BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Dragalevtsi
Referee: R. Gidzhenov
Septemvri Sofia
Match Timeline
Dobrudzha
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Anton Ivanov
Dobrudzha
🟨
31'
Jhonatan Cuero
Dobrudzha
33'
M. Hristov · Assist: M. Stamatov
Septemvri Sofia
🟨
34'
Nicolas Fontaine
Septemvri Sofia
🔄
46'
Matheus Leoni ↔ G. Trifonov
Dobrudzha
🔄
57'
A. Abou ↔ K. Onasci
Septemvri Sofia
🟨
60'
Georgi Trifonov
Dobrudzha
🔄
61'
D. Ressurreicao ↔ A. Ramadan
Dobrudzha
🔄
71'
I. Mihaylov ↔ D. Pirgov
Dobrudzha
72'
G. Trifonov
Dobrudzha
🔄
73'
S. Stojanovic ↔ B. Tomovski
Septemvri Sofia
🔄
73'
R. Schouten ↔ E. Ribeiro
Septemvri Sofia
🟨
75'
Martin Hristov
Septemvri Sofia
🟨
80'
Yanko Georgiev
Septemvri Sofia
🟨
80'
Edney Ribeiro
Septemvri Sofia
🟨
83'
Galin Grigorov
Dobrudzha
🔄
84'
N. Fontaine ↔ G. Ivanov
Septemvri Sofia
🔄
84'
M. Stamatov ↔ S. Wade
Septemvri Sofia
🟨
89'
Bozhidar Tomovski
Septemvri Sofia
🟨
90+8'
Bozhidar Tomovski
Septemvri Sofia
🟨
90+3'
Sebas Wade
Septemvri Sofia
🟥
90+8'
Bozhidar Tomovski
Septemvri Sofia
🟥
90+3'
Galin Ivanov
Septemvri Sofia
🟨
90+8'
Anton Ivanov
Dobrudzha
🟨
90+3'
Boubacar Hanne
Dobrudzha
🟥
90+8'
Anton Ivanov
Dobrudzha
🟥
90+3'
Vasco Oliveira
Dobrudzha
🔄
90+6'
T. Costa Silva ↔ I. Dinev
Dobrudzha
🔄
90+6'
B. Hanne ↔ D. Hasan
Dobrudzha

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 75.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
75.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Septemvri Sofia Win 47.4%
Draw 24.5%
Dobrudzha Win 28.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Septemvri Sofia1.08
Dobrudzha1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia
WWDLW
31 GF / 63 GA
Dobrudzha Dobrudzha
WLDWL
27 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
0.75
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
17
BTTS Yes
13
18
Over 2.5
15
2.18
Shots on Goal
2.35

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 36 matches
Dobrudzha Dobrudzha 36 matches
Septemvri Sofia Statistic Dobrudzha
9 Wins 8
8 Draws 6
19 Losses 22
31 Goals For 27
63 Goals Against 51
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
17 BTTS Yes 13
26 Over 1.5 25
18 Over 2.5 15
9 Over 3.5 4
9 Clean Sheets 7
13 Failed To Score 18
2.18 Shots On Goal 2.35
5.91 Total Shots 6.71
2.33 Corners 2.94
31.5% Ball Possession 30.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Dobrudzha. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Septemvri Sofia expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Dobrudzha in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dobrudzha having the stronger overall control. Dobrudzha arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Septemvri Sofia Analysis

From their first 36 matches, Septemvri Sofia have collected 35 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. The record of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 19 defeats, together with a 31:63 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through B. Fourrier (13 goals), N. Fontaine (5 goals), Valentine Ozornwafor (3 goals), with creative support from Robin Schouten (5 assists), Galin Ivanov (4 assists), N. Fontaine (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dobrudzha Analysis

Dobrudzha approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 30 points from 36 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 22 defeats with a 27:51 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Ivaylo Mihaylov (7 goals), L. Cardoso (4 goals), T. Costa Silva (4 goals), with creative support from A. Ramadan (4 assists), Matheus Leoni (3 assists), T. Costa Silva (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 14 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Septemvri Sofia won 5 times, Dobrudzha won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:7 from Septemvri Sofia's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.89 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.5%)
Predicted formations: Septemvri Sofia 3-4-2-1 / Dobrudzha 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Septemvri Sofia wins 5, draws 3, Dobrudzha wins 1
Stats
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia
Dobrudzha Dobrudzha
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
0
2 Corner Kicks 4
19 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 2
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Goal 3
2 Shots off Goal 6
1 Blocked Shots 0
5 Shots insidebox 7
3 Shots outsidebox 2
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
288 Total passes 310
213 Passes accurate 254
1.40 expected_goals 1.23
🟨 6 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 2 Red Cards 2 🟥

Lineups

Septemvri Sofia
Formation
Dobrudzha
Y. Georgiev
Y. Georgiev
M. Hristov
M. Hristov
D. Ivkic
D. Ivkic
V. Ozornwafor
V. Ozornwafor
R. Schouten
R. Schouten
Y. Baurenski
Y. Baurenski
A. Abou
A. Abou
M. Stamatov
🎯
M. Stamatov
S. Stojanovic
S. Stojanovic
B. Fourrier
B. Fourrier
N. Fontaine
N. Fontaine
G. Grigorov
G. Grigorov
J. Hurtado
J. Hurtado
V. Oliveira
V. Oliveira
V. Kerchev
V. Kerchev
A. Ivanov
A. Ivanov
T. Costa Silva
T. Costa Silva
D. Lovric
D. Lovric
D. Ressurreicao
D. Ressurreicao
Matheus Leoni
Matheus Leoni
I. Mihaylov
I. Mihaylov
B. Hanne
B. Hanne
Septemvri Sofia 3-4-3
Starting XI
21
Y. Georgiev
🟨 80'
G
4
M. Hristov
⚽ 33' 🟨 75'
D
19
D. Ivkic
D
26
V. Ozornwafor
D
23
R. Schouten
↓ 73'
M
5
Y. Baurenski
M
18
A. Abou
↓ 57'
M
30
M. Stamatov
🎯 33' ↓ 84'
M
10
S. Stojanovic
↓ 73'
F
9
B. Fourrier
F
17
N. Fontaine
↓ 84' 🟨 34'
F
Substitutes
12
N. Krastev
G
20
B. Tomovski
↑ 73' 🟨 89' 🟨 90+8' 🟥 90+8'
M
33
G. Ivanov
↑ 84' 🟥 90+3'
F
7
E. Ribeiro
↑ 73' 🟨 80'
F
8
K. Kolev
M
13
K. Onasci
↑ 57'
M
3
S. Wade
↑ 84' 🟨 90+3'
M
28
S. Stoichkov
M
29
F. Herard
F
Dobrudzha 3-5-2
Starting XI
13
G. Grigorov
🟨 83'
G
22
J. Hurtado
🟨 31'
D
72
V. Oliveira
🟥 90+3'
D
37
V. Kerchev
D
7
A. Ivanov
🟨 20' 🟨 90+8' 🟥 90+8'
M
10
T. Costa Silva
↓ 90+6'
M
35
D. Lovric
M
82
D. Ressurreicao
↓ 61'
M
77
Matheus Leoni
↓ 46'
98
I. Mihaylov
↓ 71'
F
11
B. Hanne
↓ 90+6' 🟨 90+3'
F
Substitutes
69
P. Pepelyashev
3
D. Pirgov
↑ 71'
F
20
A. Ramadan
↑ 61'
M
30
I. Dinev
↑ 90+6'
M
70
K. Stanev
M
88
D. Madaleno
M
99
G. Trifonov
⚽ 72' ↑ 46' 🟨 60'
F
45
D. Hasan
↑ 90+6'
M
Last matches: Septemvri Sofia
28.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Yantra 2019
2
1
W
18.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Beroe
1
0
W
14.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
1
0
W
10.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
1
D
06.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
2
L
01.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Montana
1
1
D
27.04.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
16.04.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
0
0
D
10.04.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
2
1
W
06.04.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
21.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
1
4
L
17.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
3
L
13.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
1
L
07.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Cherno More Varna
0
3
L
03.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
0
2
L
28.02.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
CSKA Sofia
2
0
W
16.02.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Montana
1
0
W
08.02.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Dobrudzha
0
3
L
26.01.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Ordabasy
1
2
L
23.01.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Radnicki NIS
0
4
L
Last matches: Dobrudzha
18.05.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Botev Vratsa
1
2
L
13.05.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Slavia Sofia
2
0
W
10.05.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Beroe
0
1
L
06.05.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
01.05.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
3
L
27.04.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Montana
0
1
L
14.04.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Botev Plovdiv
0
3
L
10.04.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Spartak Varna
0
1
L
05.04.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Levski Sofia
2
2
D
22.03.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
CSKA Sofia
0
2
L
16.03.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Arda Kardzhali
0
2
L
08.03.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Beroe
1
0
W
05.03.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
3
L
28.02.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Cherno More Varna
2
1
W
21.02.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Montana
1
0
W
16.02.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
08.02.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Septemvri Sofia
3
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Dobrudzha
Alashkert
0
2
L
27.01.26
Fri
Dobrudzha
Ružomberok
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Dobrudzha
Bunyodkor
0
1
L
H2H: Septemvri Sofia vs Dobrudzha
22.05.26
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Dobrudzha
1
1
D
08.02.26
H2H
Dobrudzha
Septemvri Sofia
3
0
L
18.08.25
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Dobrudzha
2
1
W
03.05.24
H2H
Dobrudzha
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
23.10.23
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Dobrudzha
2
0
W
09.03.22
H2H
Dobrudzha
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
22.08.21
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Dobrudzha
2
1
W
05.04.21
H2H
Dobrudzha
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
W
26.09.20
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
Last matches: Septemvri Sofia
28.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Yantra 2019
2
1
W
14.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
1
0
W
01.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Montana
1
1
D
16.04.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
0
0
D
06.04.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
21.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
1
4
L
07.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Cherno More Varna
0
3
L
28.02.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
CSKA Sofia
2
0
W
16.02.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Montana
1
0
W
26.01.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Ordabasy
1
2
L
23.01.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Radnicki NIS
0
4
L
20.01.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Neftchi
0
2
L
14.01.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Marek
1
3
L
03.12.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
4
L
23.11.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Ludogorets
0
2
L
01.11.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
0
1
L
03.10.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2
2
D
21.09.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
1
3
L
29.08.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
0
W
18.08.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Dobrudzha
2
1
W
H2H at home: Septemvri Sofia
22.05.26
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Dobrudzha
1
1
D
18.08.25
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Dobrudzha
2
1
W
23.10.23
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Dobrudzha
2
0
W
22.08.21
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Dobrudzha
2
1
W
26.09.20
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
Last matches: Dobrudzha
13.05.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Slavia Sofia
2
0
W
06.05.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
27.04.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Montana
0
1
L
10.04.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Spartak Varna
0
1
L
22.03.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
CSKA Sofia
0
2
L
16.03.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Arda Kardzhali
0
2
L
05.03.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
3
L
16.02.26
Fir
Dobrudzha
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
27.01.26
Fri
Dobrudzha
Ružomberok
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Dobrudzha
Bunyodkor
0
1
L
14.01.26
Fri
Dobrudzha
Cherno More Varna
1
0
W
08.12.25
Fir
Dobrudzha
CSKA 1948
0
0
D
30.11.25
Fir
Dobrudzha
Slavia Sofia
1
3
L
07.11.25
Fir
Dobrudzha
Botev Plovdiv
1
2
L
25.10.25
Fir
Dobrudzha
Levski Sofia
0
3
L
29.09.25
Fir
Dobrudzha
Beroe
0
1
L
15.09.25
Fir
Dobrudzha
Cherno More Varna
0
2
L
29.08.25
Fir
Dobrudzha
Montana
0
1
L
18.08.25
Fir
Dobrudzha
Septemvri Sofia
1
2
L
02.08.25
Fir
Dobrudzha
Ludogorets
1
2
L
H2H away: Dobrudzha
22.05.26
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Dobrudzha
1
1
D
18.08.25
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Dobrudzha
2
1
L
23.10.23
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Dobrudzha
2
0
L
22.08.21
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Dobrudzha
2
1
L
26.09.20
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Dobrudzha
1
0
L

Standings

A PFG: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 4 4 64:22 42 70
D W D W W
2 30 17 9 4 57:20 37 60
L D W W W
3 30 18 5 7 50:31 19 59
W W L W W
4 30 16 8 6 43:23 20 56
D W W W L
5 30 11 13 6 30:33 -3 46
D D W W W
6 30 11 11 8 33:26 7 44
L D L L W
7 30 12 8 10 33:27 6 44
W L W W W
8 30 11 7 12 40:37 3 40
W D W W L
9 30 10 9 11 36:33 3 39
D L W L D
10 30 9 11 10 24:26 -2 38
W L D L W
11 30 9 10 11 40:39 1 37
L W L L W
12 30 5 12 13 25:50 -25 27
D W L L L
13 30 7 5 18 23:43 -20 26
L L D L L
14 30 7 5 18 25:58 -33 26
D W D L L
15 30 4 11 15 19:44 -25 23
D L L W L
16 30 3 8 19 15:45 -30 17
D L L L L
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