🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
17.07.2026 02:30
Lumen Field
Referee: R. Mendoza
Seattle Sounders
Match Timeline
Portland Timbers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
K. Kelsy · Assist: J. Fory
Portland Timbers
🟨
41'
Jackson Ragen
Seattle Sounders
🔄
46'
J. Morris ↔ D. Musovski
Seattle Sounders
🟨
49'
Paul Rothrock
Seattle Sounders
56'
K. Miller · Assist: B. Bye
Portland Timbers
60'
C. Bassett · Assist: D. Da Costa
Portland Timbers
63'
K. Kelsy
Portland Timbers
🔄
64'
S. Brunell ↔ O. De Rosario
Seattle Sounders
🔄
64'
J. Ferreira ↔ P. Arriola
Seattle Sounders
🔄
64'
K. Kossa-Rienzi ↔ P. Kingston
Seattle Sounders
🔄
73'
A. Lassiter ↔ A. Aravena
Portland Timbers
🔄
73'
C. Bassett ↔ J. Caicedo
Portland Timbers
VAR
82'
Paul Rothrock
Seattle Sounders
🔄
84'
A. Lopez ↔ S. Hawkins
Seattle Sounders
🔄
86'
K. Kelsy ↔ F. Mora
Portland Timbers
🔄
87'
D. Chara ↔ J. Ortiz
Portland Timbers
87'
H. Dotson · Assist: A. Rusnak
Seattle Sounders
🔄
90+1'
Antony ↔ I. Smith
Portland Timbers
90'
A. Aravena · Assist: D. Da Costa
Portland Timbers

Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 73.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.1%
-
BTTS Yes
73.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
59.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Seattle Sounders Win 74.1%
Draw 5.2%
Portland Timbers Win 20.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Seattle Sounders1.75
Portland Timbers1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
WWDLW
34 GF / 20 GA
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
WLDWL
30 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.62
Average Goals Scored
1.58
0.95
Average Goals Conceded
1.95
10
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
12
5.06
Shots on Goal
4.36

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 21 matches
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 19 matches
Seattle Sounders Statistic Portland Timbers
13 Wins 5
3 Draws 4
5 Losses 10
34 Goals For 30
20 Goals Against 37
1.62 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
0.95 Avg Goals Conceded 1.95
10 BTTS Yes 12
16 Over 1.5 17
11 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 10
7 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 6
5.06 Shots On Goal 4.36
13.35 Total Shots 12.14
4.88 Corners 4.29
51.9% Ball Possession 49.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Seattle Sounders's more proactive style and Portland Timbers's more cautious structure. Seattle Sounders appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Portland Timbers. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Seattle Sounders arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 24 points compared to Portland Timbers in 13 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Portland Timbers. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Portland Timbers arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Seattle Sounders expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Portland Timbers in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Portland Timbers having the stronger overall control.

Seattle Sounders Analysis

Seattle Sounders are currently 6 in the standings with 24 points from 13 matches. The record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 17:11 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through P. Rothrock (4 goals), A. Rusnak (3 goals), C. Roldan (3 goals), with creative support from A. Rusnak (3 assists), J. Ferreira (3 assists), J. Morris (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with Y. Gomez Andrade, A. Roldan, N. Petkovic unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Portland Timbers Analysis

Portland Timbers sit 13 with 14 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 22:28 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on K. Kelsy (5 goals), K. Velde (4 goals), Antony (2 goals), with creative support from D. Da Costa (3 assists), K. Kelsy (2 assists), C. Bassett (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with J. Caicedo, D. Chara, O. Fernandez unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Seattle Sounders won 3 times, Portland Timbers won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:26 from Seattle Sounders's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: Seattle Sounders 4-4-2 / Portland Timbers 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Seattle Sounders 8, Portland Timbers 7
H2H summary: Seattle Sounders wins 3, draws 5, Portland Timbers wins 7

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 4 6 56:23 33 49
W L W L W
2 26 13 5 8 34:30 4 44
D L W D D
3 26 12 8 6 45:36 9 44
W W D W D
4 26 12 8 6 49:42 7 44
D W W W D
5 26 12 6 8 46:38 8 42
D W W D D
6 27 11 8 8 43:29 14 41
D L W D D
7 26 11 3 12 36:35 1 36
D W D L W
8 27 8 9 10 34:42 -8 33
W D L W L
9 26 9 5 12 47:48 -1 32
L L D W L
10 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
11 26 7 9 10 32:44 -12 30
D W D D W
12 25 8 5 12 37:42 -5 29
L L L D L
13 24 7 8 9 28:33 -5 29
D D D D D
14 26 7 8 11 39:46 -7 29
L L L L D
15 25 5 3 17 29:63 -34 18
L W L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)