ICELAND 2. DEILD
--.--.---- --:--
Selfoss
Match Timeline
Thróttur Vogar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
J. Kristjansson
Selfoss
48'
V. Kjartansson
Selfoss
🟥
90+1'
K. Pikul
Thróttur Vogar
90+2'
J. Bodvarsson
Selfoss
90'
F. Heimisson
Thróttur Vogar

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.1%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Selfoss Win 83.1%
Draw 8.5%
Thróttur Vogar Win 8.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Selfoss1.86
Thróttur Vogar1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Selfoss Selfoss
WWDLW
15 GF / 13 GA
Thróttur Vogar Thróttur Vogar
WLDWL
7 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2.14
Average Goals Scored
1
1.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
7
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Selfoss Selfoss 7 matches
Thróttur Vogar Thróttur Vogar 7 matches
Selfoss Statistic Thróttur Vogar
3 Wins 2
3 Draws 1
1 Losses 4
15 Goals For 7
13 Goals Against 10
2.14 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
7 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 6
6 Over 2.5 3
5 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Selfoss's more proactive style and Thróttur Vogar's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Thróttur Vogar arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Thróttur Vogar having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Thróttur Vogar. Selfoss arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 11 points compared to Thróttur Vogar in 8 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Selfoss Analysis

Selfoss come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 11 points after 6 matches. They have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 13:11 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on V. Kjartansson (4 goals), F. Brynjolfsson (2 goals), A. Vokes (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Thróttur Vogar Analysis

Thróttur Vogar sit 8 with 7 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 6:8 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Erlingsson (1 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Selfoss won 5 times, Thróttur Vogar won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:15 from Selfoss's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.5%)
H2H summary: Selfoss wins 5, draws 2, Thróttur Vogar wins 3
Last matches: Selfoss
11.07.26
2.
Selfoss
Hvíti riddarinn
2
2
D
03.07.26
2.
Selfoss
KFG
3
2
W
26.06.26
2.
Selfoss
Haukar
2
2
D
20.06.26
2.
Selfoss
Magni
1
4
L
10.06.26
2.
Selfoss
Kári
2
2
D
06.06.26
2.
Selfoss
Fjolnir
3
2
W
31.05.26
2.
Selfoss
Vikingur Olafsiik
3
1
W
23.05.26
2.
Selfoss
Dalvík / Reynir
2
2
D
16.05.26
2.
Selfoss
Kormákur / Hvöt
2
1
W
09.05.26
2.
Selfoss
Hvíti riddarinn
1
1
D
02.05.26
2.
Selfoss
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
2
4
L
Last matches: Thróttur Vogar
12.07.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
KFG
5
1
W
04.07.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Magni
3
4
L
26.06.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Fjolnir
3
2
W
19.06.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Kári
1
4
L
10.06.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Vikingur Olafsiik
1
2
L
06.06.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Dalvík / Reynir
0
1
L
31.05.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Kormákur / Hvöt
1
1
D
23.05.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Hvíti riddarinn
0
2
L
14.05.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
2
0
W
09.05.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
KFG
1
3
L
01.05.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Haukar
2
1
W
H2H: Selfoss vs Thróttur Vogar
15.06.26
H2H
Selfoss
Thróttur Vogar
3
1
W
09.08.24
H2H
Thróttur Vogar
Selfoss
4
1
L
31.05.24
H2H
Selfoss
Thróttur Vogar
6
1
W
04.08.22
H2H
Thróttur Vogar
Selfoss
1
1
D
27.05.22
H2H
Selfoss
Thróttur Vogar
4
0
W
19.09.20
H2H
Selfoss
Thróttur Vogar
1
4
L
17.07.20
H2H
Thróttur Vogar
Selfoss
1
0
L
08.09.19
H2H
Thróttur Vogar
Selfoss
1
4
W
28.06.19
H2H
Selfoss
Thróttur Vogar
2
2
D
14.04.19
H2H
Selfoss
Thróttur Vogar
3
0
W
Last matches: Selfoss
11.07.26
2.
Selfoss
Hvíti riddarinn
2
2
D
26.06.26
2.
Selfoss
Haukar
2
2
D
31.05.26
2.
Selfoss
Vikingur Olafsiik
3
1
W
16.05.26
2.
Selfoss
Kormákur / Hvöt
2
1
W
02.05.26
2.
Selfoss
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
2
4
L
H2H at home: Selfoss
15.06.26
H2H
Selfoss
Thróttur Vogar
3
1
W
31.05.24
H2H
Selfoss
Thróttur Vogar
6
1
W
27.05.22
H2H
Selfoss
Thróttur Vogar
4
0
W
19.09.20
H2H
Selfoss
Thróttur Vogar
1
4
L
28.06.19
H2H
Selfoss
Thróttur Vogar
2
2
D
14.04.19
H2H
Selfoss
Thróttur Vogar
3
0
W
Last matches: Thróttur Vogar
04.07.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Magni
3
4
L
06.06.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Dalvík / Reynir
0
1
L
23.05.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Hvíti riddarinn
0
2
L
09.05.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
KFG
1
3
L
H2H away: Thróttur Vogar
15.06.26
H2H
Selfoss
Thróttur Vogar
3
1
L
31.05.24
H2H
Selfoss
Thróttur Vogar
6
1
L
27.05.22
H2H
Selfoss
Thróttur Vogar
4
0
L
19.09.20
H2H
Selfoss
Thróttur Vogar
1
4
W
28.06.19
H2H
Selfoss
Thróttur Vogar
2
2
D
14.04.19
H2H
Selfoss
Thróttur Vogar
3
0
L

Standings

2. Deild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 2 2 33:16 17 26
W W D W L
2 12 6 2 4 22:19 3 20
L D W W W
3 12 5 5 2 26:24 2 20
D W D L W
4 12 4 6 2 31:22 9 18
D L D W D
5 12 5 3 4 30:23 7 18
W D L D D
6 12 4 5 3 26:14 12 17
D D W D L
7 12 4 3 5 16:23 -7 15
D L W L W
8 12 4 2 6 29:24 5 14
D W L D L
9 12 4 1 7 20:24 -4 13
W L W L L
10 12 2 7 3 17:21 -4 13
D D L D W
11 12 4 0 8 17:37 -20 12
L L L L W
12 12 3 2 7 18:38 -20 11
L W D W L
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