BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
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Stadion Lokomotiv

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 3-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Septemvri Sofia Win 61%
Draw 12%
Botev Vratsa Win 27%
Expected Goals (xG)
Septemvri Sofia1.21
Botev Vratsa1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia
WWDLW
17 GF / 26 GA
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa
WLDWL
14 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.93
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
7
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 17 matches
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 15 matches
Septemvri Sofia Statistic Botev Vratsa
6 Wins 3
2 Draws 7
9 Losses 5
17 Goals For 14
26 Goals Against 23
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
7 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Botev Vratsa. Botev Vratsa arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Septemvri Sofia Analysis

Septemvri Sofia sit 6 with 8 points after 7 league matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 5:10 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Botev Vratsa Analysis

Botev Vratsa sit 11 with 4 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 4:13 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Septemvri Sofia won 1 times, Botev Vratsa won 6 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:25 from Septemvri Sofia's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88%)
Predicted formations: Septemvri Sofia 4-2-3-1 / Botev Vratsa 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Septemvri Sofia wins 1, draws 8, Botev Vratsa wins 6