ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Attis Arena
Scunthorpe
Match Timeline
Southend
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
C. Roberts · Assist: D. Whitehall
Scunthorpe
🟨
32'
B. Horton
Scunthorpe
🟨
36'
H. Taylor
Southend
🟨
45+2'
P. Jones
Scunthorpe
🔄
67'
K. Appiah-Forson ↔ C. Miley
Southend
🔄
67'
Morton ↔ L. Chambers-Parillon
Southend
🟨
68'
C. Miley
Southend
🟨
70'
J. Rowley
Scunthorpe
🔄
78'
P. Jones ↔ A. Beestin
Scunthorpe
🔄
84'
J. Gubbins ↔ J. Bridge
Southend
🔄
84'
A. Dallas ↔ C. Kendall
Southend
🟨
90+4'
G. Scott-Morriss
Southend
🟨
90+8'
H. Taylor
Southend
🟥
90+8'
H. Taylor
Southend
🟨
90+9'
K. Scales
Scunthorpe
🔄
90'
D. Whitehall ↔ D. Howe
Scunthorpe
🔄
90'
C. Roberts ↔ K. Scales
Scunthorpe
🔄
90+7'
O. Ewing ↔ R. Barrows
Scunthorpe
🔄
90+1'
O. Coker ↔ T. Hopper
Southend

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 47.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 45.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
47.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
45.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Away / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Scunthorpe Win 38.3%
Draw 4.2%
Southend Win 57.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Scunthorpe1.47
Southend1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Scunthorpe Scunthorpe
WWDLW
90 GF / 68 GA
Southend Southend
WLDWL
100 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1.89
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
0.98
35
BTTS Yes
29
31
Over 2.5
29
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 50 matches
Southend Southend 53 matches
Scunthorpe Statistic Southend
25 Wins 29
13 Draws 12
12 Losses 12
90 Goals For 100
68 Goals Against 52
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.89
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 0.98
35 BTTS Yes 29
43 Over 1.5 43
31 Over 2.5 29
19 Over 3.5 13
9 Clean Sheets 19
7 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Scunthorpe hold an advantage after winning the first leg 1-0, so Southend now have a 1-goal deficit to overturn. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Southend. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Southend having the stronger overall control.

Scunthorpe Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Scunthorpe arrive from a league campaign that has them 5 with 82 points after 46 matches. Their record of 23 wins, 13 draws, and 10 defeats with goals at 77:62 reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on C. Roberts (18 goals), D. Whitehall (17 goals), D. Howe (12 goals), with creative support from C. Roberts (8 assists), T. Denton (6 assists), D. Whitehall (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Southend Analysis

Southend come into this tie placed 6 in their league with 81 points from 46 matches. Their record of 23 wins, 12 draws, and 11 defeats with goals at 83:47 reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on A. Dallas (17 goals), G. Scott-Morriss (15 goals), C. Kendall (8 goals), with creative support from H. Boyes (9 assists), O. Coker (7 assists), S. Austin (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the return of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Scunthorpe won 8 times, Southend won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:19 from Scunthorpe's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
H2H summary: Scunthorpe wins 8, draws 1, Southend wins 6

Lineups

Southend
Formation
Scunthorpe
C. Andeng Ndi
C. Andeng Ndi
H. Boyes
H. Boyes
J. Golding
J. Golding
J. Gubbins
J. Gubbins
H. Taylor
H. Taylor
G. Scott-Morriss
G. Scott-Morriss
O. Coker
O. Coker
Morton
Morton
K. Appiah-Forson
K. Appiah-Forson
A. Dallas
A. Dallas
H. Cardwell
H. Cardwell
L. Jones
L. Jones
T. Denton
T. Denton
B. Horton
B. Horton
W. Evans
W. Evans
J. Belehouan
J. Belehouan
Z. Westbrooke
Z. Westbrooke
J. Rowley
J. Rowley
O. Ewing
O. Ewing
P. Jones
P. Jones
D. Whitehall
🎯
D. Whitehall
C. Roberts
C. Roberts
Southend 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
30
C. Andeng Ndi
33
H. Boyes
26
J. Golding
15
J. Gubbins
↓ 84'
16
H. Taylor
🟨 36' 🟨 90+8' 🟥 90+8'
2
G. Scott-Morriss
🟨 90+4'
28
O. Coker
↓ 90+1'
23
Morton
↓ 67'
22
K. Appiah-Forson
↓ 67'
9
A. Dallas
↓ 84'
21
H. Cardwell
Substitutes
6
B. Goodliffe
7
J. Bridge
↑ 84'
10
S. Austin
14
T. Hopper
↑ 90+1'
17
C. Miley
↑ 67' 🟨 68'
19
L. Chambers-Parillon
↑ 67'
24
C. Kendall
↑ 84'
Scunthorpe 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
L. Jones
33
T. Denton
3
B. Horton
🟨 32'
5
W. Evans
4
J. Belehouan
25
Z. Westbrooke
11
J. Rowley
🟨 70'
17
O. Ewing
↓ 90+7'
14
P. Jones
↓ 78' 🟨 45+2'
9
D. Whitehall
🎯 5' ↓ 90'
10
C. Roberts
⚽ 5' ↓ 90'
Substitutes
38
R. Mahady
7
D. Howe
↑ 90'
8
A. Beestin
↑ 78'
18
M. Brogan
20
K. Scales
↑ 90' 🟨 90+9'
32
C. Smith
44
R. Barrows
↑ 90+7'
Last matches: Scunthorpe
03.05.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Rochdale
1
2
L
25.04.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Eastleigh
0
1
L
18.04.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Wealdstone
1
1
D
11.04.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Brackley Town
1
0
W
06.04.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Gateshead
0
2
L
03.04.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Hartlepool
0
0
D
28.03.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
FC Halifax Town
2
1
W
25.03.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Rochdale
2
2
D
21.03.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Braintree
3
2
W
17.03.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Truro City
2
1
W
14.03.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Altrincham
2
1
W
10.03.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Sutton Utd
1
2
L
07.03.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Yeovil Town
3
0
W
28.02.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Solihull Moors
3
3
D
24.02.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
York
0
3
L
21.02.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Aldershot Town
1
3
L
17.02.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Rochdale
1
1
D
14.02.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Boston United
3
6
L
10.02.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Carlisle
2
3
L
07.02.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Southend
1
0
W
Last matches: Southend
17.05.26
FA
Southend
Wealdstone
0
0
D
25.04.26
Nat
Southend
Wealdstone
2
1
W
21.04.26
Nat
Southend
Hartlepool
3
4
L
18.04.26
Nat
Southend
FC Halifax Town
6
2
W
14.04.26
Nat
Southend
Aldershot Town
2
0
W
11.04.26
Nat
Southend
Solihull Moors
0
0
D
06.04.26
Nat
Southend
Sutton Utd
3
0
W
03.04.26
Nat
Southend
Braintree
3
2
W
31.03.26
Nat
Southend
Yeovil Town
2
1
W
28.03.26
FA
Southend
Southport
3
1
W
25.03.26
Nat
Southend
Woking
1
1
D
21.03.26
Nat
Southend
Altrincham
0
1
L
17.03.26
Nat
Southend
Rochdale
3
2
W
14.03.26
Nat
Southend
Forest Green
2
0
W
10.03.26
Nat
Southend
Gateshead
1
1
D
07.03.26
Nat
Southend
Carlisle
2
2
D
03.03.26
Nat
Southend
Truro City
1
1
D
28.02.26
FA
Southend
Horsham
2
1
W
24.02.26
Nat
Southend
Boreham Wood
0
2
L
21.02.26
Nat
Southend
Brackley Town
3
0
W
H2H: Scunthorpe vs Southend
28.04.26
H2H
Scunthorpe
Southend
1
0
W
07.02.26
H2H
Scunthorpe
Southend
1
0
W
27.09.25
H2H
Southend
Scunthorpe
0
2
W
22.04.23
H2H
Scunthorpe
Southend
1
3
L
22.10.22
H2H
Southend
Scunthorpe
3
0
L
20.03.21
H2H
Scunthorpe
Southend
1
1
D
12.12.20
H2H
Southend
Scunthorpe
1
0
L
12.03.19
H2H
Scunthorpe
Southend
4
1
W
27.11.18
H2H
Southend
Scunthorpe
2
0
L
27.01.18
H2H
Southend
Scunthorpe
3
2
L
23.12.17
H2H
Scunthorpe
Southend
3
1
W
04.02.17
H2H
Southend
Scunthorpe
3
1
L
10.09.16
H2H
Scunthorpe
Southend
4
0
W
13.02.16
H2H
Scunthorpe
Southend
1
0
W
07.11.15
H2H
Scunthorpe
Southend
2
1
W
Last matches: Scunthorpe
25.04.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Eastleigh
0
1
L
11.04.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Brackley Town
1
0
W
03.04.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Hartlepool
0
0
D
25.03.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Rochdale
2
2
D
14.03.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Altrincham
2
1
W
10.03.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Sutton Utd
1
2
L
28.02.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Solihull Moors
3
3
D
24.02.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
York
0
3
L
14.02.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Boston United
3
6
L
07.02.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Southend
1
0
W
31.01.26
FA
Scunthorpe
Horsham
1
2
L
24.01.26
Nat
Scunthorpe
Forest Green
3
2
W
13.01.26
FA
Scunthorpe
Clitheroe
3
1
W
30.12.25
Nat
Scunthorpe
Gateshead
2
0
W
13.12.25
FA
Scunthorpe
Peterborough Sports
5
0
W
06.12.25
Nat
Scunthorpe
Tamworth
3
1
W
22.11.25
Nat
Scunthorpe
Braintree
1
1
D
08.11.25
Nat
Scunthorpe
Yeovil Town
1
0
W
25.10.25
Nat
Scunthorpe
Aldershot Town
2
1
W
11.10.25
FA
Scunthorpe
King's Lynn Town
4
2
W
H2H at home: Scunthorpe
28.04.26
H2H
Scunthorpe
Southend
1
0
W
07.02.26
H2H
Scunthorpe
Southend
1
0
W
22.04.23
H2H
Scunthorpe
Southend
1
3
L
20.03.21
H2H
Scunthorpe
Southend
1
1
D
12.03.19
H2H
Scunthorpe
Southend
4
1
W
23.12.17
H2H
Scunthorpe
Southend
3
1
W
10.09.16
H2H
Scunthorpe
Southend
4
0
W
13.02.16
H2H
Scunthorpe
Southend
1
0
W
07.11.15
H2H
Scunthorpe
Southend
2
1
W
Last matches: Southend
21.04.26
Nat
Southend
Hartlepool
3
4
L
18.04.26
Nat
Southend
FC Halifax Town
6
2
W
14.04.26
Nat
Southend
Aldershot Town
2
0
W
06.04.26
Nat
Southend
Sutton Utd
3
0
W
28.03.26
FA
Southend
Southport
3
1
W
21.03.26
Nat
Southend
Altrincham
0
1
L
07.03.26
Nat
Southend
Carlisle
2
2
D
28.02.26
FA
Southend
Horsham
2
1
W
21.02.26
Nat
Southend
Brackley Town
3
0
W
07.02.26
Nat
Southend
Scunthorpe
0
1
L
31.01.26
FA
Southend
Chatham Town
1
0
W
27.01.26
Nat
Southend
Rochdale
1
2
L
24.01.26
Nat
Southend
Boston United
3
3
D
17.01.26
Nat
Southend
York
1
1
D
13.01.26
FA
Southend
Bath City
3
1
W
26.12.25
Nat
Southend
Braintree
1
0
W
20.12.25
Nat
Southend
Tamworth
1
2
L
29.11.25
Nat
Southend
Forest Green
1
2
L
15.11.25
Nat
Southend
Yeovil Town
1
0
W
05.11.25
Nat
Southend
Woking
1
1
D
H2H away: Southend
28.04.26
H2H
Scunthorpe
Southend
1
0
L
07.02.26
H2H
Scunthorpe
Southend
1
0
L
22.04.23
H2H
Scunthorpe
Southend
1
3
W
20.03.21
H2H
Scunthorpe
Southend
1
1
D
12.03.19
H2H
Scunthorpe
Southend
4
1
L
23.12.17
H2H
Scunthorpe
Southend
3
1
L
10.09.16
H2H
Scunthorpe
Southend
4
0
L
13.02.16
H2H
Scunthorpe
Southend
1
0
L
07.11.15
H2H
Scunthorpe
Southend
2
1
L

Standings

Conference: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 33 9 4 114:41 73 108
D W W W W
2 46 33 7 6 88:41 47 106
D W W D L
3 46 29 8 9 87:51 36 95
W W W D D
4 46 27 9 10 95:58 37 90
W W W L W
5 46 23 13 10 77:62 15 82
L D W L D
6 46 23 12 11 83:47 36 81
W L W W D
7 46 23 12 11 82:52 30 81
W L W D W
8 46 20 10 16 69:66 3 70
W L D D W
9 46 18 14 14 54:59 -5 68
L W W L D
10 46 16 15 15 69:54 15 63
L W D W D
11 46 17 11 18 63:71 -8 62
W D L D W
12 46 15 14 17 63:67 -4 59
W W D W D
13 46 17 6 23 55:65 -10 57
W W W L L
14 46 14 14 18 71:72 -1 56
W L D D W
15 46 15 11 20 67:74 -7 56
L D D L W
16 46 15 6 25 48:68 -20 51
L L D L W
17 46 13 11 22 57:80 -23 50
W D L W D
18 46 14 8 24 54:90 -36 50
L L W W D
19 46 11 14 21 59:79 -20 47
L L L L D
20 46 13 7 26 69:87 -18 46
L L L L L
21 46 10 12 24 40:75 -35 42
L W L D L
22 46 9 11 26 66:103 -37 38
L L L D W
23 46 8 12 26 38:76 -38 36
L L L D L
24 46 8 10 28 42:72 -30 34
W L L D L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation