GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA
30.11.2025 18:30
Europa-Park-Stadion
Referee: Daniel Schlager, Germany
SC Freiburg
Match Timeline
FSV Mainz 05
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
7'
Lucas Höler
SC Freiburg
⚽
12'
L. Kubler · Assist: P. Lienhart
SC Freiburg
⚽
26'
V. Grifo · Assist: L. Holer
SC Freiburg
🟥
28'
Paul Nebel
FSV Mainz 05
⚽
50'
J. Manzambi · Assist: Y. Suzuki
SC Freiburg
🟨
52'
Sota Kawasaki
FSV Mainz 05
🔄
54'
A. Nordin ↔ L. Maloney
FSV Mainz 05
🟨
65'
Stefan Bell
FSV Mainz 05
🔄
69'
L. Kubler ↔ C. Gunter
SC Freiburg
🔄
69'
Y. Suzuki ↔ I. Matanovic
SC Freiburg
🔄
72'
Lee Jae-Sung ↔ W. Boving
FSV Mainz 05
🔄
73'
S. Bell ↔ A. Hanche-Olsen
FSV Mainz 05
🔄
73'
B. Hollerbach ↔ A. Sieb
FSV Mainz 05
VAR
80'
Johan Manzambi
SC Freiburg
🔄
80'
J. Manzambi ↔ P. Osterhage
SC Freiburg
🔄
80'
J. Beste ↔ D. Scherhant
SC Freiburg
🔄
87'
P. Treu ↔ M. Rosenfelder
SC Freiburg
⚽
90'
P. Osterhage · Assist: M. Ginter
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
SC Freiburg Win 0%
Draw 0%
FSV Mainz 05 Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
SC Freiburg1.43
FSV Mainz 051.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
WWDLW
23 GF / 23 GA
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
WLDWL
20 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
10
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
7
4.25
Shots on Goal
3.18

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 16 matches
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 17 matches
SC Freiburg Statistic FSV Mainz 05
6 Wins 5
6 Draws 3
4 Losses 9
23 Goals For 20
23 Goals Against 24
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
10 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 11
9 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 6
4.25 Shots On Goal 3.18
11.75 Total Shots 13.18
4.56 Corners 5.59
47.7% Ball Possession 51.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, SC Freiburg won 6 times, FSV Mainz 05 won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:16 from SC Freiburg's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: SC Freiburg 4-4-1-1 / FSV Mainz 05 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: SC Freiburg wins 6, draws 6, FSV Mainz 05 wins 3

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
Champions League
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Relegation Playoffs
Relegation