković
Dunav Ruse
⚽
73'
Andre Alves
Dunav Ruse
🔄
80'
Pedro Igor ↔ Stoyan Stoichkov
Septemvri Sofia
🔄
80'
Galin Ivanov ↔ nicolas fontaine
Septemvri Sofia
🔄
84'
Ilker Budinov ↔ Bozhidar Chorbadzhiyski
Dunav Ruse
⚽
90'
Alexander Valiño Navasal
Dunav Ruse
🟨
90+5'
Septemvri Sofia
Septemvri Sofia

Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 67.4%
Odds 1.30
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.28
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
67.4%
1.30 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.91 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.28 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76.4%
1.50 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.60 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Septemvri Sofia Win 37.4%
Draw 30%
Dunav Ruse Win 32.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Septemvri Sofia1.26
Dunav Ruse1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia
WWDLW
20 GF / 34 GA
Dunav Ruse Dunav Ruse
WLDWL
23 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.7
Average Goals Conceded
1.65
9
BTTS Yes
14
12
Over 2.5
12
3.2
Shots on Goal
3.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 20 matches
Dunav Ruse Dunav Ruse 20 matches
Septemvri Sofia Statistic Dunav Ruse
6 Wins 2
2 Draws 7
12 Losses 11
20 Goals For 23
34 Goals Against 33
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.7 Avg Goals Conceded 1.65
9 BTTS Yes 14
16 Over 1.5 17
12 Over 2.5 12
4 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 5
3.2 Shots On Goal 3.3
8.3 Total Shots 7.3
3.6 Corners 3.5
52.4% Ball Possession 40%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Dunav Ruse. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Septemvri Sofia expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Dunav Ruse in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dunav Ruse having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Septemvri Sofia Analysis

Septemvri Sofia sit 10 with 8 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 8:18 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dunav Ruse Analysis

With 5 points from 10 games and a place of 14, Dunav Ruse still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats with a 10:19 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Septemvri Sofia won 1 times, Dunav Ruse won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:9 from Septemvri Sofia's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (70%)
Predicted formations: Septemvri Sofia 4-2-3-1 / Dunav Ruse 3-5-2
H2H summary: Septemvri Sofia wins 1, draws 3, Dunav Ruse wins 2

Standings

A PFG
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 1 0 21:4 17 25
D W W W W
2 10 7 3 0 24:7 17 24
D W W D W
3 9 7 2 0 16:7 9 23
W W D D W
4 10 7 1 2 19:10 9 22
W W L W L
5 11 6 1 4 17:14 3 19
W W W W L
6 10 5 2 3 15:12 3 17
D L L W W
7 11 3 4 4 11:15 -4 13
W L D D D
8 11 2 5 4 9:9 0 11
L L D W L
9 11 2 3 6 9:20 -11 9
L D D W L
10 11 2 2 7 13:21 -8 8
W D L L D
11 11 2 2 7 6:14 -8 8
D D L W L
12 11 1 5 5 12:19 -7 8
D W L D L
13 11 2 2 7 10:21 -11 8
L L L L D
14 10 1 3 6 11:20 -9 6
D D L L W
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
efbet League (Relegation Group)