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14.11.2026 15:00
Attis Arena

Scunthorpe vs Worthing Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 67.4%
Odds 1.70
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.44
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
67.4%
1.70 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.44 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.44 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Scunthorpe Win 32.6%
Draw 22.6%
Worthing Win 44.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Scunthorpe1.62
Worthing1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Scunthorpe Scunthorpe
L L L L W
9 GF / 14 GA
Worthing Worthing
L D W L W
10 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.78
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.91
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
15
BTTS Yes
16
14
Over 2.5
18
1.5
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 23 matches
Worthing Worthing 24 matches
Scunthorpe Statistic Worthing
7 Wins 12
3 Draws 7
13 Losses 5
41 Goals For 45
44 Goals Against 33
1.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
1.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
15 BTTS Yes 16
20 Over 1.5 21
14 Over 2.5 18
11 Over 3.5 9
2 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 2
1.5 Shots On Goal 0
4 Total Shots 0
1.5 Corners 0
17.5% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Worthing's more proactive style and Scunthorpe's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Scunthorpe have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Worthing having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Worthing. Worthing carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 28 points while Scunthorpe sit 23 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Scunthorpe Analysis

Scunthorpe approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 23 with 10 points from 15 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 19:30 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Worthing Analysis

Worthing sit 6 with 28 points after 16 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 32:25 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.4%)
Predicted formations: Scunthorpe 4-2-3-1 / Worthing -

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 14 2 0 44:17 27 44
W W W W W
2 16 10 2 4 34:23 11 32
D L W W W
3 16 8 5 3 38:27 11 29
L D D W W
4 16 9 2 5 30:24 6 29
W W L W L
5 16 8 4 4 35:20 15 28
L W L W W
6 16 8 4 4 32:25 7 28
L D W W W
7 16 9 1 6 24:24 0 28
L D W W L
8 16 7 5 4 32:23 9 26
W W W D W
9 15 7 4 4 26:19 7 25
D W W W W
10 16 7 3 6 28:20 8 24
W L D W W
11 16 7 3 6 20:21 -1 24
W W L L D
12 16 6 3 7 25:24 1 21
W L W L W
13 16 5 6 5 17:16 1 21
L D L D D
14 16 6 3 7 19:19 0 21
W L L L L
15 16 7 0 9 18:26 -8 21
L L L W L
16 14 5 4 5 23:24 -1 19
D W L D D
17 16 5 4 7 19:25 -6 19
D L W L L
18 16 5 3 8 23:29 -6 18
W L W L L
19 16 5 3 8 21:29 -8 18
W W L L L
20 15 5 2 8 25:32 -7 17
L W L W W
21 16 5 0 11 18:27 -9 15
L L W W L
22 16 4 1 11 19:40 -21 13
W W L L L
23 15 3 1 11 19:30 -11 10
L L L L L
24 15 1 1 13 9:34 -25 4
L L L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation