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PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
19.10.2026 19:15
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Referee: Fabio Verissimo

SC Braga vs GIL Vicente Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.7%
Odds 1.56
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.05
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.09
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.7%
1.56 ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
2.05 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.09 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.5%
1.80 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.40 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
SC Braga Win 61.7%
Draw 11.3%
GIL Vicente Win 27.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
SC Braga1.2
GIL Vicente0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
SC Braga SC Braga
WWDLW
28 GF / 14 GA
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
WLDWL
10 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1
0.74
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
6
BTTS Yes
4
9
Over 2.5
2
3.43
Shots on Goal
3.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SC Braga SC Braga 19 matches
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 10 matches
SC Braga Statistic GIL Vicente
11 Wins 4
5 Draws 4
3 Losses 2
28 Goals For 10
14 Goals Against 8
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.74 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
6 BTTS Yes 4
10 Over 1.5 5
9 Over 2.5 2
6 Over 3.5 2
12 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 2
3.43 Shots On Goal 3.71
8.5 Total Shots 13.86
3.93 Corners 3.57
49% Ball Possession 54.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with GIL Vicente's more proactive style and SC Braga's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SC Braga expected to line up in 3-4-3 and GIL Vicente in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward GIL Vicente having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors GIL Vicente. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

SC Braga Analysis

From their first 7 matches, SC Braga have collected 11 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 8:8 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Pau Victor (3 goals), Gabri Martínez (1 goals), Fran Navarro (1 goals), with creative support from E. Tıknaz (2 assists), Pau Victor (1 assists), Vitor Carvalho (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

GIL Vicente Analysis

So far, GIL Vicente have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 11 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 6:5 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Héctor Hernández (3 goals), Gil Pinto Martins (1 goals), Murilo (1 goals), with creative support from Gil Pinto Martins (2 assists), Héctor Hernández (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, SC Braga won 2 times, GIL Vicente won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:4 from SC Braga's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.7%)
Predicted formations: SC Braga 3-4-3 / GIL Vicente 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: SC Braga wins 2, draws 1, GIL Vicente wins 2

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 20:4 16 24
W W W W W
2 8 6 1 1 24:7 17 19
W L W W W
3 8 5 3 0 20:9 11 18
W D D W W
4 8 5 3 0 12:4 8 18
W D W W D
5 8 4 2 2 11:7 4 14
W D L D W
6 8 4 2 2 11:10 1 14
W W W W L
7 7 3 2 2 6:5 1 11
W D L L D
8 8 3 2 3 13:12 1 11
W W W L D
9 7 3 2 2 8:8 0 11
L D W L W
10 8 2 4 2 14:15 -1 10
L L D W D
11 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
L D L L L
12 8 2 2 4 8:15 -7 8
L D W L L
13 8 1 4 3 10:11 -1 7
L W D D D
14 8 2 1 5 8:17 -9 7
W L D L L
15 8 1 2 5 5:10 -5 5
L D L D L
16 8 1 1 6 9:18 -9 4
L L L L L
17 8 1 1 6 3:17 -14 4
L W L D L
18 8 0 2 6 4:12 -8 2
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2