🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
06.09.2026 00:30
Lumen Field
Referee: R. Fierro
Seattle Sounders
Match Timeline
New York Red Bulls
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
38'
K. Kossa-Rienzi ↔ S. Brunell
Seattle Sounders
🟨
45+3'
Ronald Donkor
New York Red Bulls
🔄
46'
J. Morris ↔ S. Gomez
Seattle Sounders
🟨
51'
Justin Che
New York Red Bulls
🟨
63'
Julián Bazán
New York Red Bulls
🔄
67'
J. Ruvalcaba ↔ E. M. Choupo-Moting
New York Red Bulls
🔄
67'
C. Cowell ↔ C. Harper
New York Red Bulls
🔄
74'
A. Mehmeti ↔ D. Ruiz
New York Red Bulls
🔄
74'
M. Sofo ↔ E. Forsberg
New York Red Bulls
🔄
77'
C. Roldan ↔ H. Dotson
Seattle Sounders
🟨
81'
Paul Rothrock
Seattle Sounders
🔄
81'
M. Dos Santos ↔ D. Padelford
New York Red Bulls
🔄
84'
P. Rothrock ↔ P. Arriola
Seattle Sounders

Seattle Sounders vs New York Red Bulls Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 76.6%
Odds 4.06
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.33
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.36
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
76.6%
4.06
BTTS Yes
86%
1.33
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.36
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83%
1.26
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
9.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Seattle Sounders Win 13.5%
Draw 9.9%
New York Red Bulls Win 76.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Seattle Sounders1.69
New York Red Bulls1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
WWDLW
41 GF / 38 GA
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
WLDWL
45 GF / 59 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.61
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
2.11
16
BTTS Yes
20
16
Over 2.5
20
4.52
Shots on Goal
4.95

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 29 matches
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 28 matches
Seattle Sounders Statistic New York Red Bulls
13 Wins 9
5 Draws 5
11 Losses 14
41 Goals For 45
38 Goals Against 59
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.61
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 2.11
16 BTTS Yes 20
23 Over 1.5 26
16 Over 2.5 20
8 Over 3.5 15
7 Clean Sheets 2
7 Failed To Score 6
4.52 Shots On Goal 4.95
12.6 Total Shots 13.64
4.44 Corners 5.86
49.8% Ball Possession 53.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring New York Red Bulls.

Seattle Sounders Analysis

Seattle Sounders sit 12 with 26 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 24:29, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Paul Rothrock (3 goals), Albert Rusnák (2 goals), Jesús Ferreira (2 goals), with creative support from Albert Rusnák (5 assists), Jordan Morris (2 assists), Jesús Ferreira (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

New York Red Bulls Analysis

New York Red Bulls sit 8 with 26 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 32:46, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Jorge Ruvalcaba (7 goals), Julian Hall (4 goals), Cade Cowell (2 goals), with creative support from Julian Hall (3 assists), Ronald Donkor (3 assists), Emil Forsberg (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Seattle Sounders won 4 times, New York Red Bulls won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:15 from Seattle Sounders's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.1%)
Predicted formations: Seattle Sounders 4-2-3-1 / New York Red Bulls 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Seattle Sounders 6, New York Red Bulls 2
H2H summary: Seattle Sounders wins 4, draws 2, New York Red Bulls wins 3

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 4 6 53:23 30 46
L W L W W
2 25 13 4 8 32:28 4 43
L W D D L
3 25 12 7 6 49:42 7 43
W W W D L
4 25 12 5 8 44:36 8 41
W W D D L
5 25 11 8 6 42:35 7 41
W D W D W
6 26 11 7 8 41:27 14 40
L W D D D
7 25 11 2 12 33:32 1 35
W D L W L
8 25 9 5 11 47:47 0 32
L D W L D
9 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
10 26 7 9 10 31:40 -9 30
D L W L D
11 24 8 5 11 37:39 -2 29
L L D L L
12 25 7 8 10 37:43 -6 29
L L L D W
13 25 7 8 10 32:44 -12 29
W D D W D
14 23 7 7 9 25:30 -5 28
D D D D L
15 24 5 3 16 26:59 -33 18
W L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)