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GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA
05.09.2026 13:30
Home Deluxe Arena
Referee: M. Burda
SC Paderborn 07
Match Timeline
SC Freiburg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
26'
M. Eggestein
SC Freiburg
🟨
38'
Laurin Curda
SC Paderborn 07
🟨
43'
Yuito Suzuki
SC Freiburg
🔄
46'
R. Philippe ↔ S. Tigges
SC Paderborn 07
🟨
48'
Jano Ter-Horst
SC Paderborn 07
🟨
56'
Philipp Lienhart
SC Freiburg
🟨
59'
Yannick Engelhardt
SC Freiburg
🔄
74'
L. Ulrich ↔ O. Batista Meier
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
74'
J. Beste ↔ L. Kubler
SC Freiburg
🔄
74'
D. Scherhant ↔ V. Grifo
SC Freiburg
🔄
82'
J. ter Horst ↔ J. Sticker
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
82'
M. Pieringer ↔ S. Marino
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
82'
Y. Engelhardt ↔ B. Yilmaz
SC Freiburg
🔄
82'
Y. Suzuki ↔ K. Goto
SC Freiburg
🔄
89'
M. Hansen ↔ N. Mohr
SC Paderborn 07
🟨
90+3'
Tjark Lasse Scheller
SC Paderborn 07

SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
63.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
SC Paderborn 07 Win 59.3%
Draw 5.1%
SC Freiburg Win 35.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
SC Paderborn 071.47
SC Freiburg2.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07
WWDLW
10 GF / 5 GA
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
WLDWL
19 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
3.17
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
3
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
8.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 5 matches
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 6 matches
SC Paderborn 07 Statistic SC Freiburg
3 Wins 6
2 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
10 Goals For 19
5 Goals Against 4
2 Avg Goals Scored 3.17
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
3 BTTS Yes 4
4 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 8.67
10 Total Shots 24.67
2 Corners 7
49% Ball Possession 61%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, SC Paderborn 07 won 3 times, SC Freiburg won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:12 from SC Paderborn 07's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: SC Paderborn 07 3-1-4-2 / SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1
Missing players: SC Paderborn 07 5, SC Freiburg 1
H2H summary: SC Paderborn 07 wins 3, draws 1, SC Freiburg wins 3

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 14:4 10 13
W D W W W
2 5 4 1 0 11:4 7 13
D W W W W
3 5 3 2 0 16:4 12 11
D W W D W
4 5 3 1 1 14:8 6 10
W W D W L
5 5 3 0 2 15:5 10 9
W L W L W
6 5 2 2 1 13:8 5 8
D L D W W
7 5 2 2 1 10:10 0 8
D W D W L
8 5 2 1 2 13:10 3 7
L W L W D
9 5 2 1 2 8:8 0 7
L D L W W
10 5 2 1 2 8:10 -2 7
W L D L W
11 5 2 0 3 8:9 -1 6
W L L W L
12 5 2 0 3 5:15 -10 6
W W L L L
13 5 1 2 2 4:6 -2 5
L D W D L
14 5 1 2 2 9:16 -7 5
L D W L D
15 5 1 1 3 3:7 -4 4
L W L L D
16 5 1 1 3 5:17 -12 4
W L L L D
17 5 1 0 4 9:13 -4 3
L L W L L
18 5 0 0 5 7:18 -11 0
L L L L L
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