🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
14.05.2026 01:30
Lumen Field
Referee: Filip Dujic, USA
Seattle Sounders
Match Timeline
San Jose Earthquakes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
N. Fernandez · Assist: N. Adimabua
San Jose Earthquakes
43'
A. Rusnak
Seattle Sounders
🟨
45+2'
Reid Roberts
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
46'
N. Adimabua ↔ P. Judd
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
46'
P. Marie ↔ O. Bouda
San Jose Earthquakes
55'
J. Ferreira
Seattle Sounders
🟨
58'
Preston Judd
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
64'
J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza ↔ I. Harkes
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
64'
N. Buck ↔ B. Leroux
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
68'
S. Brunell ↔ H. Dotson
Seattle Sounders
🔄
68'
D. Musovski ↔ J. Morris
Seattle Sounders
🔄
68'
J. Skahan ↔ J. Ricketts
San Jose Earthquakes
69'
P. Judd
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
75'
A. Rusnak ↔ O. De Rosario
Seattle Sounders
🔄
75'
K. Kossa-Rienzi ↔ P. Kingston
Seattle Sounders
🔄
82'
P. Rothrock ↔ P. Arriola
Seattle Sounders
89'
O. De Rosario · Assist: Nouhou
Seattle Sounders

Seattle Sounders vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 90%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 95.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 74.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
90%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
95.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
74.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Seattle Sounders Win 42%
Draw 10%
San Jose Earthquakes Win 48%
Expected Goals (xG)
Seattle Sounders1.33
San Jose Earthquakes1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
WWDLW
31 GF / 15 GA
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
WLDWL
33 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.72
Average Goals Scored
2.06
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
9
BTTS Yes
7
10
Over 2.5
7
4.86
Shots on Goal
5.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 18 matches
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 16 matches
Seattle Sounders Statistic San Jose Earthquakes
12 Wins 12
3 Draws 2
3 Losses 2
31 Goals For 33
15 Goals Against 12
1.72 Avg Goals Scored 2.06
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
9 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 12
10 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 7
3 Failed To Score 2
4.86 Shots On Goal 5.67
12.79 Total Shots 14.58
4.57 Corners 7.17
50.8% Ball Possession 47.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring San Jose Earthquakes. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Seattle Sounders Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 21 points from 10 games, Seattle Sounders bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 14:6, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through P. Rothrock (4 goals), C. Roldan (3 goals), A. Rusnak (2 goals), with creative support from A. Rusnak (3 assists), J. Ferreira (3 assists), J. Morris (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with Y. Gomez Andrade, R. Sailor, P. de La Vega unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

San Jose Earthquakes Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 29 points from 12 games, San Jose Earthquakes bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 9 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 27:8 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on P. Judd (8 goals), O. Bouda (5 goals), T. Werner (4 goals), with creative support from Niko Tsakiris (4 assists), P. Marie (4 assists), T. Werner (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. Although they are without D. Jones, Vitor Costa, T. Werner, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Seattle Sounders won 6 times, San Jose Earthquakes won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:24 from Seattle Sounders's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90%)
Predicted formations: Seattle Sounders 4-2-3-1 / San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Seattle Sounders 4, San Jose Earthquakes 5
H2H summary: Seattle Sounders wins 6, draws 4, San Jose Earthquakes wins 5

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 14 4 5 52:21 31 46
W L W W L
2 24 13 4 7 32:27 5 43
W D D L W
3 25 11 7 7 40:24 16 40
W D D D L
4 24 11 7 6 47:41 6 40
W W D L W
5 24 11 5 8 43:36 7 38
W D D L L
6 24 10 8 6 38:33 5 38
D W D W D
7 24 10 2 12 32:32 0 32
D L W L W
8 24 9 5 10 46:45 1 32
D W L D W
9 24 8 6 10 42:37 5 30
L L W W L
10 23 8 5 10 37:37 0 29
L D L L L
11 24 7 8 9 35:39 -4 29
L L D W L
12 25 7 8 10 30:39 -9 29
L W L D W
13 22 7 6 9 24:29 -5 27
D D D L L
14 24 6 8 10 30:43 -13 26
D D W D W
15 23 4 3 16 23:58 -35 15
L L L D L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)