WORLD WORLD CUP
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BMO Field

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.9%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Senegal Win 66.9%
Draw 15.2%
Iraq Win 17.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Senegal1.6
Iraq1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Senegal Senegal
WWDLW
8 GF / 7 GA
Iraq Iraq
WLDWL
5 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
1
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
3
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
2
2.2
Shots on Goal
0.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Senegal Senegal 5 matches
Iraq Iraq 5 matches
Senegal Statistic Iraq
2 Wins 2
1 Draws 1
2 Losses 2
8 Goals For 5
7 Goals Against 8
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
3 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 1
2.2 Shots On Goal 0.6
5 Total Shots 2.8
3.6 Corners 1
32.4% Ball Possession 14.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.9%)
Predicted formations: Senegal 4-2-3-1 / Iraq 4-4-2
Last matches: Senegal
16.06.26
Wor
Senegal
France
1
3
L
09.06.26
Fri
Senegal
Saudi Arabia
0
0
D
31.05.26
Fri
Senegal
USA
2
3
L
31.03.26
Fri
Senegal
Gambia
3
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
Senegal
Peru
2
0
W
Last matches: Iraq
16.06.26
Wor
Iraq
Norway
1
4
L
10.06.26
Fri
Iraq
Venezuela
0
2
L
04.06.26
Fri
Iraq
Spain
1
1
D
29.05.26
Fri
Iraq
Andorra
1
0
W
01.04.26
Wor
Iraq
Bolivia
2
1
W
Last matches: Senegal
31.03.26
Fri
Senegal
Gambia
3
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
Senegal
Peru
2
0
W
Last matches: Iraq
04.06.26
Fri
Iraq
Spain
1
1
D

Standings

Group I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 4:1 3 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
3 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
4
Iraq Away
1 0 0 1 1:4 -3 0
L
Round of 32