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26.10.2026 18:00
Stadionul Sepsi
Referee: H. Mladinovici
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Match Timeline
Universitatea Craiova
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
O. Romanchuk · Assist: A. Cicaldau
Universitatea Craiova
🟨
31'
Lindsay Rose
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
⚽
34'
A. Al Hamlawi
Universitatea Craiova
⚽
49'
A. Al Hamlawi · Assist: S. Baiaram
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
57'
R. Silaghi ↔ A. Keita
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
🔄
57'
R. Cimpean ↔ H. Batzula
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
🔄
59'
N. Stevanovic ↔ B. Roux
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
59'
T. Baluta ↔ J. Lameira
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
66'
D. Oberlin ↔ N. Heras
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
🔄
66'
B. Cmiljanic ↔ M. Mawa
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
🔄
71'
S. Baiaram ↔ Heriberto Tavares
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
71'
A. Al Hamlawi ↔ S. Elisor
Universitatea Craiova
⚽
72'
S. Elisor · Assist: A. Cicaldau
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
75'
V. Screciu ↔ M. Radulescu
Universitatea Craiova
VAR
78'
Setigui Karamoko
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
🟥
79'
Setigui Karamoko
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
⚽
80'
S. Elisor · Assist: M. Radulescu
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
81'
D. Andrei ↔ D. Virtej
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Universitatea Craiova Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66.1%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66.1%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-3
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Win 29.5%
Draw 4.5%
Universitatea Craiova Win 66.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe1.09
Universitatea Craiova1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
D L D L W
5 GF / 6 GA
Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova
W W D W W
11 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
2
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
9
BTTS Yes
14
6
Over 2.5
13
3.58
Shots on Goal
5.68

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 22 matches
Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 27 matches
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Statistic Universitatea Craiova
8 Wins 15
8 Draws 7
6 Losses 5
26 Goals For 54
22 Goals Against 26
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 2
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.96
9 BTTS Yes 14
14 Over 1.5 20
6 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 12
8 Clean Sheets 10
7 Failed To Score 3
3.58 Shots On Goal 5.68
11.5 Total Shots 14.82
3.33 Corners 4.73
49% Ball Possession 50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Universitatea Craiova's more proactive style and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Universitatea Craiova. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Universitatea Craiova look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Universitatea Craiova carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 23 points while Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe sit 11 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Universitatea Craiova in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Universitatea Craiova having the stronger overall control.

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Analysis

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe sit 11 with 13 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats with a 7:12 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on D. Andrei (1 goals), Nacho Heras (1 goals), B. Oteliță (1 goals), with creative support from D. Andrei (1 assists), Nacho Heras (1 assists), B. Oteliță (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Universitatea Craiova Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 23 points from 11 games, Universitatea Craiova bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a 25:9 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on A. Al Hamlawi (4 goals), S. Elisor (4 goals), M. Etim (2 goals), with creative support from N. Bancu (4 assists), T. Băluță (3 assists), M. Etim (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe won 5 times, Universitatea Craiova won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:23 from Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 4-3-3 / Universitatea Craiova 3-4-3
H2H summary: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe wins 5, draws 2, Universitatea Craiova wins 8

Standings

Liga I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 10 3 2 34:10 24 33
D W W W W
2 15 10 3 2 32:11 21 33
L W D W W
3 15 9 4 2 24:14 10 31
D W L W W
4 15 8 3 4 20:18 2 27
W D W D L
5 15 8 2 5 26:20 6 26
D W W D L
6 15 6 6 3 24:22 2 24
D W W L W
7 15 6 4 5 17:16 1 22
W W L L W
8 15 6 3 6 20:21 -1 21
L L W W W
9 15 5 4 6 20:21 -1 19
D D D L W
10 15 5 3 7 16:20 -4 18
L L W W L
11 15 4 6 5 11:20 -9 18
W D L D L
12 15 3 6 6 19:20 -1 15
D L L L W
13 15 4 3 8 10:17 -7 15
W L L D L
14 15 2 7 6 17:23 -6 13
D D L D L
15 15 2 2 11 15:33 -18 8
L L L L L
16 15 1 3 11 9:28 -19 6
D L W D L
Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group)
Superliga (Relegation Group)