ICELAND 2. DEILD
12.09.2026 14:00
Selfoss
Match Timeline
KFG
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
B. Bergsson
Selfoss
31'
B. Bergsson
Selfoss
🟥
42'
F. Sabatti
Selfoss
45'
F. Heimisson
KFG

Selfoss vs KFG Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.1%
Odds 1.21
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.34
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.20
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.1%
1.21
BTTS Yes
75%
1.34
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.20
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.83
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Selfoss Win 76.1%
Draw 3.8%
KFG Win 20.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Selfoss2.58
KFG1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Selfoss Selfoss
WWDLW
53 GF / 35 GA
KFG KFG
WLDWL
37 GF / 56 GA
Key Stats
2.52
Average Goals Scored
1.76
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
2.67
18
BTTS Yes
14
18
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Selfoss Selfoss 21 matches
KFG KFG 21 matches
Selfoss Statistic KFG
12 Wins 7
6 Draws 1
3 Losses 13
53 Goals For 37
35 Goals Against 56
2.52 Avg Goals Scored 1.76
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 2.67
18 BTTS Yes 14
20 Over 1.5 19
18 Over 2.5 17
15 Over 3.5 15
2 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Selfoss's more proactive style and KFG's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KFG having the stronger overall control. Selfoss arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 39 points compared to KFG in 11 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring KFG. KFG arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Selfoss Analysis

Selfoss come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 39 points after 20 matches. With 11 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 51:34, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

KFG Analysis

KFG sit 11 with 19 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 33:55, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Selfoss won 4 times, KFG won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:6 from Selfoss's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
H2H summary: Selfoss wins 4, draws 1, KFG wins 0

Standings

2. Deild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 2 5 55:32 23 47
L L W W W
2 22 13 6 3 55:36 19 45
W W W W D
3 22 11 9 2 56:29 27 42
W W W W D
4 22 9 4 9 37:37 0 31
W W W L D
5 22 9 4 9 33:41 -8 31
W L L L W
6 22 8 6 8 49:46 3 30
W D D L L
7 22 9 2 11 51:45 6 29
L L W W W
8 22 7 6 9 42:38 4 27
L W L L L
9 22 7 4 11 35:54 -19 25
L L L W D
10 22 7 2 13 33:42 -9 23
W D L L L
11
KFG Away
22 7 1 14 38:58 -20 22
L W L W W
12 22 3 8 11 28:54 -26 17
L L D L L
Promotion
Relegation